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Pau-Orthez vs La Rochelle Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 81-82
22-18 22-19 21-23 16-22
Position#2
Record10-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game81.0
Pau-Orthez
France
vs
La Rochelle 🏆
France
Position#10
Record9-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game78.8
FrancePro BRound 17· Palais des Sports de Pau
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v La Rochelle
27 Dec 2025
POR81
LRO82
10 May 2024
POR65
LRO52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
La Rochelle winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Evreux
#19
W
98-65
98
65
+33
96avg 92
A24/10
Pro B
Quimper
#20
L
79-104
79
104
-25
76avg 92
H28/10
Pro B
Caen
#17
L
85-89
85
89
-4
79avg 92
A31/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
W
91-82
91
82
+9
79avg 92
A07/11
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
L
79-80
79
80
-1
78avg 92
H14/11
Pro B
Vichy
#7
L
80-85
80
85
-5
78avg 92
A21/11
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
W
104-82
104
82
+22
102avg 92
A05/12
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
97avg 92
H12/12
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
86-72
86
72
+14
75avg 92
H19/12
Pro B
Antibes
#15
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
81avg 92
A23/12
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
21-21
27-16
28-16
24-39
11-27
23-15
21-23
15-21
25-20
18-25
27-23
23-24
20-18
24-22
24-18
18-30
28-10
16-17
17-23
18-21
26-25
24-16
12-23
25-15
22-20
26-32
31-15
28-21
19-26
18-23
22-17
13-21
21-14
28-23
24-14
20-18
27-23
14-15
19-24
174.7Avg total
89.4Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)87.181.0168.1+6.162%
Season at home (8)83.479.8163.1+3.662%
Season away (8)90.882.2173.0+8.562%
Last 10 (10)89.485.3174.7+4.150%
Last 5 (5)92.486.6179.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.082.0157.0-7.050%
vs Similar (12)82.981.0163.9+1.958%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.182.7170.8+5.367%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRochelle
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#26
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H04/11
French Cup
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
64-74
64
74
-10
60avg 80
A07/11
Pro B
Quimper
#20
W
84-59
84
59
+25
80avg 80
H14/11
Pro B
Antibes
#15
L
82-96
82
96
-14
74avg 80
A18/11
Pro B
ASA
#12
L
76-87
76
87
-11
66avg 80
H21/11
Pro B
Le Mans
#6
L
101-108 OT
101
108
-7
94avg 80
H02/12
French Cup
Aix Maurienne
#13
W
69-68
69
68
+1
64avg 80
A05/12
Pro B
Caen
#17
W
81-78
81
78
+3
78avg 80
H12/12
Pro B
Orleans
#3
L
61-91
61
91
-30
50avg 80
A19/12
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
85-79
85
79
+6
78avg 80
H23/12
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-18
20-19
13-28
24-14
16-14
14-11
16-28
18-21
18-13
27-6
22-14
17-26
13-25
23-32
18-25
28-14
16-29
22-16
19-22
19-20
23-17
16-23
23-21
22-23
17-24
27-21
9-14
16-9
19-28
21-20
20-16
21-14
24-22
19-24
10-20
8-25
15-20
27-12
15-34
28-13
161.2Avg total
79.3Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.978.8155.7-1.956%
Season at home (8)82.471.4153.8+11.088%
Season away (8)71.486.2157.6-14.925%
Last 10 (10)79.381.9161.2-2.650%
Last 5 (5)79.484.8164.2-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.384.7158.0-11.520%
vs Similar (11)78.782.5161.2-3.745%
vs Weaker (4)88.269.5157.8+18.8100%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.2+2.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.2+2.2
Pau-OrthezLa Rochelle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evreux
#19
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A24/10
Pro B
Quimper
#20
L
35-66
35
66
-31
H28/10
Pro B
Caen
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A31/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A07/11
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H14/11
Pro B
Vichy
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A21/11
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A05/12
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H12/12
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H19/12
Pro B
Antibes
#15
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A23/12
Pro B
85.2Avg total
42.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.740.381.1+0.448%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.940.180.9+0.847%-
