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Pelplin vs Krosno Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-69
30-18 14-17 21-20 19-14
Position#7
Record16-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game82.3
Pelplin 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#1
Record22-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game79.4
Poland1 LigaRound 30· Zespol Ksztalcenia i Wychowania nr
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pelplin v Krosno
09 Oct 2026
PELP91
KROS80
12 Mar 2025
PELP84
KROS69
31 Jan 2024
PELP68
KROS75
06 Nov 2022
PELP74
KROS80
27 Nov 2021
PELP78
KROS70
27 Feb 2021
PELP83
KROS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pelplin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Krosno winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
Inowroclaw
#9
W
78-74
78
74
+4
68avg 75
H15/01
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
66-101
66
101
-35
41avg 75
A19/01
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
86-68
86
68
+18
91avg 75
H26/01
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
71-97
71
97
-26
54avg 75
A02/02
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
77-68
77
68
+9
74avg 75
H05/02
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
82-83
82
83
-1
82avg 75
A09/02
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
77-92
77
92
-15
74avg 75
H15/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
92-91
92
91
+1
91avg 75
A26/02
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
69-71
69
71
-2
62avg 75
A02/03
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
80-70
80
70
+10
78avg 75
A08/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
18-18
26-19
20-11
17-33
18-21
16-22
15-25
28-19
24-16
12-18
22-15
21-26
18-25
18-26
14-20
22-8
25-14
12-25
18-21
22-22
16-25
24-16
20-20
21-24
26-21
22-19
8-28
29-15
32-29
17-25
14-22
13-16
14-22
14-13
28-20
23-24
13-19
23-13
21-14
159.3Avg total
77.8Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.282.3164.6-0.155%
Season at home (14)84.281.5165.7+2.764%
Season away (15)80.483.1163.5-2.747%
Last 10 (10)77.881.5159.3-3.750%
Last 5 (5)80.081.4161.4-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)78.190.3168.4-12.114%
vs Similar (17)85.183.4168.5+1.859%
vs Weaker (6)81.073.8154.8+7.283%
This opponent (Krosno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KrosnoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKrosno
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
92-67
92
67
+25
90avg 80
H15/01
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
73-70
73
70
+3
66avg 80
A22/01
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
95-109
95
109
-14
95avg 80
H26/01
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
73-85
73
85
-12
72avg 80
A31/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
81-79
81
79
+2
78avg 80
H05/02
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
89-65
89
65
+24
90avg 80
A09/02
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
102-80
102
80
+22
112avg 80
H16/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
77-52
77
52
+25
81avg 80
H26/02
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
W
80-71
80
71
+9
83avg 80
A02/03
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
93-94
93
94
-1
93avg 80
H09/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
20-12
20-11
28-27
21-16
18-18
13-19
21-17
23-21
22-34
23-30
27-24
19-22
18-29
17-15
19-19
13-27
26-13
15-17
27-22
29-15
16-15
27-23
17-12
30-21
21-17
31-23
20-19
18-16
23-12
25-10
11-14
22-23
19-19
21-13
18-16
14-24
27-20
29-22
23-28
162.7Avg total
85.5Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)85.779.4165.1+6.376%
Season at home (15)89.981.4171.3+8.573%
Season away (14)81.277.2158.4+4.079%
Last 10 (10)85.577.2162.7+8.370%
Last 5 (5)88.272.4160.6+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)82.580.3162.8+2.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.079.7165.7+6.375%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
PelplinKrosno
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inowroclaw
#9
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H15/01
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A19/01
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H26/01
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A02/02
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
47-22
47
22
+25
H05/02
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A09/02
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H15/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A26/02
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A02/03
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A08/03
1 Liga
83.7Avg total
41.4Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.583.5-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.343.985.2-2.636%-
Last 30 away (16)40.941.282.1-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.383.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.485.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.445.687.0-4.143%-
