PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pau-Orthez vs Paris Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 06 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#14
Record2-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game90.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#1
Record8-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game97.2
Allowed / game85.9
FranceLNBRound 10· Palais des Sports de Pau
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v Paris
06 Dec 2026
POR v PRS
upcoming
07 Jan 2025
POR78
PRS107
22 Oct 2022
POR74
PRS79
29 Jan 2022
POR86
PRS88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Paris win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
W
81-72
81
72
+9
72avg 82
A15/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
W
86-73
86
73
+13
85avg 82
H18/06
Pro B
Nanterre
#5
L
64-78
64
78
-14
52avg 82
A26/09
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
61-89
61
89
-28
53avg 82
H03/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
79-85
79
85
-6
78avg 82
A10/10
LNB
Saint Quentin
#15
W
102-89
102
89
+13
96avg 82
H17/10
LNB
Limoges
#12
W
85-81
85
81
+4
73avg 82
H25/10
LNB
Le Mans
#3
L
97-106 OT
97
106
-9
86avg 82
A31/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
97-106
97
106
-9
no box
A07/11
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
H13/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
18-23
25-18
17-9
25-22
19-17
18-24
24-10
14-23
12-18
18-14
20-23
14-19
14-20
19-31
14-19
17-22
16-22
25-22
21-19
30-34
31-16
14-22
27-17
28-20
24-19
16-22
17-20
15-16
29-24
20-27
23-20
27-16
27-27
17-31
26-32
19-26
21-23
23-28
21-12
170.4Avg total
83.6Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.690.4174.0-6.825%
Season at home (4)83.087.0170.0-4.050%
Season away (4)84.293.8178.0-9.50%
Last 10 (10)83.686.8170.4-3.240%
Last 5 (5)93.094.2187.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)80.297.4177.6-17.20%
vs Similar (13)86.881.8168.6+5.177%
vs Weaker (12)86.877.9164.8+8.992%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
93-104
93
104
-11
84avg 86
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#7
W
96-75
96
75
+21
96avg 86
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#9
W
99-93
99
93
+6
88avg 86
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
99-94
99
94
+5
97avg 86
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
116-112 OT
116
112
+4
no box
H01/11
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#13
W
107-77
107
77
+30
no box
H08/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
111-109 OT
111
109
+2
no box
H11/11
Euroleague
Limoges
#12
W
97-82
97
82
+15
no box
A14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
28-25
16-26
23-21
18-16
22-27
24-23
32-9
23-25
31-22
19-25
26-21
25-17
10-19
30-29
34-29
21-26
36-32
24-23
23-23
19-28
22-15
20-15
18-21
23-26
19-10
24-34
29-20
25-24
32-22
22-19
28-12
23-14
27-29
22-29
20-20
24-17
23-22
34-25
16-18
193.3Avg total
100.3Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)97.285.9183.1+11.389%
Season at home (4)102.887.0189.8+15.8100%
Season away (5)92.885.0177.8+7.880%
Last 10 (10)100.393.0193.3+7.380%
Last 5 (5)100.090.4190.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.394.0180.3-7.733%
vs Similar (11)95.696.1191.7-0.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)94.082.5176.5+11.585%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +5.5+5.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +5.5+5.5
Pau-OrthezParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A15/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H18/06
Pro B
Nanterre
#5
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A26/09
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H03/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A10/10
LNB
Saint Quentin
#15
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H17/10
LNB
Limoges
#12
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H25/10
LNB
Le Mans
#3
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A31/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A07/11
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H13/11
LNB
85.0Avg total
42.1Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.983.5-0.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.341.484.8+1.975%-
Last 30 away (14)39.742.482.1-2.743%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.985.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)50.244.294.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.443.682.0-5.240%-
vs Similar (13)44.044.288.2-0.254%-
vs Weaker (12)40.438.779.1+1.875%-
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#9
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H01/11
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A05/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#13
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H08/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H11/11
Euroleague
Limoges
#12
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A14/11
LNB
92.5Avg total
47.7Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.345.290.5+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.447.696.0+0.831%-
Last 30 away (14)41.842.484.2-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)47.744.892.5+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)47.441.488.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.045.087.0-3.033%-
vs Similar (11)45.248.493.5-3.227%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.942.689.5+4.354%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.821.8
50.9%
55.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.2
28.7%
34.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws23.617.5
74.2%
74.2%17.5
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.621.6
60.7%
55.6%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.5
36.7%
34.3%37.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
74.2%14.0
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
LLLWWLLLWW
Paris
WWWWLWWWWL
#14
League position
#1
-3.6
Net rating
+4.0
91.4
Offensive rating
103.4
95.1
Defensive rating
99.4
48.0%
Effective FG%
57.9%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
14.1%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.7%
3-point %
36.7%
65.2%
Assist %
59.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence91.4 · 103.4Defence95.1 · 99.4Shooting48.0% · 57.9%3-point %28.7% · 36.7%Ball care14.1% · 14.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pau-Orthez wins
4
Paris wins
DateGameScore
07/01/25Pau-Orthez v Paris78-107
12/02/23Paris v Pau-Orthez97-101
22/10/22Pau-Orthez v Paris74-79
29/01/22Pau-Orthez v Paris86-88 OT
21/11/21Paris v Pau-Orthez89-76
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HStrasbourg84-89
07/11/26ALyon-Villeurbanne97-106
31/10/26ALe Mans97-106 OT
25/10/26HLimoges85-81
17/10/26HSaint Quentin102-89
10/10/26ACholet79-85
03/10/26HDijon61-89
26/09/26ANanterre64-78
18/06/26HPoitiers86-73
15/06/26APoitiers81-72
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ALimoges97-82
11/11/26HFenerbahce111-109 OT
08/11/26HJL Bourg107-77
05/11/26AAnadolu Efes95-90
03/11/26ACholet90-94 OT
01/11/26HChalon/Saone116-112 OT
29/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-94
27/10/26ADubai99-93
25/10/26ARoanne96-75
23/10/26HValencia93-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL25%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game83.683.084.2
Allowed / game90.487.093.8
Point differential-6.8-4.0-9.5
Avg total174.0170.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %12%0%25%
Paris
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW89%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game97.2102.892.8
Allowed / game85.987.085.0
Point differential+11.3+15.8+7.8
Avg total183.1189.8177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%75%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %22%25%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris98189%97.285.9+11.3
2 Dijon76186%93.181.7+11.4
3 Le Mans76186%98.687.9+10.7
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne76186%91.184.4+6.7
5 Nanterre75271%86.779.7+7.0
6 Chalon/Saone85362%93.683.8+9.9
7 Roanne85362%81.980.0+1.9
8 Strasbourg95456%82.087.1-5.1
9 Cholet94544%81.086.0-5.0
10 Boulazac83538%80.185.4-5.2
11 Nancy72529%79.383.9-4.6
12 Limoges82625%85.990.0-4.1
13 JL Bourg82625%87.192.1-5.0
14 Pau-Orthez82625%83.690.4-6.8
15 Saint Quentin92722%86.093.2-7.2
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque7070%76.789.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.