Paulistano vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Dec 2019

Tip-off: 22:30

Final 74-96

14-21 16-21 27-28 17-26

Position#11

Record8-6

FormLWWLL

Points / game83.1

Allowed / game80.8

Paulistano

Pato 🏆

Position#16

Record1-12

FormLLLLW

Points / game66.5

Allowed / game78.8

NBBRound 11

Other2019-20

Meetings · Paulistano v Pato

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pato winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Paulistano Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Minas

80-76

H04/11

NBB

Brasilia

#13

86-68

+18

H09/11

NBB

Bauru

#12

82-74

A13/11

NBB

Franca

92-89

A16/11

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

64-78

-14

A19/11

NBB

Cearense

#15

76-78

-2

H22/11

NBB

Pinheiros

81-76

A25/11

NBB

Unifacisa

#10

77-76

H28/11

NBB

Rio Claro

87-90

-3

H03/12

NBB

Sao Paulo

92-98 OT

-6

H14/12

NBB

17-20

17-21

19-16

27-19

22-18

21-15

22-16

21-19

19-19

23-14

17-33

23-8

18-27

24-17

27-20

23-25

15-16

13-18

22-25

14-19

21-13

15-16

17-28

23-21

23-17

18-24

11-8

29-27

17-20

17-10

16-26

27-20

20-21

22-19

26-25

19-25

20-28

28-14

15-26

22-17

162.0Avg total

81.7Scored

80.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	83.1	80.8	163.9	+2.3	57%
Season at home (8)	85.6	83.2	168.9	+2.4	50%
Season away (6)	79.7	77.5	157.2	+2.2	67%
Last 10 (10)	81.7	80.3	162.0	+1.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	83.6	166.2	-1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	82.3	86.7	169.0	-4.4	29%
vs Similar (9)	84.1	83.2	167.3	+0.9	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	85.6	77.4	162.9	+8.2	64%

This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pato

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brasilia

#13

73-76

-3

H28/10

NBB

Franca

47-82

-35

H05/11

NBB

Pinheiros

67-81

-14

H08/11

NBB

Flamengo

59-76

-17

A12/11

NBB

Botafogo

79-85

-6

A15/11

NBB

Mogi

64-73

-9

A18/11

NBB

Sao Jose

#14

71-81

-10

A20/11

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

68-80

-12

H29/11

NBB

Bauru

#12

76-79 OT

-3

H17/12

NBB

Rio Claro

80-78

H20/12

NBB

10-17

24-19

14-17

25-23

13-26

7-16

14-17

13-23

11-24

17-18

22-18

17-21

19-19

15-21

15-16

10-20

17-16

23-26

14-18

25-25

9-22

15-20

23-14

17-17

12-15

13-21

22-21

24-24

17-21

17-23

16-17

18-19

17-12

22-18

10-17

15-17

13-26

17-21

26-14

24-17

147.5Avg total

68.4Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	66.5	78.8	145.3	-12.4	8%
Season at home (7)	67.6	79.4	147.0	-11.9	14%
Season away (6)	65.2	78.2	143.3	-13.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	68.4	79.1	147.5	-10.7	10%
Last 5 (5)	71.8	78.2	150.0	-6.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	65.5	78.9	144.4	-13.5	9%
vs Similar (2)	72.0	78.5	150.5	-6.5	0%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PaulistanoPato

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.7	40.0	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	20.5	40.6	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	18.7	39.4	+1.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.9	39.1	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.6	23.4	44.0	-2.9	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.8	18.9	40.7	+2.9	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.4	18.3	37.6	+1.1	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	13.2	20.1	33.3	-6.8	15%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	13.3	21.0	34.3	-7.7	14%	-
Last 30 away (6)	13.2	19.0	32.2	-5.8	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.8	19.8	33.6	-6.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.6	19.2	32.8	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	13.6	20.8	34.5	-7.2	18%	-
vs Similar (2)	11.0	16.0	27.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	17.7	38.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	17.4	39.8	+4.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	18.0	37.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	16.8	36.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.6	36.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.9	17.0	36.9	+2.9	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.4	17.2	37.7	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.1	18.4	40.5	+3.8	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	16.8	19.5	36.3	-2.8	23%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	16.4	18.9	35.3	-2.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (6)	17.2	20.3	37.5	-3.2	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	20.3	37.3	-3.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	20.6	37.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.5	19.5	35.9	-3.0	18%	-
vs Similar (2)	18.5	20.0	38.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Minas

34-41

-7

H04/11

NBB

Brasilia

#13

43-33

+10

H09/11

NBB

Bauru

#12

42-33

A13/11

NBB

Franca

42-44

-2

A16/11

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

28-34

-6

A19/11

NBB

Cearense

#15

36-29

H22/11

NBB

Pinheiros

41-41

A25/11

NBB

Unifacisa

#10

34-30

H28/11

NBB

Rio Claro

42-40

H03/12

NBB

Sao Paulo

48-42

H14/12

NBB

75.7Avg total

39.0Scored

36.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	37.4	78.8	+4.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.5	37.9	80.4	+4.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.3	36.7	77.0	+3.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	36.7	75.7	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	36.4	76.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	40.4	40.4	80.9	+0.0	57%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.2	36.1	78.3	+6.1	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	41.5	36.6	78.1	+4.9	71%	-

