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Paulistano vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 84-87
12-25 20-23 26-10 26-29
Position#12
Record13-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#17
Record7-19
FormWLLLW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game78.1
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2024-25
Meetings · Paulistano v Cearense
19 Mar 2026
PAUL91
CEAR77
06 Mar 2025
PAUL84
CEAR87
04 Nov 2023
PAUL80
CEAR73
06 Feb 2023
PAUL80
CEAR78
10 Mar 2022
PAUL94
CEAR88
05 Jan 2021
PAUL78
CEAR73
22 Nov 2019
PAUL76
CEAR78
08 Apr 2019
PAUL74
CEAR84
22 Oct 2018
PAUL72
CEAR60
22 Apr 2018
PAUL79
CEAR68
20 Apr 2018
PAUL93
CEAR89
09 Dec 2017
PAUL96
CEAR84
18 Apr 2017
PAUL76
CEAR72
11 Apr 2017
PAUL81
CEAR85
09 Apr 2017
PAUL83
CEAR75
30 Mar 2017
PAUL79
CEAR67
11 Nov 2015
PAUL108
CEAR101
01 Apr 2015
PAUL86
CEAR78
07 Dec 2013
PAUL94
CEAR79
23 Apr 2013
PAUL89
CEAR85
16 Apr 2013
PAUL95
CEAR74
21 Mar 2013
PAUL79
CEAR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Minas
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
73avg 71
A20/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
75-89
75
89
-14
63avg 71
H23/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
76avg 71
H28/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
76-63
76
63
+13
73avg 71
H10/01
NBB
Franca
#2
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
79avg 71
A18/01
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
85-73
85
73
+12
85avg 71
A20/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
69-61
69
61
+8
42avg 71
A05/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
65-74
65
74
-9
55avg 71
A11/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
93-78
93
78
+15
95avg 71
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
63avg 71
H27/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
20-18
20-21
15-23
18-30
27-18
10-27
20-14
24-15
19-29
21-18
16-14
25-9
14-17
19-17
18-20
20-22
18-21
22-20
17-14
21-18
29-12
22-26
13-17
16-13
15-19
20-15
18-14
22-17
12-13
12-19
19-25
28-13
25-27
28-20
12-18
19-13
16-26
9-17
31-21
154.7Avg total
78.6Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.074.9152.9+3.152%
Season at home (13)79.675.8155.5+3.854%
Season away (12)76.273.8150.1+2.450%
Last 10 (10)78.676.1154.7+2.560%
Last 5 (5)77.472.6150.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.484.6162.0-7.114%
vs Similar (18)78.672.4151.0+6.261%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)72.468.6141.0+3.860%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
76avg 66
A19/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
70-73
70
73
-3
69avg 66
A27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
60avg 66
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
64avg 66
H13/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
74-75
74
75
-1
63avg 66
A18/01
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
83-74
83
74
+9
78avg 66
A20/01
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
62-84
62
84
-22
53avg 66
H07/02
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
67avg 66
A13/02
NBB
Minas
#1
L
86-92
86
92
-6
84avg 66
H28/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 66
A04/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
25-19
8-19
24-23
18-21
20-18
12-20
20-14
22-28
14-19
16-16
19-19
17-31
29-19
23-16
11-10
18-21
14-18
23-17
19-19
17-20
18-17
21-19
27-18
21-26
9-14
15-29
17-15
21-20
19-21
17-24
22-19
21-16
18-23
21-27
26-26
18-20
15-18
32-23
14-14
155.7Avg total
76.5Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)71.578.1149.5-6.627%
Season at home (12)68.874.8143.6-5.933%
Season away (14)73.780.9154.6-7.221%
Last 10 (10)76.579.2155.7-2.740%
Last 5 (5)77.881.8159.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)70.479.8150.2-9.411%
vs Similar (12)73.875.7149.5-1.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
PaulistanoCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#1
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A20/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H23/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H28/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H10/01
NBB
Franca
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A18/01
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A20/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A05/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A11/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H27/02
NBB
78.9Avg total
41.5Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.677.3+2.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.338.677.9+0.838%-
