Cerrado vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Jan 2022

Tip-off: 23:30

Final 86-84

20-18 25-15 21-24 20-27

Position#14

Record5-11

FormLLLLL

Points / game80.5

Allowed / game86.6

Cerrado 🏆

Sao Paulo

Position#4

Record12-5

FormWWWLW

Points / game81.0

Allowed / game76.1

NBB

Other2021-22

Meetings · Cerrado v Sao Paulo

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cerrado winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sao Paulo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cerrado

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mogi

#13

74-86

-12

H21/11

NBB

Paulistano

84-85

-1

A01/12

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

#10

89-79

+10

A03/12

NBB

Minas

74-90

-16

H07/12

NBB

Brasilia

#17

82-72

+10

A11/12

NBB

Rio Claro

75-93

-18

A16/12

NBB

Franca

61-96

-35

A18/12

NBB

Flamengo

75-91

-16

H30/12

NBB

Cearense

#15

122-126 OT

122

126

-4

H09/01

NBB

Unifacisa

74-88

-14

H11/01

NBB

17-26

12-16

22-23

23-21

20-13

18-19

23-32

23-21

21-26

24-12

22-18

22-23

13-20

17-22

22-23

22-25

13-18

27-12

30-19

12-23

26-20

15-20

13-27

21-26

12-18

11-31

25-24

13-23

24-27

15-20

18-17

18-27

20-17

21-16

18-23

19-22

18-19

18-22

22-28

16-19

171.6Avg total

81.0Scored

90.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	80.5	86.6	167.1	-6.1	31%
Season at home (8)	84.9	92.2	177.1	-7.4	12%
Season away (8)	76.1	81.0	157.1	-4.9	50%
Last 10 (10)	81.0	90.6	171.6	-9.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	98.8	180.2	-17.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	75.5	84.4	159.9	-8.9	24%
vs Similar (10)	82.1	86.1	168.2	-4.0	30%
vs Weaker (3)	74.3	67.0	141.3	+7.3	67%

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sao Paulo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

#10

83-78

A18/12

NBB

Paulistano

75-60

+15

A23/12

NBB

Minas

91-87

H04/01

NBB

Franca

87-92

-5

A08/01

NBB

Rio Claro

85-91 OT

-6

A10/01

NBB

Pato

#11

86-77

H12/01

NBB

Bauru

78-73

H16/01

Super 8

Caxias do Sul

91-72

+19

H19/01

Super 8

Minas

77-78

-1

A22/01

Super 8

Brasilia

#17

90-86 OT

A25/01

NBB

17-16

23-20

22-27

21-15

24-19

21-6

15-20

15-15

29-25

20-24

19-10

23-28

29-28

23-22

13-20

22-22

23-20

19-21

29-17

4-17

15-26

24-14

23-17

24-20

18-20

14-23

21-17

25-13

23-30

22-5

25-12

21-25

14-32

22-18

20-20

21-8

19-22

18-18

14-14

26-23

163.7Avg total

84.3Scored

79.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	81.0	76.1	157.1	+4.9	71%
Season at home (8)	81.6	76.6	158.2	+5.0	75%
Season away (9)	80.4	75.7	156.1	+4.8	67%
Last 10 (10)	84.3	79.4	163.7	+4.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	77.2	161.6	+7.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	80.0	89.2	169.2	-9.2	0%
vs Similar (6)	85.5	81.8	167.3	+3.7	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	82.5	73.0	155.5	+9.5	84%

This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CerradoSao Paulo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.1	37.4	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	20.6	39.1	-2.0	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	17.8	35.8	+0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.9	19.8	37.7	-1.9	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.3	19.0	38.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	15.3	32.3	+1.7	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.7	40.0	+0.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	18.4	39.3	+2.5	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	23.8	44.9	-2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	26.0	43.8	-8.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.8	22.0	40.8	-3.2	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.0	24.8	47.8	-1.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.0	17.5	37.5	+2.5	74%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.5	36.6	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.1	18.9	34.9	-2.8	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	18.1	38.0	+1.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	21.8	37.8	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.5	35%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.8	16.9	36.7	+2.9	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	14.3	13.7	28.0	+0.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.7	37.4	-0.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	17.7	37.3	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	17.1	37.7	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	15.6	35.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.2	21.8	40.0	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.0	16.2	35.2	+2.8	42%	-

CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mogi

#13

29-42

-13

H21/11

NBB

Paulistano

38-32

A01/12

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

#10

45-38

A03/12

NBB

Minas

30-42

-12

H07/12

NBB

Brasilia

#17

40-30

+10

A11/12

NBB

Rio Claro

41-40

A16/12

NBB

Franca

23-49

-26

A18/12

NBB

Flamengo

39-47

-8

H30/12

NBB

Cearense

#15

41-33

H09/01

NBB

Unifacisa

36-41

-5

H11/01

NBB

75.6Avg total

36.2Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	37.6	73.9	-1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.6	39.4	74.1	-4.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	35.9	73.8	+1.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.2	39.4	75.6	-3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	42.0	78.0	-6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	35.6	40.1	75.7	-4.4	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.1	35.9	75.0	+3.2	90%	-
vs Weaker (3)	31.3	29.0	60.3	+2.3	67%	-

