Cearense vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2020

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 99-95 (OT)

18-14 21-14 14-25 28-28 18-14

Position#15

Record4-21

FormLLLLL

Points / game75.4

Allowed / game80.5

Cearense 🏆

Paulistano

Position#11

Record11-12

FormLWLLW

Points / game80.7

Allowed / game81.6

NBBRound 18

Other2019-20

Meetings · Cearense v Paulistano

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Paulistano winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cearense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

57-77

-20

H15/01

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

78-84

-6

H23/01

NBB

Mogi

73-78

-5

A27/01

NBB

Sao Jose

#14

104-83

104

+21

A30/01

NBB

Botafogo

72-86

-14

A01/02

NBB

Flamengo

71-78

-7

A03/02

NBB

Franca

75-97

-22

H08/02

NBB

Bauru

#12

78-83

-5

H14/02

NBB

Pato

#16

72-84

-12

A26/02

NBB

Rio Claro

79-86

-7

A28/02

NBB

14-22

10-22

13-17

20-16

14-19

10-21

21-23

33-21

21-14

13-20

20-18

19-26

23-27

31-20

19-21

31-15

20-27

17-21

21-13

14-25

17-24

13-15

13-22

28-17

27-24

13-30

17-22

18-21

14-25

22-14

22-22

20-22

10-13

21-21

17-24

24-26

19-21

20-20

21-21

19-24

159.5Avg total

75.9Scored

83.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	75.4	80.5	155.9	-5.0	16%
Season at home (12)	75.8	78.6	154.4	-2.8	17%
Season away (13)	75.1	82.2	157.3	-7.2	15%
Last 10 (10)	75.9	83.6	159.5	-7.7	10%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	85.6	160.6	-10.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	71.6	80.6	152.2	-9.1	11%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	80.8	83.4	164.2	-2.7	22%
vs Weaker (3)	80.3	66.0	146.3	+14.3	67%

This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Paulistano Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sao Paulo

92-98 OT

-6

H14/12

NBB

Pato

#16

74-96

-22

H27/12

NBB

Botafogo

73-72

H16/01

NBB

Franca

72-85

-13

H25/01

NBB

Sao Paulo

74-75

-1

A31/01

NBB

Flamengo

70-86

-16

H10/02

NBB

Minas

71-66

A13/02

NBB

Brasilia

#13

78-90

-12

A15/02

NBB

Bauru

#12

88-93

-5

H29/02

NBB

Mogi

94-83

+11

A03/03

NBB

20-28

28-14

15-26

22-17

14-21

16-21

27-28

17-26

15-15

19-21

24-23

15-13

12-22

18-21

16-20

26-22

26-16

17-13

20-24

11-22

20-24

12-19

13-22

25-21

14-16

24-13

17-19

16-18

24-23

17-20

21-22

16-25

27-20

23-28

21-19

17-26

24-10

28-17

13-19

29-37

163.0Avg total

78.6Scored

84.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	80.7	81.6	162.3	-0.9	48%
Season at home (13)	81.7	84.5	166.2	-2.8	38%
Season away (10)	79.5	77.9	157.4	+1.6	60%
Last 10 (10)	78.6	84.4	163.0	-5.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	83.6	163.8	-3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	77.6	82.4	160.0	-4.8	30%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	83.6	81.7	165.3	+1.9	60%
vs Weaker (10)	81.7	82.0	163.7	-0.3	40%

This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CearensePaulistano

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.7	38.1	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.7	20.4	38.1	-2.7	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	21.6	39.5	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.4	38.8	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.7	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.2	22.9	42.1	-3.7	22%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.7	11.3	31.0	+8.3	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.0	39.7	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.9	21.5	40.4	-2.6	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.9	18.0	38.9	+2.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.5	39.1	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.6	40.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.7	21.9	40.6	-3.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.6	17.6	39.2	+4.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	19.1	35.9	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.9	19.4	36.4	-2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.6	18.9	35.5	-2.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	20.4	37.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	15.4	20.3	35.8	-4.9	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.9	17.3	35.2	+0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.3	17.3	38.7	+4.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	17.7	37.8	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	18.2	38.7	+2.4	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	17.2	36.7	+2.4	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.5	16.6	36.1	+2.9	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.3	18.6	39.9	+2.7	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.5	18.0	37.5	+1.5	60%	-

CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

24-44

-20

H15/01

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

24-40

-16

H23/01

NBB

Mogi

34-34

A27/01

NBB

Sao Jose

#14

54-47

A30/01

NBB

Botafogo

37-48

-11

A01/02

NBB

Flamengo

30-39

-9

A03/02

NBB

Franca

40-54

-14

H08/02

NBB

Bauru

#12

36-39

-3

H14/02

NBB

Pato

#16

31-34

-3

A26/02

NBB

Rio Claro

39-41

-2

A28/02

NBB

76.9Avg total

34.9Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.2	38.8	74.0	-3.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.1	38.3	74.4	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.3	39.2	73.6	-4.9	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.9	42.0	76.9	-7.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	41.4	76.6	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	33.2	39.8	73.0	-6.6	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	37.1	40.2	77.3	-3.1	22%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.0	28.7	69.7	+12.3	67%	-

