Penarol vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Mar 2019

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 68-69

25-13 15-15 10-13 18-28

Position#16

Record6-13

FormLLLLL

Points / game78.1

Allowed / game85.7

Penarol

Estudiantes 🏆

Position#9

Record10-12

FormWWWWL

Points / game76.7

Allowed / game78.8

Liga A

Other2018-19

Meetings · Penarol v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPenarol

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

75-68

no box

H22/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

55-104

104

-49

no box

H25/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

79-71

no box

H28/01

Liga A

Argentino

#17

75-77

-2

no box

A01/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

76-89

-13

no box

A03/02

Liga A

Atenas

#19

88-101

101

-13

no box

H07/02

Liga A

Estudiantes

66-90

-24

no box

A16/02

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

76-78

-2

no box

A18/02

Liga A

Ferro

66-88

-22

no box

H05/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

62-76

-14

no box

H12/03

Liga A

19-19

19-18

16-14

21-17

12-25

23-32

7-31

13-16

28-13

20-15

15-23

16-20

20-12

19-22

18-23

18-20

15-15

17-26

23-21

21-27

25-24

15-17

23-29

25-31

18-22

16-24

10-23

22-21

24-17

13-16

24-23

15-22

12-26

21-17

15-22

18-23

23-19

10-16

13-21

16-20

156.0Avg total

71.8Scored

84.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	78.1	85.7	163.8	-7.6	32%
Season at home (9)	77.4	84.7	162.1	-7.2	44%
Season away (10)	78.7	86.6	165.3	-7.9	20%
Last 10 (10)	71.8	84.2	156.0	-12.4	20%
Last 5 (5)	71.6	86.6	158.2	-15.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	70.1	83.4	153.5	-13.2	12%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	81.6	85.1	166.7	-3.5	46%
vs Weaker (9)	85.2	77.0	162.2	+8.2	67%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstudiantes

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

92-87 OT

no box

H11/02

Liga A

Real Madrid

63-94

-31

no box

A15/02

Spanish Cup

Penarol

#16

90-66

+24

no box

H16/02

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

82-86

-4

no box

A02/03

Liga A

Manresa

91-101

101

-10

118avg 110

A03/03

ACB

Quimsa

#13

79-64

+15

no box

H04/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

87-76

+11

no box

H08/03

Liga A

San Martin

#10

91-84

no box

H10/03

Liga A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

87-72

+15

no box

H10/03

ACB

Quilmes

#20

80-85

-5

no box

A13/03

Liga A

14-16

13-14

25-21

13-14

27-29

7-21

14-23

15-21

22-18

24-16

23-10

21-22

16-19

25-20

21-21

20-26

21-26

21-29

19-22

30-24

24-14

17-17

22-13

16-20

33-14

24-22

13-18

17-22

27-23

21-23

21-17

22-21

22-18

14-12

21-16

30-26

22-27

19-26

15-15

24-17

165.7Avg total

84.2Scored

81.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	76.7	78.8	155.5	-2.1	45%
Season at home (11)	79.5	75.3	154.7	+4.2	73%
Season away (11)	74.0	82.4	156.4	-8.4	18%
Last 10 (10)	84.2	81.5	165.7	+2.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	76.2	161.0	+8.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	80.7	85.6	166.2	-4.9	33%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	81.6	78.1	159.7	+3.5	61%
vs Weaker (2)	78.0	77.0	155.0	+1.0	50%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.8	40.1	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.6	42.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	46%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.1	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	17.4	40.1	+5.2	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	22.0	41.6	-2.4	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	20.4	43.2	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	19.2	44.8	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-0.9	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.7	37.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	18.1	38.9	+2.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	19.2	36.2	-2.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	20.3	37.6	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	18.0	33.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.2	20.1	35.4	-4.9	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.7	46%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.0	15.9	35.9	+4.1	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.8	38.3	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	18.3	35.6	-0.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	21.1	40.6	-1.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.0	38.5	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.1	20.8	38.9	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.3	19.3	38.6	+0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	50%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

38-37

H22/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

35-57

-22

H25/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

48-28

+20

H28/01

Liga A

Argentino

#17

39-34

A01/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

32-41

-9

A03/02

Liga A

Atenas

#19

40-41

-1

H07/02

Liga A

Estudiantes

34-46

-12

A16/02

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

37-33

A18/02

Liga A

Ferro

33-43

-10

H05/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

33-35

-2

H12/03

Liga A

76.4Avg total

36.9Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	38.5	77.6	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	37.4	78.7	+3.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.0	39.5	76.5	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	39.5	76.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	39.6	75.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	34.6	39.5	74.1	-4.9	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	41.0	39.3	80.3	+1.7	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	40.6	36.3	76.9	+4.2	67%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

