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Pelplin vs Poznan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 94-96
23-28 19-25 19-19 33-24
Position#7
Record7-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Poznan 🏆
Poland
Position#12
Record8-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game81.4
Poland1 LigaRound 14· Zespol Ksztalcenia i Wychowania nr
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pelplin v Poznan
10 Apr 2027
PELP v POZN
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
PELP85
POZN75
08 Dec 2024
PELP94
POZN96
07 Jan 2024
PELP82
POZN78
09 Dec 2022
PELP76
POZN69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pelplin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poznan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
71-81
71
81
-10
61avg 73
H12/10
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
88-79
88
79
+9
79avg 73
H16/10
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
76-74
76
74
+2
68avg 73
A20/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
78-88
78
88
-10
74avg 73
A27/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
76-63
76
63
+13
67avg 73
H02/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
84-92
84
92
-8
82avg 73
A06/11
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
68-83
68
83
-15
58avg 73
H13/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
89-85
89
85
+4
84avg 73
H16/11
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
97-91
97
91
+6
92avg 73
H30/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
89-92
89
92
-3
81avg 73
A04/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
16-28
20-17
20-15
14-14
16-28
24-14
34-23
17-15
20-14
18-24
21-21
26-24
12-17
18-17
22-30
29-16
14-15
25-18
8-14
22-22
22-27
10-17
30-26
25-18
8-24
14-22
21-19
17-25
21-26
32-9
19-25
19-27
25-22
25-22
28-20
25-11
14-25
24-29
26-27
164.4Avg total
81.6Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.181.3162.4-0.254%
Season at home (7)81.379.7161.0+1.671%
Season away (6)80.883.2164.0-2.333%
Last 10 (10)81.682.8164.4-1.250%
Last 5 (5)85.488.6174.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.883.5153.3-13.710%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.686.0169.6-2.446%
vs Weaker (7)88.775.9164.6+12.986%
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
69-81
69
81
-12
66avg 79
A19/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
98-64
98
64
+34
90avg 79
H23/10
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
74avg 79
H26/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
75-66
75
66
+9
65avg 79
H02/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
81-79
81
79
+2
68avg 79
A09/11
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
100-84
100
84
+16
95avg 79
H13/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
81-98
81
98
-17
70avg 79
A16/11
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
82-81
82
81
+1
79avg 79
H24/11
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
69avg 79
A30/11
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
94-96
94
96
-2
86avg 79
H04/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
25-19
17-15
10-25
15-20
31-15
31-18
21-11
9-20
31-29
17-24
28-19
23-22
27-22
11-13
14-9
17-21
15-15
30-25
19-18
28-25
27-27
20-21
25-11
20-26
26-25
13-22
22-25
21-22
19-23
22-17
20-19
23-23
14-24
22-19
17-20
17-24
30-23
20-25
27-24
166.8Avg total
84.1Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.981.4167.3+4.657%
Season at home (8)91.279.5170.8+11.875%
Season away (6)78.883.8162.7-5.033%
Last 10 (10)84.182.7166.8+1.450%
Last 5 (5)86.689.0175.6-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)87.889.5177.2-1.850%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.783.7166.4-1.133%
vs Weaker (11)89.974.5164.4+15.5100%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.2+2.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.2+2.2
PelplinPoznan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H12/10
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H16/10
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A20/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A27/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H02/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A06/11
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H13/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H16/11
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H30/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A04/12
1 Liga
79.6Avg total
37.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.241.981.1-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.142.979.1-6.827%-
Last 30 away (15)42.340.883.1+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)37.741.979.6-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.645.485.0-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.241.174.3-7.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.844.384.1-4.538%-
vs Weaker (7)46.738.485.1+8.371%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A19/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H23/10
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H26/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H02/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A09/11
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H13/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A16/11
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H24/11
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A30/11
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H04/12
1 Liga
88.2Avg total
43.5Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.140.985.0+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.438.684.1+6.869%-
Last 30 away (14)42.643.686.1-1.043%-
Last 10 (10)43.544.788.2-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.048.493.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.244.086.2-1.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.841.784.5+1.147%-
vs Weaker (11)46.538.885.4+7.782%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.0
53.7%
51.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.76.8
26.5%
32.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws26.218.9
72.1%
70.2%18.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.1
51.6%
51.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.2
32.3%
32.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.017.5
76.1%
70.2%17.5
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pelplin
LWWLLWLWWL
Poznan
LLWLWWWLWL
#7
League position
#12
-0.6
Net rating
+2.3
102.4
Offensive rating
107.8
103.1
Defensive rating
105.4
48.1%
Effective FG%
50.2%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
19.2%
Turnover %
17.1%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.35
26.5%
3-point %
32.3%
62.2%
Assist %
57.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 107.8Defence103.1 · 105.4Shooting48.1% · 50.2%3-point %26.5% · 32.3%Ball care19.2% · 17.1%Off. rebounds31.1% · 29.9%Free throws0.40 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Pelplin   ■ Poznan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pelplin wins
0
Poznan wins
DateGameScore
07/01/24Pelplin v Poznan82-78
23/09/23Poznan v Pelplin78-96
19/03/23Poznan v Pelplin61-71
09/12/22Pelplin v Poznan76-69
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24AKrosno89-92
30/11/24HTrefl Sopot II97-91
16/11/24HPolonia Warszawa89-85
13/11/24HGKS Tychy68-83
06/11/24ABydgoszcz84-92
02/11/24HR. Rzeszow76-63
27/10/24AStarogard Gdanski78-88
20/10/24AMKKS Koszalin76-74
16/10/24HSlask Wroclaw II88-79
12/10/24HKotwica Kolobrzeg71-81
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24HLKS Lodz94-96
30/11/24ALancut76-86
24/11/24HHydroTruck Radom82-81
16/11/24AKrosno81-98
13/11/24HTrefl Sopot II100-84
09/11/24APolonia Warszawa81-79
02/11/24HGKS Tychy75-66
26/10/24HBydgoszcz85-92
23/10/24HR. Rzeszow98-64
19/10/24AStarogard Gdanski69-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pelplin
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL54%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%71%33%
Points / game81.181.380.8
Allowed / game81.379.783.2
Point differential-0.2+1.6-2.3
Avg total162.4161.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poznan
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL57%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game85.991.278.8
Allowed / game81.479.583.8
Point differential+4.6+11.8-5.0
Avg total167.3170.8162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz1410471%80.976.0+4.9
2 Krosno1410471%85.381.7+3.6
3 Kotwica Kolobrzeg149564%78.473.2+5.2
4 Inowroclaw149564%84.182.9+1.2
5 Poznan148657%85.981.4+4.6
6 Polonia Warszawa137654%85.883.1+2.8
7 Pelplin137654%81.181.3-0.2
8 Lancut137654%82.282.8-0.7
9 GKS Tychy147750%81.478.8+2.6
10 Starogard Gdanski147750%82.880.9+1.9
11 Poli. Opolska147750%81.480.9+0.6
12 LKS Lodz136746%85.785.9-0.2
13 WKK Wroclaw136746%78.578.9-0.5
14 MKKS Koszalin135838%79.883.5-3.8
15 Trefl Sopot II145936%84.987.2-2.4
16 R. Rzeszow124833%75.583.4-7.9
17 Slask Wroclaw II134931%73.481.2-7.8
18 HydroTruck Radom1541127%78.183.4-5.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pelplin2319193394
Poznan2825192496
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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