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Paulistano vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 92-71
24-15 27-18 28-18 13-20
Position#7
Record23-14
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#17
Record7-30
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game80.5
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2025-26
Meetings · Paulistano v Pato
18 Apr 2026
PAUL92
PATO71
26 Mar 2025
PAUL77
PATO94
22 Nov 2023
PAUL79
PATO68
23 Apr 2023
PAUL92
PATO78
21 Apr 2023
PAUL90
PATO57
24 Oct 2022
PAUL76
PATO69
26 Jan 2022
PAUL82
PATO86
12 Dec 2020
PAUL75
PATO68
27 Dec 2019
PAUL74
PATO96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
W
104-83
104
83
+21
H22/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
109-102 OT
109
102
+7
H06/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
88-89
88
89
-1
H10/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
100-87
100
87
+13
H17/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H19/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A23/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
96-69
96
69
+27
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
86-72
86
72
+14
A03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A09/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A15/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
30-24
31-19
14-23
27-28
25-15
15-27
23-20
26-27
14-23
19-23
29-16
32-23
23-25
26-18
19-21
24-24
23-24
23-18
21-11
21-26
21-16
11-18
26-24
21-17
21-16
32-23
22-13
18-22
27-11
18-17
23-22
22-16
14-22
26-21
22-21
16-18
19-21
19-24
16-21
173.4Avg total
90.7Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)83.078.3161.4+4.762%
Season at home (18)86.076.4162.4+9.678%
Season away (19)80.280.2160.4+0.147%
Last 10 (10)90.782.7173.4+8.070%
Last 5 (5)83.077.8160.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.583.8163.2-4.225%
vs Similar (11)83.684.4168.0-0.764%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.974.5161.3+12.473%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A21/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
H07/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H13/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H18/03
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
70-94
70
94
-24
A24/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H02/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H06/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
64-100
64
100
-36
A09/04
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A11/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
55-88
55
88
-33
A16/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
18-21
23-24
12-16
19-21
18-17
19-26
23-25
13-26
22-19
17-19
20-16
15-13
19-17
24-28
14-23
16-20
18-21
21-29
15-24
13-16
13-14
20-20
12-17
17-13
21-16
20-20
12-29
16-30
12-23
11-23
25-24
19-14
20-21
14-23
15-19
12-25
16-19
16-27
11-17
151.1Avg total
67.5Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)71.980.5152.4-8.619%
Season at home (19)73.576.6150.1-3.126%
Season away (18)70.384.6154.9-14.311%
Last 10 (10)67.583.6151.1-16.10%
Last 5 (5)63.082.0145.0-19.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)68.581.7150.2-13.110%
vs Similar (9)79.978.4158.3+1.444%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -5.1-5.1
PaulistanoPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H22/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H06/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H10/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H17/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H19/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A23/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A09/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A15/04
NBB
86.8Avg total
45.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.581.8+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.440.084.4+4.464%-
Last 30 away (16)40.639.179.6+1.538%-
Last 10 (10)45.341.586.8+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.077.0+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.843.081.8-4.20%-
vs Similar (11)43.040.383.3+2.745%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.838.080.8+4.867%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A21/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H07/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H13/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H18/03
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A24/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H02/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H06/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A09/04
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A11/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A16/04
NBB
71.8Avg total
33.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.439.275.6-2.943%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.536.674.2+0.953%-
Last 30 away (13)34.842.677.5-7.831%-
Last 10 (10)33.138.771.8-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)31.838.270.0-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)33.940.474.3-6.524%-
vs Similar (9)42.136.478.6+5.789%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.122.2
55.4%
52.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.4
35.5%
32.5%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.214.5
75.5%
72.8%14.5
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 67.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.116.1
50.2%
52.2%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.98.9
26.3%
32.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws14.08.6
61.4%
72.8%8.6
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
LWWWLWWLWW
Pato
LLLLLLLLLL
#7
League position
#17
+8.5
Net rating
-18.0
103.2
Offensive rating
75.6
94.7
Defensive rating
93.6
54.5%
Effective FG%
44.6%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
12.7%
Turnover %
20.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.21
35.5%
3-point %
26.3%
46.3%
Assist %
64.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 75.6Defence94.7 · 93.6Shooting54.5% · 44.6%3-point %35.5% · 26.3%Ball care12.7% · 20.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 0%
■ Paulistano   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Paulistano wins
5
Pato wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25Pato v Paulistano67-59
26/03/25Paulistano v Pato77-94
17/11/24Pato v Paulistano66-65
09/03/24Pato v Paulistano83-73
22/11/23Paulistano v Pato79-68
23/04/23Paulistano v Pato92-78
21/04/23Paulistano v Pato90-57
18/04/23Pato v Paulistano82-70
17/01/23Pato v Paulistano75-87
24/10/22Paulistano v Pato76-69
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/26AMogi70-84
09/04/26ACorinthians Paulista84-80
03/04/26ABotafogo86-72
01/04/26AVasco96-69
23/03/26AFlamengo79-84
19/03/26HCearense91-77
17/03/26HRio Claro100-87
10/03/26HCruzeiro88-89
06/03/26HUnifacisa109-102 OT
22/02/26HMinas104-83
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/26APinheiros55-88
11/04/26AOsasco68-77
09/04/26AFranca64-100
06/04/26HRio Claro70-78
02/04/26HBrasilia58-67
24/03/26ABauru70-94
18/03/26HSao Jose72-81
13/03/26HMogi72-80
07/03/26HCorinthians Paulista79-89
21/02/26AUnifacisa67-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayLWWWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %62%78%47%
Points / game83.086.080.2
Allowed / game78.376.480.2
Point differential+4.7+9.6+0.1
Avg total161.4162.4160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%44%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)43% (7)60% (5)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeLLLLL26%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %19%26%11%
Points / game71.973.570.3
Allowed / game80.576.684.6
Point differential-8.6-3.1-14.3
Avg total152.4150.1154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%16%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3832684%90.876.9+13.9
2 Pinheiros3830879%85.374.1+11.2
3 Minas3829976%88.081.2+6.8
4 Brasilia38281074%81.672.0+9.6
5 Flamengo38281074%87.579.0+8.5
6 Corinthians Paulista38271171%85.279.4+5.8
7 Paulistano37231462%83.078.3+4.7
8 Sao Jose38221658%82.180.6+1.5
9 Mogi38211755%76.571.3+5.2
10 Bauru38211755%81.079.8+1.1
11 Unifacisa38201853%81.680.4+1.2
12 Uniao Corinthians38191950%80.281.9-1.7
13 Caxias do Sul38172145%74.076.8-2.8
14 Cruzeiro38132534%80.285.4-5.2
15 Rio Claro38122632%78.685.3-6.7
16 Botafogo38102826%73.583.8-10.3
17 Pato3773019%71.980.5-8.6
18 Osasco3873118%76.187.8-11.8
19 Cearense3873118%76.288.9-12.7
20 Vasco3863216%71.581.4-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano2427281392
Pato1518182071
← all games of the day
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