27-30

-3

H11/02

Liga A

Real Madrid

34-50

-16

A15/02

Spanish Cup

Penarol

#16

46-34

+12

H16/02

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

41-39

A02/03

Liga A

Manresa

42-55

-13

A03/03

ACB

Quimsa

#13

41-31

+10

H04/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

57-36

+21

H08/03

Liga A

San Martin

#10

48-46

H10/03

Liga A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

36-30

H10/03

ACB

Quilmes

#20

41-53

-12

A13/03

Liga A

81.7Avg total

41.3Scored

40.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	39.6	79.2	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.0	35.7	75.7	+4.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.1	43.1	82.2	-3.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	40.4	81.7	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	39.2	83.8	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	38.1	41.7	79.8	-3.6	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	40.6	38.1	78.6	+2.5	61%	-
vs Weaker (2)	39.5	39.5	79.0	+0.0	50%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	20.8	38.6	-3.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.7	20.4	37.1	-3.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	21.3	40.1	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	23.0	39.4	-6.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	23.6	40.6	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.1	22.6	39.8	-5.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	17.5	20.8	38.3	-3.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	17.4	37.3	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.5	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	15.8	34.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.9	20.0	38.9	-1.1	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.9	18.7	38.6	+1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.0	18.5	32.5	-4.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.2	42.2	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	20.9	42.1	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	21.4	42.3	-0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.7	40.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.4	42.6	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.9	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.7	22.0	42.7	-1.3	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.9	19.9	43.8	+4.0	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	20.4	41.9	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.3	42.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.6	22.0	43.6	-0.4	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.7	20.2	39.8	-0.5	39%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	19.0	43.5	+5.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	42.0	80.8	-3.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	41.3	79.2	-3.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	42.7	82.4	-2.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.9	44.7	79.6	-9.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	47.0	83.2	-10.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.5	43.9	79.4	-8.4	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	38.2	42.8	81.0	-4.7	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	42.7	39.1	81.8	+3.6	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	39.9	79.3	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.4	37.8	79.2	+3.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.6	41.7	79.3	-4.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	38.9	79.1	+1.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	37.0	77.2	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	40.4	42.0	82.4	-1.6	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	39.6	38.8	78.4	+0.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.5	37.5	76.0	+1.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 85.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	21.8	54.2%	53.8%	43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.9	9.1	38.1%	32.9%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	20.4	14.8	72.5%	71.7%	14.8

They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.7	20.2	56.6%	53.8%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.2	9.7	33.2%	32.9%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	18.4	13.5	73.4%	71.7%	13.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.2	19.9	50.9%	53.8%	39.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	9.2	34.6%	32.9%	27.7
🏀 Free throws	19.4	14.1	72.9%	71.7%	14.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	20.8	53.7%	53.8%	41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	9.1	35.6%	32.9%	27.2
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.8	75.0%	71.7%	14.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
16/02/19	Estudiantes v Penarol	90-66
15/04/18	Penarol v Estudiantes	85-79
24/01/18	Estudiantes v Penarol	93-86
19/02/17	Estudiantes v Penarol	89-71
17/12/16	Penarol v Estudiantes	93-101
06/02/16	Penarol v Estudiantes	81-86
20/01/16	Estudiantes v Penarol	85-81
31/03/15	Estudiantes v Penarol	75-65
04/01/15	Penarol v Estudiantes	85-58
22/03/14	Estudiantes v Penarol	93-90

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/03/19	H	Instituto de Cordoba	62-76
05/03/19	H	Ferro	66-88
18/02/19	A	Comunicaciones Mercedes	76-78
16/02/19	A	Estudiantes	66-90
07/02/19	H	Atenas	88-101
03/02/19	A	Weber Bahia	76-89
01/02/19	A	Argentino	75-77
28/01/19	H	Hispano Americano	79-71
25/01/19	H	San Lorenzo	55-104
22/01/19	H	Gimnasia	75-68

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/03/19	A	Quilmes	80-85
10/03/19	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	87-72
10/03/19	H	San Martin	91-84
08/03/19	H	Obras Sanitarias	87-76
04/03/19	H	Quimsa	79-64
03/03/19	A	Manresa	91-101
02/03/19	A	Comunicaciones Mercedes	82-86
16/02/19	H	Penarol	90-66
15/02/19	A	Real Madrid	63-94
11/02/19	H	Gimnasia	92-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	32%
Home	LWLLL	44%
Away	WLLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	32%	44%	20%
Points / game	78.1	77.4	78.7
Allowed / game	85.7	84.7	86.6
Point differential	-7.6	-7.2	-7.9
Avg total	163.8	162.1	165.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	11%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	-	20% (5)
Overtime %	11%	11%	10%

Estudiantes

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	45%
Home	WWWWW	73%
Away	LWLLL	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	45%	73%	18%
Points / game	76.7	79.5	74.0
Allowed / game	78.8	75.3	82.4
Point differential	-2.1	+4.2	-8.4
Avg total	155.5	154.7	156.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	36%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	50% (2)	0% (3)
Overtime %	5%	9%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	18	17	1	94%	92.7	76.4	+16.2
2	Instituto de Cordoba	19	13	6	68%	86.1	76.2	+9.8
3	Ferro	21	14	7	67%	83.5	78.0	+5.4
4	Gimnasia	21	14	7	67%	82.8	78.2	+4.6
5	Regatas	22	13	9	59%	84.0	81.9	+2.1
6	Quimsa	21	12	9	57%	85.1	80.5	+4.6
7	Boca Juniors	21	12	9	57%	75.1	75.6	-0.5
8	Obras Sanitarias	21	12	9	57%	81.8	82.8	-1.0
9	Comunicaciones Mercedes	22	12	10	55%	81.2	78.7	+2.5
10	San Martin	21	11	10	52%	79.3	81.6	-2.2
11	Libertad	20	10	10	50%	79.2	79.6	-0.4
12	Hispano Americano	18	9	9	50%	83.2	83.7	-0.6
13	Olimpico	19	9	10	47%	78.1	76.2	+1.9
14	Estudiantes	22	10	12	45%	76.7	78.8	-2.1
15	La Union	21	9	12	43%	85.0	85.3	-0.4
16	Weber Bahia	20	7	13	35%	71.2	80.0	-8.8
17	Penarol	19	6	13	32%	78.1	85.7	-7.6
18	Quilmes	20	5	15	25%	78.0	86.3	-8.3
19	Argentino	22	5	17	23%	80.0	87.8	-7.8
20	Atenas	18	3	15	17%	78.2	84.7	-6.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	25	15	10	18	68
Estudiantes	13	15	13	28	69

← all games of the day

Penarol vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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