Pato vs Cerrado Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Feb 2022

Tip-off: 21:00

Final 78-94

16-19 16-23 22-17 24-35

Position#11

Record9-14

FormLLLLW

Points / game72.3

Allowed / game77.5

Pato

Cerrado 🏆

Position#14

Record7-15

FormLLWLL

Points / game77.9

Allowed / game84.2

NBB

Other2021-22

Meetings · Pato v Cerrado

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Cerrado winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pato

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Uniao Corinthians

#16

68-74

-6

A30/12

NBB

Mogi

#13

72-68

A10/01

NBB

Sao Paulo

77-86

-9

A12/01

NBB

Paulistano

86-82

A26/01

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

#10

60-58

A28/01

NBB

Flamengo

87-93

-6

H03/02

NBB

Minas

70-101

101

-31

H06/02

NBB

Rio Claro

65-79

-14

A10/02

NBB

Franca

80-97

-17

A12/02

NBB

Brasilia

#17

77-75

H17/02

NBB

13-17

12-18

15-16

28-23

14-15

11-12

28-17

19-24

26-15

14-24

17-23

20-24

30-20

15-19

16-16

25-27

19-21

17-15

12-11

27-25

24-24

15-21

21-23

19-21

17-19

17-32

17-29

17-26

13-12

16-22

19-19

26-22

18-25

18-29

18-21

21-22

16-15

13-23

27-15

155.5Avg total

74.2Scored

81.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	72.3	77.5	149.8	-5.2	39%
Season at home (11)	73.0	77.0	150.0	-4.0	36%
Season away (12)	71.7	77.9	149.6	-6.2	42%
Last 10 (10)	74.2	81.3	155.5	-7.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	89.0	164.8	-13.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	73.0	82.3	155.4	-9.3	29%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	71.4	72.7	144.1	-1.2	56%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Cerrado) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cerrado

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

61-96

-35

A18/12

NBB

Flamengo

75-91

-16

H30/12

NBB

Cearense

#15

122-126 OT

122

126

-4

H09/01

NBB

Unifacisa

74-88

-14

H11/01

NBB

Sao Paulo

86-84

H27/01

NBB

Pinheiros

70-88

-18

A02/02

NBB

Bauru

68-74

-6

A04/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

79-61

+18

H09/02

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#16

55-73

-18

H11/02

NBB

Mogi

#13

67-87

-20

A17/02

NBB

12-18

11-31

25-24

13-23

24-27

15-20

18-17

18-27

20-17

21-16

18-23

19-22

18-19

18-22

22-28

16-19

20-18

25-15

21-24

20-27

18-20

14-31

18-12

20-25

22-19

17-21

19-13

10-21

24-16

20-12

12-18

23-15

8-9

17-16

12-28

18-20

16-29

16-14

11-27

24-17

162.5Avg total

75.7Scored

86.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	77.9	84.2	162.1	-6.4	32%
Season at home (11)	81.7	86.9	168.6	-5.2	27%
Season away (11)	74.0	81.5	155.5	-7.5	36%
Last 10 (10)	75.7	86.8	162.5	-11.1	20%
Last 5 (5)	67.8	76.6	144.4	-8.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	74.9	84.9	159.8	-9.9	22%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	78.8	83.8	162.6	-5.0	27%
vs Weaker (1)	63.0	71.0	134.0	-8.0	0%

This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PatoCerrado

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	20.6	38.3	-2.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.0	19.4	36.4	-2.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	21.6	40.1	-3.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.4	41.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.2	45.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	18.0	20.6	38.7	-2.6	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.1	20.4	37.6	-3.3	22%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.3	37.1	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	20.0	38.1	-1.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	18.8	36.2	-1.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.6	36.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.1	19.8	37.8	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.7	18.7	36.5	-1.0	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	13.0	18.0	31.0	-5.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	18.3	34.6	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.4	18.6	35.0	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.3	18.0	34.3	-1.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.7	18.3	34.0	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.0	36.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	16.9	19.6	36.5	-2.7	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	15.1	15.1	30.2	+0.0	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.1	37.3	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.1	18.6	35.7	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	19.8	37.2	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.8	35.6	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	17.7	21.1	38.7	-3.4	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.8	15.9	35.7	+3.9	82%	-
vs Weaker (1)	11.0	19.0	30.0	-8.0	0%	-

PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Uniao Corinthians

#16

25-35

-10

A30/12

NBB

Mogi

#13

25-27

-2

A10/01

NBB

Sao Paulo

40-39

A12/01

NBB

Paulistano

45-39

A26/01

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

#10

36-36

A28/01

NBB

Flamengo

51-49

H03/02

NBB

Minas

36-40

-4

H06/02

NBB

Rio Claro

30-38

-8

A10/02

NBB

Franca

44-47

-3

A12/02

NBB

Brasilia

#17

37-37

H17/02

NBB

75.6Avg total

36.9Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.1	38.8	73.0	-4.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	33.4	37.9	71.4	-4.5	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.8	39.6	74.4	-4.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	38.7	75.6	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	42.2	81.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	35.0	40.2	75.2	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	32.2	35.6	67.8	-3.3	11%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Cerrado) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

