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Paulistano vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 80-73
20-23 26-16 16-15 18-19
Position#7
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game72.0
Paulistano 🏆
Brazil
vs
Cearense
Brazil
Position#8
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game72.7
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr (Sao Paulo)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Paulistano v Cearense
19 Mar 2026
PAUL91
CEAR77
06 Mar 2025
PAUL84
CEAR87
04 Nov 2023
PAUL80
CEAR73
06 Feb 2023
PAUL80
CEAR78
10 Mar 2022
PAUL94
CEAR88
05 Jan 2021
PAUL78
CEAR73
22 Nov 2019
PAUL76
CEAR78
08 Apr 2019
PAUL74
CEAR84
22 Oct 2018
PAUL72
CEAR60
22 Apr 2018
PAUL79
CEAR68
20 Apr 2018
PAUL93
CEAR89
09 Dec 2017
PAUL96
CEAR84
18 Apr 2017
PAUL76
CEAR72
11 Apr 2017
PAUL81
CEAR85
09 Apr 2017
PAUL83
CEAR75
30 Mar 2017
PAUL79
CEAR67
11 Nov 2015
PAUL108
CEAR101
01 Apr 2015
PAUL86
CEAR78
07 Dec 2013
PAUL94
CEAR79
23 Apr 2013
PAUL89
CEAR85
16 Apr 2013
PAUL95
CEAR74
21 Mar 2013
PAUL79
CEAR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
W
90-57
90
57
+33
no box
H21/04
NBB
Pato
#12
W
92-78
92
78
+14
no box
H23/04
NBB
Minas
#4
L
82-85
82
85
-3
no box
A27/04
NBB
Minas
#4
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
H30/04
NBB
Minas
#4
L
68-77
68
77
-9
no box
H02/05
NBB
Minas
#4
W
83-68
83
68
+15
no box
A07/05
NBB
Minas
#4
L
67-71
67
71
-4
no box
A09/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
50-89
50
89
-39
38avg 57
A23/10
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
71-75
71
75
-4
64avg 57
A26/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
71-52
71
52
+19
70avg 57
H02/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
17-13
28-19
26-7
16-14
34-22
17-21
25-21
21-29
20-13
18-17
23-26
13-25
23-14
23-18
21-19
18-24
8-11
24-21
18-21
13-19
21-20
23-12
26-17
12-18
22-16
7-15
26-22
14-24
11-22
15-14
10-29
14-20
28-14
16-19
13-22
17-9
17-16
19-14
18-13
148.2Avg total
75.4Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)64.072.0136.0-8.033%
Season at home (1)71.052.0123.0+19.0100%
Season away (2)60.582.0142.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)75.472.8148.2+2.650%
Last 5 (5)68.471.0139.4-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.083.0150.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.976.7153.6+0.242%
vs Weaker (13)84.470.2154.6+14.292%
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
85-84
85
84
+1
no box
A04/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#8
L
69-80
69
80
-11
no box
A10/03
NBB
Bauru
#7
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
H22/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
78-92
78
92
-14
no box
H24/03
NBB
Minas
#4
L
85-94
85
94
-9
no box
H08/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
W
77-66
77
66
+11
no box
A12/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
L
75-91
75
91
-16
no box
A14/04
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
65-63
65
63
+2
55avg 72
A25/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
82-78
82
78
+4
80avg 72
A27/10
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
80-77
80
77
+3
81avg 72
H31/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
26-14
22-27
23-28
18-18
6-21
22-20
23-21
21-20
18-18
22-19
18-20
14-23
23-23
19-29
22-17
20-15
26-21
13-31
26-27
23-16
21-16
14-13
19-21
13-22
18-20
14-20
30-29
15-20
22-19
13-15
15-9
19-20
23-12
17-20
23-26
20-21
25-23
24-14
11-19
157.7Avg total
77.5Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.772.7148.3+3.0100%
Season at home (1)80.077.0157.0+3.0100%
Season away (2)73.570.5144.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.580.2157.7-2.760%
Last 5 (5)75.875.0150.8+0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)74.586.3160.8-11.824%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.277.6155.9+0.675%
vs Weaker (1)65.063.0128.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.7-0.7
PaulistanoCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H21/04
NBB
Pato
#12
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H23/04
NBB
Minas
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A27/04
NBB
Minas
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H30/04
NBB
Minas
#4
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H02/05
NBB
Minas
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A07/05
NBB
Minas
#4
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A09/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A23/10
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A26/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H02/11
NBB
71.9Avg total
