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Pelplin vs R. Rzeszow Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-81
28-20 23-19 15-23 22-19
Position#7
Record10-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game82.6
Pelplin 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#9
Record7-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game81.1
Poland1 LigaRound 16· Zespol Ksztalcenia i Wychowania nr
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pelplin v R. Rzeszow
29 Jan 2027
PELP v R. R
upcoming
28 Dec 2025
PELP88
R. R81
02 Nov 2024
PELP76
R. R63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pelplin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
R. Rzeszow winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
W
83-72
83
72
+11
82avg 78
H19/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
70-77
70
77
-7
no box
A25/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
94-77
94
77
+17
86avg 78
H02/11
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
L
86-95
86
95
-9
72avg 78
A09/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
55avg 78
H15/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
79-57
79
57
+22
72avg 78
H22/11
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
101-89
101
89
+12
107avg 78
H30/11
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
99-78
99
78
+21
91avg 78
A07/12
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
W
85-75
85
75
+10
83avg 78
H13/12
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
W
99-92
99
92
+7
91avg 78
A20/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-11
19-22
21-26
26-13
26-20
21-16
12-22
11-19
21-17
26-17
26-28
21-15
23-19
22-27
23-27
18-22
20-14
15-19
14-31
19-21
19-11
20-12
17-22
23-12
27-19
25-21
25-27
24-22
26-14
19-18
26-20
28-26
16-19
27-21
18-18
24-17
27-11
20-29
26-22
26-30
166.1Avg total
86.4Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)87.882.6170.4+5.267%
Season at home (8)87.679.6167.2+8.088%
Season away (7)88.086.0174.0+2.043%
Last 10 (10)86.479.7166.1+6.770%
Last 5 (5)92.678.2170.8+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.891.0172.8-9.238%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.683.8169.4+1.853%
vs Weaker (7)89.178.7167.9+10.471%
This opponent (R. Rzeszow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
R. RzeszowPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRzeszow
Date
Competition
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
90-85
90
85
+5
84avg 73
A12/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
83-79
83
79
+4
74avg 73
H18/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
69-76
69
76
-7
58avg 73
A25/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
88-83
88
83
+5
77avg 73
A10/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
85-75
85
75
+10
80avg 73
H16/11
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
85-88
85
88
-3
72avg 73
A23/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
73-71
73
71
+2
no box
H01/12
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
60-79
60
79
-19
46avg 73
A06/12
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
108-83
108
83
+25
112avg 73
H15/12
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
L
96-100
96
100
-4
82avg 73
A21/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
19-22
22-23
33-22
22-24
17-15
16-26
28-14
23-12
16-24
15-25
15-15
15-24
28-24
18-15
27-20
21-16
25-19
19-18
20-22
22-17
25-30
20-24
18-17
21-16
17-21
16-19
19-15
8-13
15-23
14-22
23-21
27-15
36-19
28-26
17-23
26-20
15-32
28-19
27-29
165.6Avg total
83.7Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.681.1162.8+0.550%
Season at home (6)84.575.3159.8+9.283%
Season away (8)79.585.5165.0-6.025%
Last 10 (10)83.781.9165.6+1.860%
Last 5 (5)84.484.2168.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.688.2169.8-6.640%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.079.6161.6+2.464%
vs Weaker (1)108.083.0191.0+25.0100%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
PelplinR. Rzeszow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H19/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A25/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H02/11
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A09/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H15/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H22/11
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H30/11
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A07/12
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H13/12
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A20/12
1 Liga
79.3Avg total
43.6Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.441.584.9+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.337.581.8+6.879%-
Last 30 away (16)42.744.987.6-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)43.635.779.3+7.990%-
Last 5 (5)45.235.080.2+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)44.444.689.0-0.262%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.940.983.9+2.053%-
vs Weaker (7)43.439.082.4+4.457%-
This opponent (R. Rzeszow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
R. RzeszowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H18/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A25/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A10/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H16/11
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A23/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H01/12
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A06/12
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
63-34
63
34
+29
H15/12
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A21/12
1 Liga
81.8Avg total
41.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.781.3-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.138.382.4+5.971%-
Last 30 away (16)37.542.880.3-5.325%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.481.8+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.283.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.141.881.9-1.740%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.640.079.6-0.450%-
vs Weaker (1)63.034.097.0+29.0100%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.422.8
50.2%
52.0%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.1
34.3%
31.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws28.617.6
61.5%
70.0%17.6
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
R. Rzeszowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

R. Rzeszow: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.019.0
46.3%
52.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.6
33.9%
31.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws26.519.9
75.1%
70.0%19.9
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pelplin
WWWWWLLWLW
R. Rzeszow
LWLWLWWLWW
#7
League position
#9
+7.4
Net rating
+3.6
108.4
Offensive rating
112.4
100.9
Defensive rating
108.8
50.7%
Effective FG%
48.0%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
17.3%
Turnover %
15.2%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.40
34.3%
3-point %
33.9%
71.8%
Assist %
62.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 112.4Defence100.9 · 108.8Shooting50.7% · 48.0%3-point %34.3% · 33.9%Ball care17.3% · 15.2%Off. rebounds33.4% · 36.4%Free throws0.41 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Pelplin   ■ R. Rzeszow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pelplin wins
1
R. Rzeszow wins
DateGameScore
09/02/25R. Rzeszow v Pelplin83-82
02/11/24Pelplin v R. Rzeszow76-63
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25AWKK Wroclaw99-92
13/12/25HPoznan85-75
07/12/25AInowroclaw99-78
30/11/25HZubry Bialystok101-89
22/11/25HPolonia Warszawa79-57
15/11/25HBydgoszcz68-85
09/11/25ALeszno86-95
02/11/25HPoli. Opolska94-77
25/10/25ALancut70-77
19/10/25HLKS Lodz83-72
R. Rzeszowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25APoznan96-100
15/12/25HZubry Bialystok108-83
06/12/25ABydgoszcz60-79
01/12/25HPoli. Opolska73-71
23/11/25ALKS Lodz85-88
16/11/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg85-75
10/11/25ASpojnia Stargard88-83
25/10/25AWKK Wroclaw69-76
18/10/25HInowroclaw83-79
12/10/25APolonia Warszawa90-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pelplin
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %67%88%43%
Points / game87.887.688.0
Allowed / game82.679.686.0
Point differential+5.2+8.0+2.0
Avg total170.4167.2174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%62%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
R. Rzeszow
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %50%83%25%
Points / game81.684.579.5
Allowed / game81.175.385.5
Point differential+0.5+9.2-6.0
Avg total162.8159.8165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LKS Lodz1412286%88.376.8+11.5
2 Bydgoszcz1512380%87.575.5+12.1
3 Starogard Gdanski1512380%86.779.6+7.1
4 Pelplin1510567%87.882.6+5.2
5 Spojnia Stargard149564%84.479.8+4.6
6 Lancut159660%85.185.5-0.4
7 GKS Tychy158753%84.385.9-1.6
8 Polonia Warszawa158753%81.184.7-3.6
9 R. Rzeszow147750%81.681.1+0.5
10 Poznan157847%81.880.6+1.2
11 Leszno146843%76.981.4-4.5
12 WKK Wroclaw156940%79.782.3-2.5
13 Inowroclaw145936%79.986.4-6.5
14 Kotwica Kolobrzeg1551033%78.479.1-0.7
15 Poli. Opolska1551033%82.784.3-1.7
16 Miners Katowice1531220%79.286.3-7.1
17 Zubry Bialystok151147%77.290.4-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pelplin2823152288
R. Rzeszow2019231981
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