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Pelplin vs Inowroclaw Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 70-79
25-13 9-20 18-24 18-22
Position#7
Record17-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#14
Record11-18
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game83.3
Poland1 LigaRound 30· Zespol Ksztalcenia i Wychowania nr
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pelplin v Inowroclaw
19 Dec 2026
PELP v INOW
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
PELP70
INOW79
15 Jan 2025
PELP78
INOW74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pelplin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Inowroclaw winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
92-80
92
80
+12
85avg 77
H21/01
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
72-86
72
86
-14
55avg 77
A24/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
73-76
73
76
-3
61avg 77
H01/02
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
81-95
81
95
-14
no box
A07/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
83-69
83
69
+14
74avg 77
H13/02
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
106-83
106
83
+23
81avg 77
A22/02
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
W
82-75
82
75
+7
72avg 77
H01/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
81-104
81
104
-23
73avg 77
A07/03
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
80-93
80
93
-13
62avg 77
A15/03
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 77
A21/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
29-27
14-18
19-12
20-26
16-18
20-21
16-21
14-21
22-14
15-21
22-20
21-22
29-28
13-22
18-23
23-20
24-23
21-8
15-18
28-24
25-16
27-22
26-21
17-23
20-19
21-16
24-17
22-28
28-25
18-25
13-26
19-23
19-29
25-17
17-24
24-12
21-26
20-21
26-25
168.6Avg total
84.1Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)86.383.2169.5+3.161%
Season at home (14)85.677.9163.6+7.786%
Season away (14)86.988.5175.4-1.636%
Last 10 (10)84.184.5168.6-0.450%
Last 5 (5)88.087.8175.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.096.2177.2-15.217%
vs Similar (15)85.584.1169.5+1.453%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)91.279.2170.4+12.089%
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
InowroclawPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormInowroclaw
Date
Competition
Zubry Bialystok
#17
L
80-81
80
81
-1
68avg 72
H25/01
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
L
75-81
75
81
-6
70avg 72
A31/01
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
89-55
89
55
+34
96avg 72
H08/02
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
69-57
69
57
+12
75avg 72
A14/02
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
79-70
79
70
+9
77avg 72
H22/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
73-110
73
110
-37
60avg 72
A28/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
87-101
87
101
-14
84avg 72
H07/03
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
L
66-72
66
72
-6
53avg 72
A13/03
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
79-67
79
67
+12
81avg 72
H22/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
95-71
95
71
+24
88avg 72
H25/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
18-24
18-18
22-17
27-19
20-19
14-24
14-19
30-10
24-14
15-18
20-13
8-11
18-16
20-15
23-15
14-14
21-24
20-11
24-21
24-33
21-23
16-26
12-28
19-33
29-20
21-21
18-27
18-23
10-13
22-18
16-18
31-18
12-20
15-16
21-13
22-22
18-15
26-22
29-12
155.7Avg total
79.2Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.083.3163.3-3.338%
Season at home (16)80.982.9163.9-2.044%
Season away (13)78.883.8162.5-5.031%
Last 10 (10)79.276.5155.7+2.750%
Last 5 (5)80.084.2164.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.589.0166.5-11.523%
vs Similar (15)81.179.4160.5+1.747%
vs Weaker (2)81.571.5153.0+10.050%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
PelplinInowroclaw
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H21/01
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A24/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H01/02
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A07/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H13/02
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A22/02
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H01/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A07/03
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A15/03
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A21/03
1 Liga
89.8Avg total
45.1Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.842.186.9+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.039.783.7+4.373%-
Last 30 away (15)45.644.590.1+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)45.144.789.8+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)44.645.089.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)44.846.391.2-1.533%-
vs Similar (15)44.642.587.1+2.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.138.683.7+6.667%-
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
InowroclawLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zubry Bialystok
#17
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H25/01
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A31/01
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
54-24
54
24
+30
H08/02
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A14/02
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H22/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A28/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H07/03
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A13/03
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H25/03
1 Liga
79.9Avg total
40.6Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.982.4-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.842.583.3-1.841%-
Last 30 away (13)40.341.081.3-0.731%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.379.9+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.084.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.944.883.7-5.831%-
vs Similar (15)41.940.282.1+1.740%-
vs Weaker (2)41.535.577.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.424.3
50.2%
52.0%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.86.5
27.3%
31.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws25.314.9
58.9%
70.0%14.9
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Inowroclawtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Inowroclaw: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.4
56.6%
52.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.1
34.3%
31.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.113.1
68.6%
70.0%13.1
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pelplin
WLLWWWLLLW
Inowroclaw
WWLLLWWWLL
#7
League position
#14
+3.0
Net rating
+3.2
87.6
Offensive rating
93.8
84.7
Defensive rating
90.6
47.2%
Effective FG%
54.4%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
14.6%
Turnover %
17.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.3%
3-point %
34.3%
63.0%
Assist %
64.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence87.6 · 93.8Defence84.7 · 90.6Shooting47.2% · 54.4%3-point %27.3% · 34.3%Ball care14.6% · 17.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Pelplin   ■ Inowroclaw
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pelplin wins
1
Inowroclaw wins
DateGameScore
07/12/25Inowroclaw v Pelplin78-99
15/01/25Pelplin v Inowroclaw78-74
09/10/24Inowroclaw v Pelplin76-73
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26AZubry Bialystok91-84
15/03/26APolonia Warszawa80-93
07/03/26ABydgoszcz81-104
01/03/26HLeszno82-75
22/02/26APoli. Opolska106-83
13/02/26HLancut83-69
07/02/26ALKS Lodz81-95
01/02/26HGKS Tychy73-76
24/01/26AKotwica Kolobrzeg72-86
21/01/26HStarogard Gdanski92-80
Inowroclawlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg95-71
22/03/26HPolonia Warszawa79-67
13/03/26ALeszno66-72
07/03/26HLancut87-101
28/02/26AGKS Tychy73-110
22/02/26HStarogard Gdanski79-70
14/02/26AMiners Katowice69-57
08/02/26HR. Rzeszow89-55
31/01/26APoznan75-81
25/01/26HZubry Bialystok80-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pelplin
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW61%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %61%86%36%
Points / game86.385.686.9
Allowed / game83.277.988.5
Point differential+3.1+7.7-1.6
Avg total169.5163.6175.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Inowroclaw
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeWWLWW44%
AwayLLWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %38%44%31%
Points / game80.080.978.8
Allowed / game83.382.983.8
Point differential-3.3-2.0-5.0
Avg total163.3163.9162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz2824486%88.876.9+11.9
2 Spojnia Stargard2819968%83.380.2+3.1
3 Lancut2819968%86.386.1+0.2
4 LKS Lodz2718967%86.479.9+6.5
5 Starogard Gdanski28181064%84.080.1+3.9
6 Pelplin28171161%86.383.2+3.1
7 GKS Tychy28171161%82.681.1+1.5
8 Kotwica Kolobrzeg27141352%81.477.3+4.1
9 Polonia Warszawa28131546%80.882.9-2.0
10 WKK Wroclaw29131645%81.282.2-1.0
11 Leszno29121741%78.382.4-4.1
12 Poznan28111739%80.181.8-1.6
13 Poli. Opolska28111739%81.983.8-2.0
14 R. Rzeszow28111739%81.183.3-2.2
15 Inowroclaw29111838%80.083.3-3.3
16 Miners Katowice2872125%80.186.1-6.0
17 Zubry Bialystok2732411%76.488.4-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pelplin259181870
Inowroclaw1320242279
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