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

#10

40-36

A18/12

NBB

Paulistano

45-25

+20

A23/12

NBB

Minas

49-49

H04/01

NBB

Franca

52-50

A08/01

NBB

Rio Claro

42-41

A10/01

NBB

Pato

#11

39-40

-1

H12/01

NBB

Bauru

32-43

-11

H16/01

Super 8

Caxias do Sul

45-35

+10

H19/01

Super 8

Minas

36-50

-14

A22/01

Super 8

Brasilia

#17

37-40

-3

A25/01

NBB

82.6Avg total

41.7Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	37.9	77.4	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	39.7	78.1	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	36.1	76.6	+4.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	40.9	82.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	41.6	79.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.0	43.8	80.8	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	44.0	46.3	90.3	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	39.0	33.7	72.7	+5.3	74%	-

This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.1	40.6	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	19.6	39.6	+0.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	22.4	41.6	-3.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	23.4	44.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.8	43.0	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.2	21.1	41.3	-0.9	47%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.3	20.8	39.1	-2.5	20%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.7	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	18.7	40.6	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	17.1	38.9	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	20.3	42.3	+1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	17.4	37.5	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	16.0	36.6	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.2	22.2	41.5	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.7	18.2	38.8	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.8	18.3	41.1	+4.6	74%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.8	39.3	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	20.6	41.4	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.6	20.9	37.5	-4.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	23.0	41.9	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	23.4	40.8	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.9	35%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.5	21.5	39.0	-4.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.3	15.7	39.0	+7.7	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	20.2	41.9	+1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.1	36.8	+0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	17.8	41.2	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.8	23.2	47.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.8	17.3	38.2	+3.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	37%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	41.9	80.0	-3.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.8	40.2	81.0	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.7	43.4	79.1	-7.7	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	46.4	86.8	-6.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	47.2	83.8	-10.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	38.5	42.4	80.9	-3.8	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	35.8	42.3	78.1	-6.5	10%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.0	38.0	81.0	+5.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	37.9	80.0	+4.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	37.3	80.8	+6.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.7	38.5	79.1	+2.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	36.0	76.3	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	33.8	77.8	+10.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	43.0	45.5	88.5	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	41.5	35.5	77.0	+6.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	41.8	37.5	79.3	+4.4	74%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cerrado wins

Sao Paulo wins

Date	Game	Score
26/10/21	Sao Paulo v Cerrado	76-78 OT
01/04/21	Cerrado v Sao Paulo	80-86
15/12/20	Sao Paulo v Cerrado	91-83

Cerradolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/01/22	H	Unifacisa	74-88
09/01/22	H	Cearense	122-126 OT
30/12/21	H	Flamengo	75-91
18/12/21	A	Franca	61-96
16/12/21	A	Rio Claro	75-93
11/12/21	A	Brasilia	82-72
07/12/21	H	Minas	74-90
03/12/21	A	Corinthians Paulista	89-79
01/12/21	A	Paulistano	84-85
21/11/21	H	Mogi	74-86

Sao Paulolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/01/22	A	Brasilia	90-86 OT
22/01/22	A	Minas	77-78
19/01/22	H	Caxias do Sul	91-72
16/01/22	H	Bauru	78-73
12/01/22	H	Pato	86-77
10/01/22	A	Rio Claro	85-91 OT
08/01/22	A	Franca	87-92
04/01/22	H	Minas	91-87
23/12/21	A	Paulistano	75-60
18/12/21	A	Corinthians Paulista	83-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cerrado

NBB 2021-22

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	31%
Home	LLLLL	12%
Away	LWWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	31%	12%	50%
Points / game	80.5	84.9	76.1
Allowed / game	86.6	92.2	81.0
Point differential	-6.1	-7.4	-4.9
Avg total	167.1	177.1	157.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	0%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	0% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	31%	38%	25%

Sao Paulo

NBB 2021-22

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	71%
Home	WWWWW	75%
Away	WWLLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	71%	75%	67%
Points / game	81.0	81.6	80.4
Allowed / game	76.1	76.6	75.7
Point differential	+4.9	+5.0	+4.8
Avg total	157.1	158.2	156.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	38%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	67% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	18%	12%	22%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	17	17	0	100%	91.8	75.0	+16.8
2	Flamengo	17	15	2	88%	88.4	69.3	+19.1
3	Minas	17	14	3	82%	84.4	74.0	+10.4
4	Sao Paulo	17	12	5	71%	81.0	76.1	+4.9
5	Bauru	17	11	6	65%	76.9	76.3	+0.6
6	Unifacisa	17	10	7	59%	75.6	72.6	+3.1
7	Paulistano	17	8	9	47%	78.4	79.5	-1.1
8	Pato	17	7	10	41%	72.0	75.2	-3.2
9	Pinheiros	18	7	11	39%	77.6	79.4	-1.8
10	Rio Claro	18	7	11	39%	66.1	70.5	-4.4
11	Caxias do Sul	18	7	11	39%	73.4	78.7	-5.3
12	Corinthians Paulista	17	6	11	35%	76.2	75.6	+0.5
13	Cearense	17	6	11	35%	71.9	79.8	-7.9
14	Mogi	17	6	11	35%	75.8	84.1	-8.2
15	Cerrado	16	5	11	31%	80.5	86.6	-6.1
16	Uniao Corinthians	16	4	12	25%	73.4	82.0	-8.6
17	Brasilia	17	3	14	18%	68.9	77.6	-8.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Cerrado	20	25	21	20	86
Sao Paulo	18	15	24	27	84

← all games of the day

Cerrado vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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