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Pelister vs Vardar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 116-74
31-18 28-20 30-13 27-23
Position#3
Record5-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game73.1
Pelister 🏆
Macedonia
vs
Vardar
Macedonia
Position#10
Record3-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game90.0
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 9· Boro Curlevski Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pelister v Vardar
26 Nov 2023
PEL116
VARD74
10 Dec 2020
PEL122
VARD72
08 Feb 2020
PEL96
VARD81
06 Apr 2019
PEL81
VARD74
15 Mar 2019
PEL98
VARD80
08 Apr 2017
PEL77
VARD70
21 Jan 2017
PEL69
VARD57
17 Apr 2014
PEL77
VARD83
02 Nov 2013
PEL75
VARD85
20 Apr 2013
PEL76
VARD81
09 Feb 2013
PEL89
VARD80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pelister winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vardar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PelisterMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelister
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#6
L
78-91
78
91
-13
72avg 71
H13/10
ABA League 2
MZT Skopje
#1
W
81-71
81
71
+10
79avg 71
H18/10
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
W
66-60
66
60
+6
61avg 71
A21/10
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
97-57
97
57
+40
101avg 71
H28/10
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
80-73
80
73
+7
78avg 71
A05/11
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
W
87-70
87
70
+17
83avg 71
H11/11
Prva Liga
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
64-74
64
74
-10
55avg 71
A15/11
ABA League 2
TFT Skopje
#15
W
83-79
83
79
+4
81avg 71
H17/11
ABA League 2
Zlatibor
#3
L
76-84
76
84
-8
72avg 71
A19/11
ABA League 2
Cair 2030
#4
L
80-87
80
87
-7
68avg 71
A22/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
15-23
23-24
15-22
20-13
19-17
21-21
21-20
20-13
13-18
17-14
16-15
22-19
35-14
25-12
15-12
29-15
17-27
19-18
15-13
28-21
22-12
24-14
13-23
22-14
15-20
11-26
16-14
16-21
23-11
20-27
24-20
17-17
19-14
22-23
18-30
13-25
27-23
18-19
22-20
153.8Avg total
79.2Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.073.1154.1+7.962%
Season at home (4)88.572.5161.0+16.075%
Season away (4)73.573.8147.2-0.250%
Last 10 (10)79.274.6153.8+4.660%
Last 5 (5)78.078.8156.8-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.186.9162.0-11.89%
vs Similar (7)85.778.4164.1+7.386%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.875.2161.0+10.575%
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VardarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVardar
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje 2
#10
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
A11/05
Superleague
MZT Skopje 2
#10
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H13/05
Superleague
Ohrid
#12
W
90-83
90
83
+7
86avg 64
H30/09
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
68avg 64
A09/10
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
64-88
64
88
-24
51avg 64
H14/10
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
76-100
76
100
-24
54avg 64
A21/10
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
68-119
68
119
-51
52avg 64
H28/10
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
102-91
102
91
+11
102avg 64
H05/11
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
57-78
57
78
-21
46avg 64
A11/11
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
75-90
75
90
-15
56avg 64
H18/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
23-19
17-21
18-18
–
–
–
–
13-21
21-21
22-20
34-21
12-18
20-14
23-18
25-21
8-27
19-23
22-22
15-16
19-20
18-31
20-31
19-18
24-30
10-30
21-30
13-29
23-27
24-23
24-23
31-18
9-20
19-25
18-20
11-13
15-25
12-20
27-20
21-25
151.5Avg total
69.0Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.590.0166.5-13.538%
Season at home (5)79.894.2174.0-14.440%
Season away (3)71.083.0154.0-12.033%
Last 10 (10)69.082.5151.5-13.530%
Last 5 (5)75.695.6171.2-20.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)72.388.8161.2-16.512%
vs Similar (4)87.278.5165.8+8.8100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pelister) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -8.0-8.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -8.0-8.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
PelisterVardar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PelisterLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H13/10
ABA League 2
MZT Skopje
#1
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H18/10
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A21/10
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H28/10
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A05/11
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H11/11
Prva Liga
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A15/11
ABA League 2
TFT Skopje
#15
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H17/11
ABA League 2
Zlatibor
#3
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A19/11
ABA League 2
