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Starogard Gdanski vs Pelplin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 96-91
24-24 24-21 29-28 19-18
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game66.5
vs
Position#7
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game80.5
Poland1 LigaRound 3· Hala im. Andrzeja Grubby
Other2025-26
Meetings · Starogard Gdanski v Pelplin
14 Nov 2026
STAR v PELP
upcoming
01 Oct 2025
STAR96
PELP91
27 Oct 2024
STAR88
PELP78
29 Mar 2024
STAR95
PELP65
26 Oct 2022
STAR72
PELP56
02 Jan 2022
STAR77
PELP52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Starogard Gdanski winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pelplin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGdanski
Date
Competition
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
116-86
116
86
+30
116avg 74
H26/02
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
L
68-84
68
84
-16
61avg 74
A01/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
80-74
80
74
+6
80avg 74
H07/03
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
82-74
82
74
+8
82avg 74
A12/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
85-77
85
77
+8
85avg 74
H19/03
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
59-93
59
93
-34
50avg 74
A22/03
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
99-82
99
82
+17
104avg 74
A30/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
63-95
63
95
-32
64avg 74
A05/04
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
79-68
79
68
+11
70avg 74
H21/09
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
88-65
88
65
+23
91avg 74
A26/09
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
31-21
37-12
20-25
22-24
19-13
5-18
22-29
23-15
18-15
22-19
17-25
26-14
18-14
21-23
17-23
16-21
25-14
25-19
19-23
13-32
15-21
15-19
16-21
22-25
30-21
20-19
27-17
14-27
17-24
16-26
16-18
14-23
18-14
18-24
29-7
18-16
26-7
11-23
33-19
161.7Avg total
81.9Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.566.5150.0+17.0100%
Season at home (1)79.068.0147.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)88.065.0153.0+23.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.979.8161.7+2.170%
Last 5 (5)77.680.6158.2-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.884.0155.8-12.220%
vs Similar ◀ (18)80.380.3160.6+0.144%
vs Weaker (7)92.075.7167.7+16.386%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
Krosno
#1
W
84-69
84
69
+15
82avg 78
H12/03
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
W
88-75
88
75
+13
78avg 78
A15/03
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
W
101-72
101
72
+29
104avg 78
H23/03
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
87-88
87
88
-1
73avg 78
H30/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
87-102
87
102
-15
78avg 78
A05/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
77-98
77
98
-21
71avg 78
A12/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
78-114
78
114
-36
73avg 78
A13/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
95-107
95
107
-12
87avg 78
H16/04
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
82-59
82
59
+23
78avg 78
A21/09
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
107-102
107
102
+5
103avg 78
H27/09
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-18
14-17
21-20
19-14
24-15
15-18
25-17
24-25
29-14
22-12
26-18
24-28
18-27
24-28
24-21
21-12
21-32
25-28
17-19
24-23
17-30
17-28
22-22
21-18
29-31
19-27
13-31
17-25
31-21
19-30
21-24
24-32
16-17
25-14
18-10
23-18
26-27
18-23
27-24
36-28
177.2Avg total
88.6Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)94.580.5175.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)107.0102.0209.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)82.059.0141.0+23.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.688.6177.2+0.050%
Last 5 (5)87.896.0183.8-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.794.1174.8-13.422%
vs Similar ◀ (16)88.984.8173.7+4.162%
vs Weaker (5)82.472.6155.0+9.880%
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.0+1.0
Starogard GdanskiPelplin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H26/02
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A01/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H07/03
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A12/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H19/03
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A22/03
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A30/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A05/04
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/09
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
44-23
44
23
+21
A26/09
1 Liga
80.2Avg total
41.3Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.780.3+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.740.383.0+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)38.539.177.6-0.760%-
Last 10 (10)41.338.980.2+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.442.079.4-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.241.076.2-5.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.339.679.9+0.867%-
vs Weaker (7)45.139.184.3+6.071%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Krosno
#1
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H12/03
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A15/03
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H23/03
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H30/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A05/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
34-58
34
58
-24
A12/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A13/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H16/04
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A21/09
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H27/09
1 Liga
89.6Avg total
43.9Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.986.6-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.344.188.5+0.240%-
Last 30 away (15)40.943.784.7-2.847%-
Last 10 (10)43.945.789.6-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)43.449.693.0-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.447.090.4-3.644%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.043.986.9-0.944%-
vs Weaker (5)40.038.478.4+1.640%-
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.7
52.3%
52.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.7
37.0%
31.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.415.5
72.4%
70.0%15.5
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.1
56.8%
52.0%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.9
35.1%
31.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws27.118.2
67.2%
70.0%18.2
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Starogard Gdanski
WWLWLWWWLW
Pelplin
WWLLLLLWWW
#3
League position
#7
+2.7
Net rating
-0.3
109.4
Offensive rating
110.7
106.7
Defensive rating
111.0
53.5%
Effective FG%
55.3%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
18.2%
Turnover %
17.3%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.43
37.0%
3-point %
35.1%
75.7%
Assist %
64.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 110.7Defence106.7 · 111.0Shooting53.5% · 55.3%3-point %37.0% · 35.1%Ball care18.2% · 17.3%Off. rebounds29.0% · 25.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Starogard Gdanski   ■ Pelplin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Starogard Gdanski wins
2
Pelplin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/25AMiners Katowice88-65
21/09/25HR. Rzeszow79-68
05/04/25ABydgoszcz63-95
30/03/25AR. Rzeszow99-82
22/03/25ALancut59-93
19/03/25HSlask Wroclaw II85-77
12/03/25AMKKS Koszalin82-74
07/03/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg80-74
01/03/25AInowroclaw68-84
26/02/25HHydroTruck Radom116-86
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25HSpojnia Stargard107-102
21/09/25AMiners Katowice82-59
16/04/25HBydgoszcz95-107
13/04/25ABydgoszcz78-114
12/04/25ABydgoszcz77-98
05/04/25APoli. Opolska87-102
30/03/25HLancut87-88
23/03/25HLKS Lodz101-72
15/03/25APoznan88-75
12/03/25HKrosno84-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.579.088.0
Allowed / game66.568.065.0
Point differential+17.0+11.0+23.0
Avg total150.0147.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pelplin
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.5107.082.0
Allowed / game80.5102.059.0
Point differential+14.0+5.0+23.0
Avg total175.0209.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz330100%94.069.7+24.3
2 Starogard Gdanski220100%83.566.5+17.0
3 Pelplin220100%94.580.5+14.0
4 LKS Lodz220100%86.574.5+12.0
5 GKS Tychy330100%88.378.7+9.7
6 Kotwica Kolobrzeg110100%76.070.0+6.0
7 Poznan32167%85.369.7+15.7
8 Polonia Warszawa32167%85.385.3+0.0
9 Lancut32167%77.780.3-2.7
10 WKK Wroclaw31233%78.077.7+0.3
11 Poli. Opolska31233%84.386.0-1.7
12 Leszno31233%73.784.7-11.0
13 Spojnia Stargard1010%102.0107.0-5.0
14 Zubry Bialystok3030%79.386.7-7.3
15 R. Rzeszow3030%74.383.0-8.7
16 Miners Katowice3030%70.092.7-22.7
17 Inowroclaw3030%74.799.7-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Starogard Gdanski2424291996
Pelplin2421281891
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