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Pelplin vs Inowroclaw Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record5-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game93.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.9/10
Above normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#4
Record6-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game78.3
Poland1 LigaRound 14· Zespol Ksztalcenia i Wychowania nr
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pelplin v Inowroclaw
19 Dec 2026
PELP v INOW
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
PELP70
INOW79
15 Jan 2025
PELP78
INOW74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pelplin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Inowroclaw win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
78-93
78
93
-15
68avg 77
A29/04
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
89-76
89
76
+13
92avg 77
H27/09
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
61avg 77
A30/09
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
83-97
83
97
-14
74avg 77
A03/10
1 Liga
Krosno
#14
W
91-80
91
80
+11
89avg 77
H09/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#13
W
106-98
106
98
+8
98avg 77
A17/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
W
99-92
99
92
+7
90avg 77
H24/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#8
L
94-108
94
108
-14
88avg 77
A31/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
L
91-98
91
98
-7
no box
H07/11
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#15
W
108-101
108
101
+7
no box
A14/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
21-31
25-23
17-17
30-14
18-25
22-17
19-20
21-28
19-23
15-19
19-21
17-23
24-21
21-22
21-31
23-23
23-16
15-27
30-14
33-18
26-28
19-32
28-20
34-21
20-22
25-25
20-24
25-29
27-28
27-30
15-21
29-19
23-23
21-29
18-27
26-35
30-20
25-16
27-30
184.7Avg total
91.3Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)92.893.4186.2-0.756%
Season at home (4)92.586.5179.0+6.075%
Season away (5)93.099.0192.0-6.040%
Last 10 (10)91.393.4184.7-2.150%
Last 5 (5)99.699.4199.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)85.296.0181.2-10.820%
vs Similar ◀ (17)83.587.1170.6-3.641%
vs Weaker (8)91.583.6175.1+7.988%
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
InowroclawPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormInowroclaw
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
67-81
67
81
-14
59avg 72
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
80-66
80
66
+14
71avg 72
A18/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#13
W
75-62
75
62
+13
66avg 72
H26/09
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#8
L
87-90
87
90
-3
75avg 72
A04/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#15
W
85-80
85
80
+5
80avg 72
H11/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
L
77-96
77
96
-19
64avg 72
A17/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#12
W
79-74 OT
79
74
+5
68avg 72
H24/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
L
75-83
75
83
-8
60avg 72
A31/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
H08/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#14
W
84-78
84
78
+6
no box
A14/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
12-20
20-19
15-29
15-13
20-19
20-15
25-19
16-19
20-12
18-18
21-13
12-17
25-23
25-29
25-21
22-27
24-18
20-11
19-24
20-20
27-21
13-32
17-23
21-13
20-26
16-15
13-16
16-24
14-13
15-25
30-21
21-23
25-16
10-19
24-18
17-16
25-25
20-20
22-17
157.5Avg total
78.9Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.278.3158.6+1.967%
Season at home (4)79.873.0152.8+6.8100%
Season away (5)80.682.6163.2-2.040%
Last 10 (10)78.978.6157.5+0.360%
Last 5 (5)79.081.4160.4-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.486.0166.4-5.640%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.276.8154.1+0.438%
vs Weaker (7)81.477.3158.7+4.171%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.0+1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.0+1.0
PelplinInowroclaw
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A29/04
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H27/09
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A30/09
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A03/10
1 Liga
Krosno
#14
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H09/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#13
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A17/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H24/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#8
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A31/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H07/11
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#15
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A14/11
1 Liga
95.3Avg total
48.4Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.344.688.9-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.440.183.5+3.369%-
Last 30 away (17)45.048.193.1-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)48.446.995.3+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)54.648.6103.2+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)49.247.897.0+1.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.844.886.6-3.135%-
vs Weaker (8)46.642.188.8+4.575%-
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
InowroclawLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A18/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#13
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H26/09
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#8
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A04/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#15
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H11/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A17/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H24/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A31/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H08/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#14
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A14/11
1 Liga
77.0Avg total
39.2Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.479.0+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.739.481.1+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)37.639.577.1-1.938%-
Last 10 (10)39.237.877.0+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.480.6+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.741.679.3-3.930%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.137.477.5+2.754%-
vs Weaker (7)41.140.181.3+1.071%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.823.6
53.9%
53.9%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.1
33.5%
33.5%21.3
🏀 Free throws26.418.0
68.2%
70.8%18.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Inowroclawtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Inowroclaw: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.0
48.8%
53.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.1
31.3%
33.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.214.9
64.2%
70.8%14.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pelplin
WLLWWWLLWL
Inowroclaw
WWLWLWLWWL
#7
League position
#4
-4.1
Net rating
-1.0
92.7
Offensive rating
87.9
96.8
Defensive rating
89.0
52.7%
Effective FG%
48.1%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
17.9%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.5%
3-point %
31.3%
59.3%
Assist %
60.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.7 · 87.9Defence96.8 · 89.0Shooting52.7% · 48.1%3-point %33.5% · 31.3%Ball care17.9% · 14.5%Free throws0.41 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Pelplin   ■ Inowroclaw
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pelplin wins
2
Inowroclaw wins
DateGameScore
28/03/26Pelplin v Inowroclaw70-79
07/12/25Inowroclaw v Pelplin78-99
15/01/25Pelplin v Inowroclaw78-74
09/10/24Inowroclaw v Pelplin76-73
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AStarogard Gdanski108-101
07/11/26HLKS Lodz91-98
31/10/26APolonia Warszawa94-108
24/10/26HSpojnia Stargard99-92
17/10/26AR. Rzeszow106-98
09/10/26HKrosno91-80
03/10/26AWKK Wroclaw83-97
30/09/26ALeszno74-91
27/09/26HPoli. Opolska89-76
29/04/26ASpojnia Stargard78-93
Inowroclawlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AKrosno84-78
08/11/26HPoli. Opolska80-76
31/10/26APoznan75-83
24/10/26HBytom79-74 OT
17/10/26AGKS Tychy77-96
11/10/26HStarogard Gdanski85-80
04/10/26APolonia Warszawa87-90
26/09/26HR. Rzeszow75-62
18/09/26AWKK Wroclaw80-66
15/04/26ASpojnia Stargard67-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pelplin
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game92.892.593.0
Allowed / game93.486.599.0
Point differential-0.7+6.0-6.0
Avg total186.2179.0192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Inowroclaw
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%100%40%
Points / game80.279.880.6
Allowed / game78.373.082.6
Point differential+1.9+6.8-2.0
Avg total158.6152.8163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leszno880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Spojnia Stargard97278%90.786.2+4.4
3 LKS Lodz86275%89.279.9+9.4
4 Inowroclaw96367%80.278.3+1.9
5 Poznan85362%91.087.1+3.9
6 WKK Wroclaw85362%83.881.5+2.2
7 Pelplin95456%92.893.4-0.7
8 Polonia Warszawa95456%88.292.6-4.3
9 Lancut84450%87.084.4+2.6
10 GKS Tychy94544%79.679.1+0.4
11 Kotwica Kolobrzeg94544%89.689.1+0.4
12 Bytom82625%81.686.4-4.8
13 R. Rzeszow82625%78.287.9-9.6
14 Krosno92722%83.787.7-4.0
15 Starogard Gdanski92722%87.793.8-6.1
16 Poli. Opolska81712%80.992.4-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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