Cair 2030
#4
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A22/11
Prva Liga
77.6Avg total
41.7Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.981.7+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.638.283.9+7.479%-
Last 30 away (16)38.641.379.9-2.844%-
Last 10 (10)41.735.977.6+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.676.0+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.442.379.6-4.936%-
vs Similar (7)46.440.086.4+6.486%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.337.680.9+5.867%-
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VardarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje 2
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A11/05
Superleague
Ohrid
#12
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H30/09
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A09/10
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H14/10
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A21/10
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
34-60
34
60
-26
H28/10
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H05/11
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A11/11
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H18/11
Prva Liga
81.1Avg total
34.3Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.943.881.7-5.928%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.945.584.4-6.533%-
Last 30 away (14)36.942.078.9-5.121%-
Last 10 (9)34.346.881.1-12.40%-
Last 5 (5)34.650.284.8-15.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.444.281.6-6.828%-
vs Similar (4)41.241.582.8-0.225%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pelister) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pelistertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelister: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.8
55.0%
53.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.0
33.9%
32.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.815.6
71.6%
70.3%15.6
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vardartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vardar: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.5 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.2
48.5%
53.9%36.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.1
30.8%
32.2%24.4
🏀 Free throws22.115.1
68.4%
70.3%15.1
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 26 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pelister
LLWLWWWWWL
Vardar
LLWLLLWWLL
#3
League position
#10
+6.7
Net rating
-15.8
105.5
Offensive rating
93.1
98.8
Defensive rating
108.9
53.4%
Effective FG%
47.6%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
20.9%
Turnover %
20.2%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.9%
3-point %
30.8%
65.8%
Assist %
57.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 93.1Defence98.8 · 108.9Shooting53.4% · 47.6%3-point %33.9% · 30.8%Ball care20.9% · 20.2%Off. rebounds30.1% · 21.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Pelister   ■ Vardar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Pelister wins
2
Vardar wins
DateGameScore
30/01/21Vardar v Pelister80-105
10/12/20Pelister v Vardar122-72
08/02/20Pelister v Vardar96-81
16/11/19Vardar v Pelister71-95
08/05/19Vardar v Pelister86-83
06/04/19Pelister v Vardar81-74
15/03/19Pelister v Vardar98-80
18/11/18Vardar v Pelister65-63
08/04/17Pelister v Vardar77-70
18/03/17Vardar v Pelister81-85 OT
Pelisterlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23ACair 203080-87
19/11/23AZlatibor76-84
17/11/23HTFT Skopje83-79
15/11/23AVojvodina Novi Sad64-74
11/11/23HTFT Skopje87-70
05/11/23AFeniks 201080-73
28/10/23HOhrid97-57
21/10/23ATikvesh66-60
18/10/23HMZT Skopje81-71
13/10/23HMZT Skopje78-91
Vardarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HGostivar75-90
11/11/23AKozuv57-78
05/11/23HFMP Akademija102-91
28/10/23HRabotnicki68-119
21/10/23ACair 203076-100
14/10/23HTFT Skopje64-88
09/10/23AFeniks 201080-71
30/09/23HOhrid90-83
13/05/21HMZT Skopje 20-20
11/05/21AMZT Skopje 278-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pelister
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game81.088.573.5
Allowed / game73.172.573.8
Point differential+7.9+16.0-0.2
Avg total154.1161.0147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vardar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%40%33%
Points / game76.579.871.0
Allowed / game90.094.283.0
Point differential-13.5-14.4-12.0
Avg total166.5174.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 MZT Skopje98189%79.664.7+14.9
2 Tikvesh96367%82.668.4+14.1
3 Rabotnicki96367%85.472.3+13.1
4 Cair 203096367%85.180.6+4.6
5 Pelister85362%81.073.1+7.9
6 TFT Skopje95456%70.668.1+2.4
7 Feniks 201084450%79.679.6+0.0
8 Gostivar94544%76.779.9-3.2
9 Vardar83538%76.590.0-13.5
10 Kozuv92722%77.480.3-2.9
11 FMP Akademija92722%76.995.2-18.3
12 Ohrid81712%67.990.0-22.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pelister31283027116
Vardar1820132374
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