35.8Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.237.076.3+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.834.676.4+7.175%-
Last 30 away (14)36.439.876.1-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)35.836.171.9-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)33.835.669.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.543.078.5-7.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.238.578.8+1.842%-
vs Weaker (13)40.134.274.2+5.977%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A04/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#8
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A10/03
NBB
Bauru
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H22/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H24/03
NBB
Minas
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H08/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A12/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A14/04
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A25/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A27/10
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H31/10
NBB
76.2Avg total
38.5Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.639.777.3-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.341.981.2-2.636%-
Last 30 away (16)36.237.773.9-1.544%-
Last 10 (10)38.537.776.2+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.877.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)36.741.177.9-4.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.135.976.0+4.275%-
vs Weaker (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 62.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.320.0
45.1%
51.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.34.0
21.8%
33.9%12.0
🏀 Free throws17.710.7
60.4%
72.6%10.7
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.0
50.9%
51.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.07.3
36.7%
33.9%22.0
🏀 Free throws24.317.0
69.9%
72.6%17.0
They take 55.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
WLLLWLWLWW
Cearense
WWWLWLLWLW
#7
League position
#8
-11.9
Net rating
+4.1
85.7
Offensive rating
102.1
97.6
Defensive rating
98.0
41.5%
Effective FG%
52.4%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
25.4%
Turnover %
19.4%
42.0%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.44
21.8%
3-point %
36.7%
56.9%
Assist %
61.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence85.7 · 102.1Defence97.6 · 98.0Shooting41.5% · 52.4%3-point %21.8% · 36.7%Ball care25.4% · 19.4%Off. rebounds42.0% · 24.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Paulistano   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Paulistano wins
5
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
06/02/23Paulistano v Cearense80-78
02/11/22Cearense v Paulistano55-78
10/03/22Paulistano v Cearense94-88 OT
09/12/21Cearense v Paulistano72-69 OT
13/04/21Cearense v Paulistano92-97 OT
05/01/21Paulistano v Cearense78-73
06/03/20Cearense v Paulistano99-95 OT
22/11/19Paulistano v Cearense76-78
08/04/19Paulistano v Cearense74-84
05/04/19Cearense v Paulistano75-68
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/23HSao Paulo71-52
26/10/23ABauru71-75
23/10/23AFranca50-89
09/05/23AMinas67-71
07/05/23AMinas83-68
02/05/23HMinas68-77
30/04/23HMinas80-76
27/04/23AMinas82-85
23/04/23HPato92-78
21/04/23HPato90-57
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/23HBauru80-77
27/10/23ASao Jose82-78
25/10/23AMogi65-63
14/04/23AUniao Corinthians75-91
12/04/23ACaxias do Sul77-66
08/04/23HMinas85-94
24/03/23HPinheiros78-92
22/03/23HBauru79-77
10/03/23AUnifacisa69-80
04/03/23ACorinthians Paulista85-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game64.071.060.5
Allowed / game72.052.082.0
Point differential-8.0+19.0-21.5
Avg total136.0123.0142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cearense
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game75.780.073.5
Allowed / game72.777.070.5
Point differential+3.0+3.0+3.0
Avg total148.3157.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca220100%94.571.0+23.5
2 Unifacisa330100%79.762.7+17.0
3 Minas330100%85.068.7+16.3
4 Corinthians Paulista220100%75.565.0+10.5
5 Cearense330100%75.772.7+3.0
6 Vasco54180%70.464.8+5.6
7 Uniao Corinthians32167%76.372.7+3.7
8 Brasilia32167%82.079.3+2.7
9 Flamengo21150%77.079.0-2.0
10 Bauru42250%74.276.5-2.2
11 Pinheiros21150%72.578.0-5.5
12 Pato52340%74.674.2+0.4
13 Caxias do Sul31233%67.772.3-4.7
14 Paulistano31233%64.072.0-8.0
15 Sao Jose2020%70.075.0-5.0
16 Mogi2020%65.573.5-8.0
17 Botafogo5050%70.882.0-11.2
18 Cerrado3030%61.773.0-11.3
19 Sao Paulo3030%70.086.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano2026161880
Cearense2316151973
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