vs Similar (17)41.242.183.2-0.947%-
vs Weaker (6)40.340.080.3+0.333%-
This opponent (Krosno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KrosnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H15/01
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A22/01
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H26/01
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A31/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H05/02
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A09/02
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H16/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H26/02
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A02/03
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H09/03
1 Liga
81.4Avg total
42.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.781.3+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.541.183.5+1.447%-
Last 30 away (15)40.738.379.1+2.447%-
Last 10 (10)42.339.181.4+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.836.480.2+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)40.541.582.0-1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.939.281.1+2.650%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.620.4
49.0%
51.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.16.4
27.7%
32.5%19.2
🏀 Free throws24.817.0
68.5%
70.2%17.0
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Krosnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Krosno: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.9
56.2%
51.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.49.1
38.9%
32.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws25.817.8
69.0%
70.2%17.8
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pelplin
WLWLLWLWLW
Krosno
LWWWWWLLWW
#7
League position
#1
-5.0
Net rating
+12.1
99.2
Offensive rating
115.1
104.2
Defensive rating
103.1
46.4%
Effective FG%
57.1%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
18.2%
Turnover %
17.9%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.44
27.7%
3-point %
38.9%
67.9%
Assist %
75.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 115.1Defence104.2 · 103.1Shooting46.4% · 57.1%3-point %27.7% · 38.9%Ball care18.2% · 17.9%Off. rebounds29.7% · 29.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Pelplin   ■ Krosno
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pelplin wins
7
Krosno wins
DateGameScore
04/12/24Krosno v Pelplin92-89
31/01/24Pelplin v Krosno68-75
18/10/23Krosno v Pelplin82-72
12/02/23Krosno v Pelplin83-82
06/11/22Pelplin v Krosno74-80
12/03/22Krosno v Pelplin81-87
27/11/21Pelplin v Krosno78-70
27/02/21Pelplin v Krosno83-91
15/11/20Krosno v Pelplin99-83
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25ATrefl Sopot II80-70
02/03/25APolonia Warszawa69-71
26/02/25AGKS Tychy92-91
15/02/25HBydgoszcz77-92
09/02/25AR. Rzeszow82-83
05/02/25HStarogard Gdanski77-68
02/02/25ASlask Wroclaw II71-97
26/01/25HMKKS Koszalin86-68
19/01/25AKotwica Kolobrzeg66-101
15/01/25HInowroclaw78-74
Krosnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HLKS Lodz93-94
02/03/25APoznan80-71
26/02/25HLancut77-52
16/02/25HTrefl Sopot II102-80
09/02/25APolonia Warszawa89-65
05/02/25HGKS Tychy81-79
31/01/25ABydgoszcz73-85
26/01/25HR. Rzeszow95-109
22/01/25AStarogard Gdanski73-70
15/01/25HSlask Wroclaw II92-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pelplin
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW55%
HomeLWWWL64%
AwayLLWLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %55%64%47%
Points / game82.284.280.4
Allowed / game82.381.583.1
Point differential-0.1+2.7-2.7
Avg total164.6165.7163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%21%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)75% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Krosno
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL76%
HomeLWWWL73%
AwayWWLWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %76%73%79%
Points / game85.789.981.2
Allowed / game79.481.477.2
Point differential+6.3+8.5+4.0
Avg total165.1171.3158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%47%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)60% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Krosno2922776%85.779.4+6.3
2 Bydgoszcz2921872%84.377.6+6.7
3 Kotwica Kolobrzeg30181260%82.075.5+6.5
4 Inowroclaw29171259%80.380.6-0.2
5 Lancut30171357%84.581.9+2.6
6 WKK Wroclaw30171357%81.980.9+1.0
7 LKS Lodz29161355%86.384.2+2.1
8 Pelplin29161355%82.282.3-0.1
9 GKS Tychy29151452%82.079.2+2.8
10 Poznan29141548%83.682.1+1.5
11 Polonia Warszawa30141647%81.581.0+0.5
12 Starogard Gdanski29131645%82.180.7+1.5
13 R. Rzeszow30131743%78.885.8-7.0
14 MKKS Koszalin29121741%80.784.7-4.0
15 Slask Wroclaw II30121840%76.380.6-4.2
16 Poli. Opolska29111838%79.883.3-3.5
17 Trefl Sopot II2982128%82.688.1-5.5
18 HydroTruck Radom2982128%76.183.0-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pelplin3014211984
Krosno1817201469
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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