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Paulistano vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 79-68
23-17 24-15 25-13 7-23
Position#7
Record5-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#12
Record5-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game78.3
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr (Sao Paulo)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Paulistano v Pato
18 Apr 2026
PAUL92
PATO71
26 Mar 2025
PAUL77
PATO94
22 Nov 2023
PAUL79
PATO68
23 Apr 2023
PAUL92
PATO78
21 Apr 2023
PAUL90
PATO57
24 Oct 2022
PAUL76
PATO69
26 Jan 2022
PAUL82
PATO86
12 Dec 2020
PAUL75
PATO68
27 Dec 2019
PAUL74
PATO96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Minas
#4
L
68-77
68
77
-9
no box
H02/05
NBB
Minas
#4
W
83-68
83
68
+15
no box
A07/05
NBB
Minas
#4
L
67-71
67
71
-4
no box
A09/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
50-89
50
89
-39
38avg 64
A23/10
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
71-75
71
75
-4
64avg 64
A26/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
71-52
71
52
+19
70avg 64
H02/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
80-73
80
73
+7
79avg 64
H04/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
67-55
67
55
+12
58avg 64
H06/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
72-68
72
68
+4
65avg 64
A09/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
72avg 64
A17/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
8-11
24-21
18-21
13-19
21-20
23-12
26-17
12-18
22-16
7-15
26-22
14-24
11-22
15-14
10-29
14-20
28-14
16-19
13-22
17-9
17-16
19-14
18-13
20-23
26-16
16-15
18-19
11-16
18-14
23-13
15-12
21-12
22-22
20-18
9-16
20-20
20-13
22-21
17-17
140.7Avg total
70.8Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)70.069.0139.0+1.071%
Season at home (3)72.760.0132.7+12.7100%
Season away (4)68.075.8143.8-7.850%
Last 10 (10)70.869.9140.7+0.960%
Last 5 (5)73.863.8137.6+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)60.086.0146.0-26.00%
vs Similar (14)76.574.4150.9+2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.170.4154.5+13.792%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
71-84
71
84
-13
66avg 69
A15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
79-71
79
71
+8
74avg 69
A24/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
62-71
62
71
-9
56avg 69
A27/10
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
83-65
83
65
+18
74avg 69
H31/10
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
78-80
78
80
-2
70avg 69
H03/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
69-100
69
100
-31
58avg 69
A06/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
87-70
87
70
+17
85avg 69
A08/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
73-70
73
70
+3
69avg 69
H14/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
87-83
87
83
+4
78avg 69
H16/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
67-89
67
89
-22
56avg 69
A20/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
22-15
12-26
20-20
23-15
17-17
25-22
14-17
23-22
19-18
11-13
9-18
24-16
18-15
16-22
25-12
15-20
25-22
17-12
21-26
14-22
15-25
16-28
24-25
23-15
25-16
18-24
21-15
19-17
14-21
22-14
18-18
21-17
23-29
17-18
26-19
25-20
19-20
10-22
13-27
153.9Avg total
75.6Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.678.3153.9-2.750%
Season at home (4)80.274.5154.8+5.875%
Season away (6)72.580.8153.3-8.333%
Last 10 (10)75.678.3153.9-2.750%
Last 5 (5)76.682.4159.0-5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)73.883.7157.5-9.925%
vs Similar (8)77.477.9155.2-0.550%
vs Weaker (6)90.886.8177.7+4.067%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.6-0.6
PaulistanoPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#4
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H02/05
NBB
Minas
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A07/05
NBB
Minas
#4
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A09/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A23/10
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A26/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H02/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H04/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H06/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A09/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A17/11
NBB
70.2Avg total
35.3Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.336.575.8+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.934.176.0+7.773%-
Last 30 away (15)36.738.975.5-2.233%-
Last 10 (10)35.334.970.2+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.432.270.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.546.577.0-16.00%-
vs Similar (14)39.737.477.1+2.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.834.375.1+6.577%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A27/10
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H31/10
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H03/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A06/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A08/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H14/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H16/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A20/11
NBB
78.6Avg total
40.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.580.3-0.733%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.637.578.2+3.138%-
Last 30 away (17)39.142.881.9-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.578.6+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.480.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.140.278.4-2.125%-
vs Similar (8)39.538.477.9+1.150%-
vs Weaker (6)44.544.088.5+0.533%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 69.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.3 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.019.1
45.6%
51.8%38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.1
29.5%
33.9%18.4
🏀 Free throws17.312.4
71.9%
72.6%12.4
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.3
52.6%
51.8%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.0
33.4%
33.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws14.99.8
65.8%
72.6%9.8
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
WWWWWLLLWL
Pato
LWWWLLWLWL
#7
League position
#12
+1.0
Net rating
-4.3
95.5
Offensive rating
103.3
94.5
Defensive rating
107.6
45.1%
Effective FG%
51.4%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
21.9%
Turnover %
17.5%
37.3%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.5%
3-point %
33.4%
58.8%
Assist %
63.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.5 · 103.3Defence94.5 · 107.6Shooting45.1% · 51.4%3-point %29.5% · 33.4%Ball care21.9% · 17.5%Off. rebounds37.3% · 27.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Paulistano   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Paulistano wins
3
Pato wins
DateGameScore
23/04/23Paulistano v Pato92-78
21/04/23Paulistano v Pato90-57
18/04/23Pato v Paulistano82-70
17/01/23Pato v Paulistano75-87
24/10/22Paulistano v Pato76-69
26/01/22Paulistano v Pato82-86
30/10/21Pato v Paulistano55-68
02/04/21Pato v Paulistano49-87
12/12/20Paulistano v Pato75-68
27/12/19Paulistano v Pato74-96
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23ACorinthians Paulista79-71
09/11/23APinheiros72-68
06/11/23HUnifacisa67-55
04/11/23HCearense80-73
02/11/23HSao Paulo71-52
26/10/23ABauru71-75
23/10/23AFranca50-89
09/05/23AMinas67-71
07/05/23AMinas83-68
02/05/23HMinas68-77
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/23ASao Paulo67-89
16/11/23HFranca87-83
14/11/23HBauru73-70
08/11/23AMogi87-70
06/11/23ASao Jose69-100
03/11/23HBrasilia78-80
31/10/23HCerrado83-65
27/10/23AVasco62-71
24/10/23ABotafogo79-71
15/10/23AFlamengo71-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game70.072.768.0
Allowed / game69.060.075.8
Point differential+1.0+12.7-7.8
Avg total139.0132.7143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pato
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%75%33%
Points / game75.680.272.5
Allowed / game78.374.580.8
Point differential-2.7+5.8-8.3
Avg total153.9154.8153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas76186%83.072.0+11.0
2 Cearense76186%78.673.9+4.7
3 Vasco86275%71.264.6+6.6
4 Franca75271%88.179.3+8.9
5 Flamengo75271%79.971.4+8.4
6 Paulistano75271%70.069.0+1.0
7 Sao Jose74357%79.673.7+5.9
8 Caxias do Sul74357%75.175.7-0.6
9 Bauru95456%77.376.6+0.8
10 Unifacisa63350%74.271.0+3.2
11 Corinthians Paulista63350%77.576.7+0.8
12 Pato105550%75.678.3-2.7
13 Uniao Corinthians84450%75.479.1-3.8
14 Sao Paulo83538%77.881.6-3.9
15 Pinheiros72529%75.779.3-3.6
16 Brasilia82625%73.083.4-10.4
17 Botafogo102820%74.682.5-7.9
18 Mogi71614%71.478.4-7.0
19 Cerrado81712%71.475.8-4.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano232425779
Pato1715132368
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