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Sao Paulo vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 86-77
15-26 24-14 23-17 24-20
Position#4
Record10-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Position#11
Record6-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game74.1
BrazilNBB
Other2021-22
Meetings · Sao Paulo v Pato
28 Mar 2025
SAO 65
PATO69
20 Nov 2023
SAO 89
PATO67
27 Oct 2022
SAO 99
PATO90
12 Jan 2022
SAO 86
PATO77
01 Mar 2021
SAO 84
PATO85
29 Dec 2019
SAO 87
PATO63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A02/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#12
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A04/12
NBB
Nacional
#11
W
98-73
98
73
+25
A12/12
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A13/12
Champions League Americas
Mogi
#13
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H16/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A18/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
91-87
91
87
+4
H04/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
A08/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#9
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
A10/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
15-15
19-21
13-22
14-10
14-16
23-23
28-20
22-19
32-12
24-20
20-22
26-17
15-18
27-21
15-18
20-17
27-11
23-19
19-25
17-16
23-20
22-27
21-15
24-19
21-6
15-20
15-15
29-25
20-24
19-10
23-28
29-28
23-22
13-20
22-22
23-20
19-21
29-17
4-17
160.3Avg total
83.6Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.175.4155.5+4.767%
Season at home (7)81.076.6157.6+4.471%
Season away (8)79.274.4153.6+4.962%
Last 10 (10)83.676.7160.3+6.970%
Last 5 (5)84.281.6165.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.286.4163.6-9.20%
vs Similar (7)81.780.4162.1+1.371%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)82.472.4154.9+10.083%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#9
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H13/11
NBB
Cerrado
#14
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
A19/11
NBB
Brasilia
#17
W
70-53
70
53
+17
A21/11
NBB
Cearense
#15
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H01/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
69-80
69
80
-11
H03/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#8
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H16/12
NBB
Bauru
#6
W
87-53
87
53
+34
H18/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#12
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A28/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A30/12
NBB
Mogi
#13
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A10/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
22-17
16-20
19-18
23-22
17-21
22-16
13-16
17-22
16-8
17-8
20-15
20-19
11-15
18-14
17-15
10-20
11-21
21-18
27-21
20-21
18-13
22-14
21-21
18-16
19-13
29-18
21-6
14-19
18-18
19-21
16-22
13-17
12-18
15-16
28-23
14-15
11-12
28-17
19-24
144.0Avg total
73.8Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)70.774.1144.8-3.340%
Season at home (8)71.172.2143.4-1.138%
Season away (7)70.376.1146.4-5.943%
Last 10 (10)73.870.2144.0+3.660%
Last 5 (5)75.068.8143.8+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)70.583.7154.2-13.225%
vs Similar (10)75.274.7149.9+0.560%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
Sao PauloPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A02/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#12
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A04/12
NBB
Nacional
#11
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A12/12
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#10
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A13/12
Champions League Americas
Mogi
#13
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H16/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A18/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
45-25
45
25
+20
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#3
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H04/01
NBB
Franca
#1
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A08/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A10/01
NBB
78.1Avg total
43.2Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.837.276.0+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.239.576.8-2.338%-
Last 30 away (17)39.935.575.4+4.571%-
Last 10 (10)43.234.978.1+8.390%-
Last 5 (5)45.640.285.8+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.242.476.6-8.220%-
vs Similar (7)41.942.684.4-0.729%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)38.833.772.6+5.178%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H13/11
NBB
Cerrado
#14
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A19/11
NBB
Brasilia
#17
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A21/11
NBB
Cearense
#15
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H01/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H03/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#8
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H16/12
NBB
Bauru
#6
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H18/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#12
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A28/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A30/12
NBB
Mogi
#13
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A10/01
NBB
66.8Avg total
31.9Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.738.872.4-5.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.136.570.6-2.540%-
Last 30 away (15)33.341.074.3-7.713%-
Last 10 (10)31.934.966.8-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)31.432.463.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)32.740.773.4-8.025%-
vs Similar (10)35.634.970.5+0.730%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sao Paulo wins
1
Pato wins
DateGameScore
01/03/21Sao Paulo v Pato84-85
05/12/20Pato v Sao Paulo71-80
03/02/20Pato v Sao Paulo86-106
29/12/19Sao Paulo v Pato87-63
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/22ARio Claro85-91 OT
08/01/22AFranca87-92
04/01/22HMinas91-87
23/12/21APaulistano75-60
18/12/21ACorinthians Paulista83-78
16/12/21HMogi89-72
13/12/21AQuimsa83-74
12/12/21ANacional98-73
04/12/21ACaxias do Sul79-69
02/12/21AUniao Corinthians66-71
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/22AMogi72-68
30/12/21AUniao Corinthians68-74
28/12/21ACaxias do Sul67-80
18/12/21HBauru87-53
16/12/21HPinheiros81-69
03/12/21HUnifacisa69-80
01/12/21HCearense66-63
21/11/21ABrasilia70-53
19/11/21ACerrado86-85 OT
13/11/21HRio Claro72-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo
NBB 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayWWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%71%62%
Points / game80.181.079.2
Allowed / game75.476.674.4
Point differential+4.7+4.4+4.9
Avg total155.5157.6153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%43%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %13%14%12%
Pato
NBB 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW40%
HomeLWLWW38%
AwayWWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%38%43%
Points / game70.771.170.3
Allowed / game74.172.276.1
Point differential-3.3-1.1-5.9
Avg total144.8143.4146.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca16160100%91.674.7+16.9
2 Flamengo1614288%88.270.2+18.1
3 Minas1613381%84.474.8+9.7
4 Sao Paulo1510567%80.175.4+4.7
5 Bauru1610662%76.476.3+0.1
6 Unifacisa169756%74.472.9+1.6
7 Paulistano168850%78.279.1-0.9
8 Pinheiros167944%77.278.1-0.9
9 Caxias do Sul167944%75.377.8-2.4
10 Pato156940%70.774.1-3.3
11 Rio Claro1661038%64.369.1-4.8
12 Cearense1661038%72.178.9-6.8
13 Mogi1661038%75.983.2-7.3
14 Cerrado1651131%80.586.6-6.1
15 Corinthians Paulista1541127%74.976.5-1.7
16 Uniao Corinthians1541127%74.182.5-8.4
17 Brasilia1631319%67.976.8-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Paulo1524232486
Pato2614172077
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