Last 30 away (14)40.136.576.6+3.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.537.478.9+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.634.274.8+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.043.983.9-3.929%-
vs Similar (18)40.236.176.3+4.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)37.434.271.6+3.260%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A19/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H13/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A18/01
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A20/01
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H07/02
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A13/02
NBB
Minas
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H28/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A04/03
NBB
78.3Avg total
37.8Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.640.274.8-5.720%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.538.672.1-5.127%-
Last 30 away (15)35.641.977.5-6.313%-
Last 10 (10)37.840.578.3-2.710%-
Last 5 (5)35.439.074.4-3.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)34.740.975.6-6.322%-
vs Similar (12)34.439.273.6-4.817%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.418.2
46.2%
50.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.3
37.2%
33.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.113.5
74.6%
72.7%13.5
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.217.5
48.3%
50.9%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.1
33.6%
33.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.013.4
67.0%
72.7%13.4
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
LWLWWWWWLL
Cearense
WLLLWLWLLW
#12
League position
#17
+3.4
Net rating
-4.2
105.1
Offensive rating
102.9
101.7
Defensive rating
107.1
49.9%
Effective FG%
49.2%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
20.0%
Turnover %
17.5%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.2%
3-point %
33.6%
66.9%
Assist %
60.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 102.9Defence101.7 · 107.1Shooting49.9% · 49.2%3-point %37.2% · 33.6%Ball care20.0% · 17.5%Off. rebounds34.5% · 30.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Paulistano   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Paulistano wins
3
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
11/11/24Cearense v Paulistano66-49
10/02/24Cearense v Paulistano51-64
04/11/23Paulistano v Cearense80-73
06/02/23Paulistano v Cearense80-78
02/11/22Cearense v Paulistano55-78
10/03/22Paulistano v Cearense94-88 OT
09/12/21Cearense v Paulistano72-69 OT
13/04/21Cearense v Paulistano92-97 OT
05/01/21Paulistano v Cearense78-73
06/03/20Cearense v Paulistano99-95 OT
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25HUnifacisa75-77
13/02/25HSao Jose93-78
11/02/25ACorinthians Paulista65-74
05/02/25APinheiros69-61
20/01/25ABauru85-73
18/01/25AFranca86-84 OT
10/01/25HMogi76-63
28/12/24HSao Paulo80-76
23/12/24HFlamengo75-89
20/12/24AMinas82-86
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/25ASao Paulo79-75
28/02/25HMinas86-92
13/02/25AFlamengo79-84
07/02/25HBrasilia62-84
20/01/25ABotafogo83-74
18/01/25AVasco74-75
13/01/25HPato80-76
29/12/24AUniao Corinthians71-82
27/12/24ACaxias do Sul70-73
19/12/24AUnifacisa81-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL52%
HomeLWWWL54%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %52%54%50%
Points / game78.079.676.2
Allowed / game74.975.873.8
Point differential+3.1+3.8+2.4
Avg total152.9155.5150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%46%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Cearense
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW27%
HomeWLWLL33%
AwayLLWLW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %27%33%21%
Points / game71.568.873.7
Allowed / game78.174.880.9
Point differential-6.6-5.9-7.2
Avg total149.5143.6154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)33% (3)29% (7)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2521484%82.271.6+10.6
2 Flamengo2620677%84.373.9+10.4
3 Brasilia2718967%82.179.6+2.5
4 Franca2516964%83.478.3+5.0
5 Bauru26151158%78.679.0-0.5
6 Uniao Corinthians25141156%78.579.0-0.6
7 Vasco26141254%76.676.0+0.7
8 Paulistano25131252%78.074.9+3.1
9 Corinthians Paulista27131448%80.479.4+1.0
10 Pinheiros27131448%75.375.3+0.1
11 Unifacisa27131448%75.475.3+0.1
12 Sao Jose27131448%78.178.5-0.4
13 Sao Paulo26111542%76.378.7-2.3
14 Pato2791833%81.785.0-3.3
15 Mogi2791833%74.080.6-6.7
16 Caxias do Sul2581732%73.678.9-5.3
17 Botafogo2681831%73.480.5-7.1
18 Cearense2671927%71.578.1-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano1220262684
Cearense2523102987
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