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Paulistano vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 77-94
14-26 23-20 20-23 20-25
Position#12
Record13-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Pato 🏆
Brazil
Position#14
Record10-18
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game84.8
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2024-25
Meetings · Paulistano v Pato
18 Apr 2026
PAUL92
PATO71
26 Mar 2025
PAUL77
PATO94
22 Nov 2023
PAUL79
PATO68
23 Apr 2023
PAUL92
PATO78
21 Apr 2023
PAUL90
PATO57
24 Oct 2022
PAUL76
PATO69
26 Jan 2022
PAUL82
PATO86
12 Dec 2020
PAUL75
PATO68
27 Dec 2019
PAUL74
PATO96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
W
76-63
76
63
+13
73avg 71
H10/01
NBB
Franca
#2
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
79avg 71
A18/01
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
85-73
85
73
+12
85avg 71
A20/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
69-61
69
61
+8
42avg 71
A05/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
65-74
65
74
-9
55avg 71
A11/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
93-78
93
78
+15
95avg 71
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
63avg 71
H27/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
84-87
84
87
-3
74avg 71
H06/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
82avg 71
A15/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 71
A17/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-9
14-17
19-17
18-20
20-22
18-21
22-20
17-14
21-18
29-12
22-26
13-17
16-13
15-19
20-15
18-14
22-17
12-13
12-19
19-25
28-13
25-27
28-20
12-18
19-13
16-26
9-17
31-21
12-25
20-23
26-10
26-29
17-18
20-22
20-18
20-19
16-20
27-20
18-23
17-20
158.5Avg total
80.6Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.876.5155.3+2.446%
Season at home (14)79.976.6156.6+3.350%
Season away (14)77.776.3154.0+1.443%
Last 10 (10)80.677.9158.5+2.750%
Last 5 (5)85.084.8169.8+0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.288.0168.2-7.817%
vs Similar ◀ (17)78.473.7152.1+4.753%
vs Weaker (7)77.375.6152.9+1.743%
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
76-85
76
85
-9
68avg 75
H29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
67-80
67
80
-13
52avg 75
A10/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 75
A13/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
78-65
78
65
+13
70avg 75
H20/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
81-74
81
74
+7
70avg 75
H22/01
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
91-94
91
94
-3
87avg 75
H05/02
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
86-98
86
98
-12
70avg 75
A14/02
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
76-91
76
91
-15
73avg 75
A16/02
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
81-91
81
91
-10
67avg 75
A28/02
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
98-80
98
80
+18
124avg 75
H14/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
22-18
25-23
10-22
15-16
19-13
13-22
20-29
31-17
19-29
16-23
10-11
16-20
21-15
16-17
25-13
24-19
17-22
19-15
21-18
15-18
26-23
19-27
31-26
19-18
24-29
21-29
22-22
29-26
27-24
13-19
7-22
12-19
22-27
22-25
25-20
25-15
22-24
28-19
23-22
164.8Avg total
81.0Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.384.8167.1-2.536%
Season at home (15)85.882.2168.0+3.660%
Season away (13)78.287.8166.0-9.58%
Last 10 (10)81.083.8164.8-2.830%
Last 5 (5)86.490.8177.2-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.994.1178.0-10.212%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.280.2159.5-1.041%
vs Weaker (5)84.484.2168.6+0.240%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
PaulistanoPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H10/01
NBB
Franca
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A18/01
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A20/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A05/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A11/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H27/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H06/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A15/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A17/03
NBB
76.0Avg total
39.2Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.478.1+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.239.478.6-0.138%-
Last 30 away (14)40.237.277.4+3.050%-
Last 10 (10)39.236.876.0+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.481.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.245.787.8-3.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.136.476.5+3.847%-
vs Weaker (7)36.637.073.6-0.443%-
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A10/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A13/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H22/01
NBB
Bauru
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H05/02
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A14/02
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A16/02
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A28/02
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H14/03
NBB
83.8Avg total
42.4Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.982.4+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.839.481.2+2.362%-
Last 30 away (14)41.442.583.9-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.441.483.8+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)44.244.688.8-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.845.487.1-3.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.238.678.8+1.559%-
vs Weaker (5)46.041.287.2+4.880%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.220.1
48.8%
50.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.5
34.6%
33.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.813.9
73.9%
72.7%13.9
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.317.8
49.0%
50.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.011.1
34.7%
33.0%33.3
🏀 Free throws15.311.4
74.5%
72.7%11.4
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
LLLLWLWWWW
Pato
WLLLLWWLLL
#12
League position
#14
+3.0
Net rating
-3.4
103.8
Offensive rating
109.5
100.8
Defensive rating
113.0
49.9%
Effective FG%
50.4%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
20.5%
Turnover %
17.8%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.6%
3-point %
34.7%
62.6%
Assist %
59.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 109.5Defence100.8 · 113.0Shooting49.9% · 50.4%3-point %34.6% · 34.7%Ball care20.5% · 17.8%Off. rebounds33.6% · 36.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Paulistano   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Paulistano wins
4
Pato wins
DateGameScore
17/11/24Pato v Paulistano66-65
09/03/24Pato v Paulistano83-73
22/11/23Paulistano v Pato79-68
23/04/23Paulistano v Pato92-78
21/04/23Paulistano v Pato90-57
18/04/23Pato v Paulistano82-70
17/01/23Pato v Paulistano75-87
24/10/22Paulistano v Pato76-69
26/01/22Paulistano v Pato82-86
30/10/21Pato v Paulistano55-68
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/25AUniao Corinthians78-83
15/03/25ACaxias do Sul95-99 OT
06/03/25HCearense84-87
27/02/25HUnifacisa75-77
13/02/25HSao Jose93-78
11/02/25ACorinthians Paulista65-74
05/02/25APinheiros69-61
20/01/25ABauru85-73
18/01/25AFranca86-84 OT
10/01/25HMogi76-63
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25HBrasilia98-80
28/02/25AFlamengo81-91
16/02/25ABotafogo76-91
14/02/25AVasco86-98
05/02/25HBauru91-94
22/01/25HUniao Corinthians81-74
20/01/25HCaxias do Sul78-65
13/01/25ACearense76-80
10/01/25AUnifacisa67-80
29/12/24HCorinthians Paulista76-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL46%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %46%50%43%
Points / game78.879.977.7
Allowed / game76.576.676.3
Point differential+2.4+3.3+1.4
Avg total155.3156.6154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won18% (11)25% (4)14% (7)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Pato
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW36%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %36%60%8%
Points / game82.385.878.2
Allowed / game84.882.287.8
Point differential-2.5+3.6-9.5
Avg total167.1168.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)75% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2723485%82.871.5+11.3
2 Flamengo2720774%83.774.6+9.1
3 Brasilia29191066%82.580.0+2.5
4 Franca2617965%83.778.0+5.7
5 Uniao Corinthians27161159%79.378.8+0.4
6 Vasco28161257%77.175.7+1.5
7 Bauru29161355%78.079.0-1.0
8 Pinheiros29151452%76.375.5+0.9
9 Unifacisa28141450%75.575.3+0.2
10 Corinthians Paulista29141548%80.679.1+1.4
11 Sao Jose29141548%78.178.6-0.5
12 Paulistano28131546%78.876.5+2.4
13 Sao Paulo29111838%75.979.4-3.6
14 Pato28101836%82.384.8-2.5
15 Caxias do Sul28101836%74.579.3-4.8
16 Mogi2992031%74.081.4-7.4
17 Cearense2882029%71.878.1-6.3
18 Botafogo2882029%73.081.0-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano1423202077
Pato2620232594
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