Last 30 away (14)40.640.681.2-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.642.685.2+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.884.6+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.538.576.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (12)41.839.281.0+2.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.341.581.8-1.347%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#26
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H04/11
French Cup
Denain-Voltaire
#9
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A07/11
Pro B
Quimper
#20
W
45-19
45
19
+26
H14/11
Pro B
Antibes
#15
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A18/11
Pro B
ASA
#12
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H21/11
Pro B
Le Mans
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H02/12
French Cup
Aix Maurienne
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A05/12
Pro B
Caen
#17
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H12/12
Pro B
Orleans
#3
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A19/12
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H23/12
Pro B
80.4Avg total
41.0Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.379.3-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.737.078.7+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)36.143.779.8-7.527%-
Last 10 (10)41.039.480.4+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.642.283.8-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.142.080.1-3.940%-
vs Similar (11)38.642.080.6-3.436%-
vs Weaker (4)42.829.572.2+13.2100%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.624.1
52.9%
53.1%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.9
34.2%
32.8%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.314.5
75.1%
71.4%14.5
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.8
53.1%
53.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.0
29.0%
32.8%21.0
🏀 Free throws23.316.9
72.5%
71.4%16.9
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
WWLWLLWLLW
La Rochelle
WLWWLLLWLW
#2
League position
#10
+7.5
Net rating
-6.8
114.9
Offensive rating
100.1
107.4
Defensive rating
107.0
52.3%
Effective FG%
49.3%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
18.1%
Turnover %
20.1%
40.9%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.2%
3-point %
29.0%
64.2%
Assist %
69.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 100.1Defence107.4 · 107.0Shooting52.3% · 49.3%3-point %34.2% · 29.0%Ball care18.1% · 20.1%Off. rebounds40.9% · 26.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ La Rochelle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pau-Orthez wins
1
La Rochelle wins
DateGameScore
10/05/24Pau-Orthez v La Rochelle65-52
28/11/23La Rochelle v Pau-Orthez84-68
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25AAntibes90-87 OT
19/12/25HRouen86-72
12/12/25HAda Blois102-107 OT
05/12/25ASt. Chamond104-82
21/11/25AVichy80-85
14/11/25HPoitiers79-80
07/11/25AAix Maurienne91-82
31/10/25ACaen85-89
28/10/25HQuimper79-104
24/10/25AEvreux98-65
La Rochellelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25HHyeres-Toulon85-79
19/12/25AOrleans61-91
12/12/25HCaen81-78
05/12/25AAix Maurienne69-68
02/12/25HLe Mans101-108 OT
21/11/25HASA76-87
18/11/25AAntibes82-96
14/11/25HQuimper84-59
07/11/25ADenain-Voltaire64-74
04/11/25HBoulazac90-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeWLLLW62%
AwayLWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%62%62%
Points / game87.183.490.8
Allowed / game81.079.882.2
Point differential+6.1+3.6+8.5
Avg total168.1163.1173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%38%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %12%12%12%
La Rochelle
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW56%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%88%25%
Points / game76.982.471.4
Allowed / game78.871.486.2
Point differential-1.9+11.0-14.9
Avg total155.7153.8157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ada Blois1713476%84.377.7+6.6
2 Orleans1713476%81.176.5+4.6
3 Roanne1712571%88.979.5+9.4
4 Denain-Voltaire1711665%86.182.8+3.2
5 Chalons-Reims1711665%82.180.4+1.7
6 Pau-Orthez1610662%87.181.0+6.1
7 Vichy1610662%81.479.1+2.3
8 La Rochelle169756%76.978.8-1.9
9 Poitiers179853%84.180.9+3.2
10 Hyeres-Toulon179853%84.383.2+1.1
11 Nantes179853%81.583.4-1.9
12 Antibes178947%83.883.6+0.2
13 ASA178947%81.381.5-0.2
14 St. Chamond167944%88.186.0+2.1
15 Rouen1661038%79.983.6-3.6
16 Aix Maurienne1551033%80.985.7-4.9
17 Caen1751229%81.284.2-2.9
18 Evreux1751229%77.585.5-7.9
19 Quimper1541127%74.383.2-8.9
20 Challans161156%74.284.2-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pau-Orthez2222211681
La Rochelle1819232282
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