This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sao Paulo

48-42

H14/12

NBB

Pato

#16

30-42

-12

H27/12

NBB

Botafogo

34-36

-2

H16/01

NBB

Franca

30-43

-13

H25/01

NBB

Sao Paulo

43-29

+14

A31/01

NBB

Flamengo

32-43

-11

H10/02

NBB

Minas

38-29

A13/02

NBB

Brasilia

#13

41-43

-2

A15/02

NBB

Bauru

#12

50-48

H29/02

NBB

Mogi

52-27

+25

A03/03

NBB

78.0Avg total

39.8Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	37.7	77.6	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.4	39.6	79.1	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.5	35.2	75.6	+5.3	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	38.2	78.0	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	38.0	80.6	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	38.2	38.5	76.7	-0.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	42.9	36.2	79.1	+6.7	70%	-
vs Weaker (10)	38.5	38.4	76.9	+0.1	40%	-

This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	19.8	38.9	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-2.1	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.3	38.7	-1.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.2	40.2	-4.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	17.7	20.3	38.0	-2.6	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.3	20.7	42.0	+0.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.7	19.7	38.3	-1.0	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.4	40.9	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.3	21.9	42.2	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	20.8	39.2	-2.3	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	22.2	40.9	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	20.2	37.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.7	23.5	42.2	-4.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	21.9	44.0	+0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	21.3	43.9	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.1	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.3	22.6	44.9	-0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	17.7	38.3	+3.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	22.3	43.1	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.0	23.2	45.2	-1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.3	21.0	40.3	-1.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	22.7	42.1	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	25.4	46.0	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.1	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.6	23.8	44.4	-3.2	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	41.2	81.2	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	39.4	78.6	-0.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.8	42.8	83.6	-1.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	41.6	82.6	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	44.2	84.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	38.3	40.8	79.2	-2.5	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	43.7	43.2	86.9	+0.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	39.3	37.3	76.7	+2.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	43.7	84.0	-3.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.3	45.2	87.5	-2.9	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.8	41.8	79.5	-4.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	44.9	83.0	-6.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	45.6	83.2	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	38.7	42.6	81.3	-3.9	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	40.7	45.5	86.2	-4.8	20%	-
vs Weaker (10)	41.6	43.0	84.6	-1.4	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cearense wins

Paulistano wins

Date	Game	Score
22/11/19	Paulistano v Cearense	76-78
08/04/19	Paulistano v Cearense	74-84
05/04/19	Cearense v Paulistano	75-68
09/01/19	Cearense v Paulistano	65-77
22/10/18	Paulistano v Cearense	72-60
25/04/18	Cearense v Paulistano	57-98
22/04/18	Paulistano v Cearense	79-68
20/04/18	Paulistano v Cearense	93-89
17/04/18	Cearense v Paulistano	72-67
15/02/18	Cearense v Paulistano	60-81

Cearenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/02/20	A	Rio Claro	79-86
26/02/20	A	Pato	72-84
14/02/20	H	Bauru	78-83
08/02/20	H	Franca	75-97
03/02/20	A	Flamengo	71-78
01/02/20	A	Botafogo	72-86
30/01/20	A	Sao Jose	104-83
27/01/20	A	Mogi	73-78
23/01/20	H	Corinthians Paulista	78-84
15/01/20	H	Pinheiros	57-77

Paulistanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/03/20	A	Mogi	94-83
29/02/20	H	Bauru	88-93
15/02/20	A	Brasilia	78-90
13/02/20	A	Minas	71-66
10/02/20	H	Flamengo	70-86
31/01/20	A	Sao Paulo	74-75
25/01/20	H	Franca	72-85
16/01/20	H	Botafogo	73-72
27/12/19	H	Pato	74-96
14/12/19	H	Sao Paulo	92-98 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense

NBB 2019-20

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	16%
Home	LLLLL	17%
Away	WLLLL	15%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	12	13
Win %	16%	17%	15%
Points / game	75.4	75.8	75.1
Allowed / game	80.5	78.6	82.2
Point differential	-5.0	-2.8	-7.2
Avg total	155.9	154.4	157.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	17%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	12% (8)	0% (6)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Paulistano

NBB 2019-20

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	48%
Home	LWLLL	38%
Away	WLWLW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	13	10
Win %	48%	38%	60%
Points / game	80.7	81.7	79.5
Allowed / game	81.6	84.5	77.9
Point differential	-0.9	-2.8	+1.6
Avg total	162.3	166.2	157.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	15%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	55% (11)	50% (6)	60% (5)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	24	21	3	88%	85.0	77.1	+7.9
2	Franca	24	19	5	79%	87.7	79.0	+8.7
3	Sao Paulo	24	18	6	75%	87.4	81.5	+5.9
4	Mogi	24	16	8	67%	83.0	80.9	+2.1
5	Minas	24	15	9	62%	86.7	81.8	+4.9
6	Pinheiros	24	13	11	54%	80.4	79.9	+0.5
7	Botafogo	26	13	13	50%	78.4	80.7	-2.3
8	Unifacisa	25	12	13	48%	81.7	79.6	+2.0
9	Rio Claro	25	12	13	48%	84.4	86.9	-2.6
10	Corinthians Paulista	23	11	12	48%	82.6	79.3	+3.3
11	Bauru	23	11	12	48%	80.7	79.7	+1.1
12	Paulistano	23	11	12	48%	80.7	81.6	-0.9
13	Brasilia	24	8	16	33%	76.1	84.8	-8.7
14	Sao Jose	25	5	20	20%	85.6	92.8	-7.2
15	Pato	23	4	19	17%	70.0	79.3	-9.3
16	Cearense	25	4	21	16%	75.4	80.5	-5.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Cearense	18	21	14	28	18	99
Paulistano	14	14	25	28	14	95

← all games of the day

Cearense vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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