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Pelplin vs Poznan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 85-75
16-19 27-21 18-18 24-17
Position#7
Record8-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game82.5
Pelplin 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#15
Record5-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game79.2
Poland1 LigaRound 14· Zespol Ksztalcenia i Wychowania nr
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pelplin v Poznan
10 Apr 2027
PELP v POZN
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
PELP85
POZN75
08 Dec 2024
PELP94
POZN96
07 Jan 2024
PELP82
POZN78
09 Dec 2022
PELP76
POZN69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pelplin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poznan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
84-80
84
80
+4
38avg 78
H04/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
89-105
89
105
-16
77avg 78
A11/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
83-72
83
72
+11
82avg 78
H19/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
70-77
70
77
-7
no box
A25/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
94-77
94
77
+17
86avg 78
H02/11
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
L
86-95
86
95
-9
72avg 78
A09/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
55avg 78
H15/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
79-57
79
57
+22
72avg 78
H22/11
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
101-89
101
89
+12
107avg 78
H30/11
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
99-78
99
78
+21
91avg 78
A07/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
14-18
16-17
25-25
21-26
24-28
29-24
15-27
17-11
19-22
21-26
26-13
26-20
21-16
12-22
11-19
21-17
26-17
26-28
21-15
23-19
22-27
23-27
18-22
20-14
15-19
14-31
19-21
19-11
20-12
17-22
23-12
27-19
25-21
25-27
24-22
26-14
19-18
26-20
28-26
166.8Avg total
85.3Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.282.5169.6+4.762%
Season at home (7)88.080.3168.3+7.786%
Season away (6)86.285.0171.2+1.233%
Last 10 (10)85.381.5166.8+3.860%
Last 5 (5)86.680.8167.4+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.092.1172.1-12.133%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.782.7167.4+2.050%
vs Weaker (7)89.178.7167.9+10.471%
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
Leszno
#12
W
90-64
90
64
+26
83avg 70
A01/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
71-82
71
82
-11
59avg 70
H05/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
L
74-76
74
76
-2
65avg 70
A11/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
76-81
76
81
-5
62avg 70
H19/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
79-73
79
73
+6
67avg 70
H02/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
64-82
64
82
-18
48avg 70
A07/11
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
71avg 70
H15/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
81-94
81
94
-13
70avg 70
A21/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
102-97 OT
102
97
+5
88avg 70
H29/11
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
80-66
80
66
+14
77avg 70
A07/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
14-18
25-14
26-15
15-20
22-18
22-24
12-20
20-16
25-19
23-17
6-24
22-23
13-21
16-20
25-17
33-18
7-21
16-16
23-18
12-17
18-25
26-23
8-17
25-27
22-21
24-16
14-26
21-14
20-20
12-30
28-30
21-12
22-27
17-19
14-16
27-20
10-9
19-15
24-22
160.7Avg total
80.2Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.779.2159.8+1.542%
Season at home (6)84.081.2165.2+2.850%
Season away (6)77.377.2154.5+0.233%
Last 10 (10)80.280.5160.7-0.340%
Last 5 (5)82.485.8168.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.881.7162.5-0.850%
vs Similar ◀ (20)78.781.5160.2-2.830%
vs Weaker (4)85.582.8168.2+2.850%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.5-2.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.5-2.5
PelplinPoznan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H04/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A11/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H19/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A25/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H02/11
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A09/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H15/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H22/11
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H30/11
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A07/12
1 Liga
80.3Avg total
43.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.885.1+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.937.182.1+7.879%-
Last 30 away (16)41.945.887.8-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)43.436.980.3+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)43.234.878.0+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.345.789.0-2.356%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.340.683.9+2.650%-
vs Weaker (7)43.439.082.4+4.457%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leszno
#12
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A01/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H05/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H19/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H02/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A07/11
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H15/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A21/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H29/11
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A07/12
1 Liga
77.7Avg total
39.4Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.079.4-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.840.179.9-0.343%-
Last 30 away (16)39.139.979.0-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)39.438.377.7+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.478.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.840.281.0+0.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)39.039.678.7-0.635%-
vs Weaker (4)39.241.580.8-2.225%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.922.5
52.4%
52.0%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.1
35.7%
31.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws27.417.3
63.1%
70.0%17.3
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.8
49.9%
52.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.3
29.9%
31.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws23.416.1
68.8%
70.0%16.1
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pelplin
WWWLLWLWLW
Poznan
WWLLLWLLLW
#7
League position
#15
+5.4
Net rating
-0.5
110.6
Offensive rating
103.1
105.3
Defensive rating
103.6
52.8%
Effective FG%
48.0%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
17.2%
Turnover %
16.1%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.7%
3-point %
29.9%
66.3%
Assist %
53.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 103.1Defence105.3 · 103.6Shooting52.8% · 48.0%3-point %35.7% · 29.9%Ball care17.2% · 16.1%Off. rebounds32.2% · 28.2%Free throws0.42 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Pelplin   ■ Poznan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pelplin wins
1
Poznan wins
DateGameScore
15/03/25Poznan v Pelplin75-88
08/12/24Pelplin v Poznan94-96
07/01/24Pelplin v Poznan82-78
23/09/23Poznan v Pelplin78-96
19/03/23Poznan v Pelplin61-71
09/12/22Pelplin v Poznan76-69
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25AInowroclaw99-78
30/11/25HZubry Bialystok101-89
22/11/25HPolonia Warszawa79-57
15/11/25HBydgoszcz68-85
09/11/25ALeszno86-95
02/11/25HPoli. Opolska94-77
25/10/25ALancut70-77
19/10/25HLKS Lodz83-72
11/10/25AGKS Tychy89-105
04/10/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg84-80
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25AZubry Bialystok80-66
29/11/25HBydgoszcz102-97 OT
21/11/25APoli. Opolska81-94
15/11/25HLKS Lodz85-90
07/11/25AKotwica Kolobrzeg64-82
02/11/25HSpojnia Stargard79-73
19/10/25HWKK Wroclaw76-81
11/10/25AInowroclaw74-76
05/10/25HPolonia Warszawa71-82
01/10/25ALeszno90-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pelplin
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%86%33%
Points / game87.288.086.2
Allowed / game82.580.385.0
Point differential+4.7+7.7+1.2
Avg total169.6168.3171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%57%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poznan
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW42%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game80.784.077.3
Allowed / game79.281.277.2
Point differential+1.5+2.8+0.2
Avg total159.8165.2154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz1311285%89.176.0+13.1
2 LKS Lodz1311285%87.576.8+10.8
3 Starogard Gdanski129375%85.580.5+5.0
4 Pelplin138562%87.282.5+4.7
5 Spojnia Stargard138562%84.280.3+3.9
6 Lancut138562%85.585.1+0.5
7 Polonia Warszawa138562%83.084.4-1.4
8 GKS Tychy148657%85.184.4+0.6
9 R. Rzeszow126650%78.279.4-1.2
10 Poznan125742%80.779.2+1.5
11 WKK Wroclaw135838%78.781.5-2.8
12 Leszno135838%77.582.5-5.1
13 Inowroclaw135838%80.286.8-6.6
14 Kotwica Kolobrzeg124833%78.880.5-1.8
15 Poli. Opolska134931%81.784.0-2.3
16 Miners Katowice123925%79.485.2-5.8
17 Zubry Bialystok120120%73.888.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pelplin1627182485
Poznan1921181775
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