23-49

-26

A18/12

NBB

Flamengo

39-47

-8

H30/12

NBB

Cearense

#15

41-33

H09/01

NBB

Unifacisa

36-41

-5

H11/01

NBB

Sao Paulo

45-33

+12

H27/01

NBB

Pinheiros

32-51

-19

A02/02

NBB

Bauru

39-40

-1

A04/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

44-28

+16

H09/02

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#16

25-25

H11/02

NBB

Mogi

#13

32-43

-11

A17/02

NBB

74.6Avg total

35.6Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.0	38.4	74.4	-2.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.3	38.6	73.9	-3.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.6	38.3	74.9	-1.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	39.0	74.6	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	37.4	71.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	35.7	40.8	76.6	-5.1	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	37.5	34.6	72.2	+2.9	73%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	37.0	61.0	-13.0	0%	-

This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.7	37.6	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.5	20.8	38.3	-3.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	18.8	37.1	-0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	21.0	37.7	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	25.4	41.2	-9.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	17.8	20.7	38.5	-2.9	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.2	17.4	35.7	+0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	21.3	40.1	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	20.9	40.1	-1.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	21.6	40.1	-3.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	21.4	39.0	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	19.6	34.0	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	20.1	20.6	40.7	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	16.5	22.5	39.0	-5.9	9%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.9	39.4	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	18.9	38.4	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	20.8	40.3	-1.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.4	41.8	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	19.4	20.4	39.9	-1.0	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.8	18.6	38.3	+1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	20.3	40.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.3	21.6	37.9	-5.3	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.6	39.7	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.1	22.3	40.4	-4.2	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.2	19.5	37.7	-1.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	14.0	33.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	39.6	77.0	-2.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.0	39.6	76.6	-2.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	39.5	77.4	-1.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	42.6	79.9	-5.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	46.8	83.0	-10.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	37.2	41.1	78.3	-3.9	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	38.0	36.0	74.0	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	42.3	79.2	-5.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.5	41.1	80.6	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.8	43.2	78.0	-8.5	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	43.0	78.7	-7.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	39.2	72.6	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	38.2	42.9	81.1	-4.7	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	34.7	42.0	76.7	-7.3	18%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	34.0	73.0	+5.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pato wins

Cerrado wins

Date	Game	Score
19/11/21	Cerrado v Pato	85-86 OT
31/01/21	Cerrado v Pato	77-76
22/12/20	Pato v Cerrado	79-68

Patolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/02/22	H	Brasilia	77-75
12/02/22	A	Franca	80-97
10/02/22	A	Rio Claro	65-79
06/02/22	H	Minas	70-101
03/02/22	H	Flamengo	87-93
28/01/22	A	Corinthians Paulista	60-58
26/01/22	A	Paulistano	86-82
12/01/22	A	Sao Paulo	77-86
10/01/22	A	Mogi	72-68
30/12/21	A	Uniao Corinthians	68-74

Cerradolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/02/22	A	Mogi	67-87
11/02/22	H	Uniao Corinthians	55-73
09/02/22	H	Caxias do Sul	79-61
04/02/22	A	Bauru	68-74
02/02/22	A	Pinheiros	70-88
27/01/22	H	Sao Paulo	86-84
11/01/22	H	Unifacisa	74-88
09/01/22	H	Cearense	122-126 OT
30/12/21	H	Flamengo	75-91
18/12/21	A	Franca	61-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato

NBB 2021-22

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	39%
Home	WWLLW	36%
Away	LWWLL	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	39%	36%	42%
Points / game	72.3	73.0	71.7
Allowed / game	77.5	77.0	77.9
Point differential	-5.2	-4.0	-6.2
Avg total	149.8	150.0	149.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	18%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	86% (7)	67% (3)	100% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Cerrado

NBB 2021-22

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	32%
Home	LLWWL	27%
Away	LLLLL	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	32%	27%	36%
Points / game	77.9	81.7	74.0
Allowed / game	84.2	86.9	81.5
Point differential	-6.4	-5.2	-7.5
Avg total	162.1	168.6	155.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	9%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	25% (4)	67% (3)
Overtime %	23%	27%	18%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	23	22	1	96%	91.4	75.5	+15.9
2	Flamengo	19	17	2	89%	90.1	70.6	+19.5
3	Minas	22	19	3	86%	86.4	74.3	+12.0
4	Sao Paulo	22	15	7	68%	82.1	77.5	+4.6
5	Unifacisa	21	13	8	62%	76.6	73.4	+3.2
6	Bauru	23	14	9	61%	78.4	78.1	+0.3
7	Paulistano	20	9	11	45%	77.0	80.0	-3.0
8	Pinheiros	23	10	13	43%	80.4	80.2	+0.2
9	Caxias do Sul	23	10	13	43%	73.4	78.3	-4.8
10	Rio Claro	23	9	14	39%	68.4	71.4	-3.0
11	Pato	23	9	14	39%	72.3	77.5	-5.2
12	Corinthians Paulista	22	8	14	36%	76.0	75.8	+0.2
13	Cearense	21	7	14	33%	70.9	78.9	-8.0
14	Cerrado	22	7	15	32%	77.9	84.2	-6.4
15	Uniao Corinthians	22	7	15	32%	74.7	81.4	-6.6
16	Mogi	23	7	16	30%	74.4	83.6	-9.1
17	Brasilia	22	4	18	18%	72.1	79.5	-7.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pato	16	16	22	24	78
Cerrado	19	23	17	35	94

← all games of the day

Pato vs Cerrado Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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