This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brasilia

#13

34-36

-2

H28/10

NBB

Franca

20-42

-22

H05/11

NBB

Pinheiros

28-42

-14

H08/11

NBB

Flamengo

34-40

-6

A12/11

NBB

Botafogo

40-42

-2

A15/11

NBB

Mogi

24-42

-18

A18/11

NBB

Sao Jose

#14

25-36

-11

A20/11

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

34-44

-10

H29/11

NBB

Bauru

#12

39-30

H17/12

NBB

Rio Claro

30-47

-17

H20/12

NBB

70.9Avg total

30.8Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	30.0	39.6	69.6	-9.6	8%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	29.7	39.9	69.6	-10.1	14%	-
Last 30 away (6)	30.3	39.3	69.7	-9.0	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.8	40.1	70.9	-9.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.4	39.8	70.2	-9.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	30.1	40.3	70.4	-10.2	9%	-
vs Similar (2)	29.5	36.0	65.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	22.0	42.3	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	22.8	42.9	-2.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	22.3	41.5	-3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.6	39.6	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.4	21.9	42.3	-1.4	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.3	26.6	45.9	-7.2	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.9	19.2	40.1	+1.6	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	16.6	16.9	33.5	-0.3	31%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	16.7	16.7	33.4	+0.0	29%	-
Last 30 away (6)	16.5	17.2	33.7	-0.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	16.9	34.5	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.6	36.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.4	16.5	32.9	-0.2	27%	-
vs Similar (2)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.3	43.1	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.0	22.2	45.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	20.0	42.8	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	22.0	46.0	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.4	22.6	43.0	-2.1	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.6	20.6	43.1	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.1	21.1	43.1	+1.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	18.9	21.2	40.1	-2.2	15%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	19.4	20.7	40.1	-1.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (6)	18.3	21.7	40.0	-3.3	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.9	20.7	38.6	-2.8	9%	-
vs Similar (2)	24.5	23.5	48.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	43.3	85.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.2	44.9	88.1	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.9	41.4	82.4	-0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	42.3	84.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	44.6	85.6	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	40.9	44.4	85.3	-3.6	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.9	47.1	89.0	-5.2	11%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	42.9	40.3	83.2	+2.6	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	35.5	38.1	73.6	-2.5	23%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	36.1	37.4	73.6	-1.3	14%	-
Last 30 away (6)	34.8	38.8	73.7	-4.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	37.5	73.9	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	35.4	74.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	34.3	37.3	71.5	-3.0	18%	-
vs Similar (2)	42.5	42.5	85.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Paulistano wins

Pato wins

No previous meetings.

Paulistanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/19	H	Sao Paulo	92-98 OT
03/12/19	H	Rio Claro	87-90
28/11/19	H	Unifacisa	77-76
25/11/19	A	Pinheiros	81-76
22/11/19	H	Cearense	76-78
19/11/19	A	Corinthians Paulista	64-78
16/11/19	A	Franca	92-89
13/11/19	A	Bauru	82-74
09/11/19	H	Brasilia	86-68
04/11/19	H	Minas	80-76

Patolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/12/19	H	Rio Claro	80-78
17/12/19	H	Bauru	76-79 OT
29/11/19	H	Corinthians Paulista	68-80
20/11/19	A	Sao Jose	71-81
18/11/19	A	Mogi	64-73
15/11/19	A	Botafogo	79-85
12/11/19	A	Flamengo	59-76
08/11/19	H	Pinheiros	67-81
05/11/19	H	Franca	47-82
28/10/19	H	Brasilia	73-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano

NBB 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	57%
Home	WLWLL	50%
Away	WWWLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	57%	50%	67%
Points / game	83.1	85.6	79.7
Allowed / game	80.8	83.2	77.5
Point differential	+2.3	+2.4	+2.2
Avg total	163.9	168.9	157.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	25%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	50% (4)	67% (3)
Overtime %	7%	12%	0%

Pato

NBB 2019-20

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	8%
Home	LLLLW	14%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	8%	14%	0%
Points / game	66.5	67.6	65.2
Allowed / game	78.8	79.4	78.2
Point differential	-12.4	-11.9	-13.0
Avg total	145.3	147.0	143.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	33% (3)	-
Overtime %	8%	14%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	14	12	2	86%	84.4	76.7	+7.6
2	Franca	14	10	4	71%	87.4	81.1	+6.3
3	Sao Paulo	14	10	4	71%	86.1	82.1	+4.1
4	Mogi	14	10	4	71%	81.9	79.9	+2.0
5	Pinheiros	14	9	5	64%	78.9	76.9	+2.0
6	Corinthians Paulista	14	8	6	57%	83.7	77.6	+6.1
7	Unifacisa	14	8	6	57%	84.8	80.1	+4.6
8	Minas	14	8	6	57%	84.0	81.6	+2.4
9	Paulistano	14	8	6	57%	83.1	80.8	+2.3
10	Botafogo	14	6	8	43%	76.4	79.9	-3.6
11	Rio Claro	15	6	9	40%	84.2	87.7	-3.5
12	Bauru	14	5	9	36%	80.0	80.5	-0.5
13	Brasilia	14	5	9	36%	75.9	83.4	-7.5
14	Cearense	14	3	11	21%	76.6	79.4	-2.8
15	Sao Jose	14	3	11	21%	82.4	90.1	-7.8
16	Pato	13	1	12	8%	66.5	78.8	-12.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Paulistano	14	16	27	17	74
Pato	21	21	28	26	96

← all games of the day

Paulistano vs Pato Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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