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Penarol vs Independiente de Oliva Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 May 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 86-77
24-22 23-21 19-14 20-20
Position#11
Record17-20
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game80.5
Penarol 🏆
Argentina
vs
Position#18
Record12-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game81.9
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2023-24
Meetings · Penarol v Independiente de Oliva
18 Mar 2027
PENA v INDE
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
PENA76
INDE87
07 May 2025
PENA99
INDE74
17 May 2024
PENA86
INDE77
10 Mar 2023
PENA93
INDE97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Independiente de Oliva winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#1
W
80-75
80
75
+5
73avg 70
A08/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#12
W
74-57
74
57
+17
74avg 70
H11/04
Liga A
San Martin
#6
L
69-76
69
76
-7
60avg 70
H14/04
Liga A
Platense
#8
W
99-56
99
56
+43
101avg 70
H20/04
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#5
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 70
H23/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
76avg 70
A27/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
83-87
83
87
-4
73avg 70
A30/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
98-89
98
89
+9
98avg 70
A02/05
Liga A
Argentino
#17
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 70
H11/05
Liga A
Ferro
#13
L
70-86
70
86
-16
63avg 70
H13/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
32-23
10-18
16-16
16-21
22-10
21-9
15-17
15-15
23-14
11-20
20-27
27-19
24-16
24-13
24-8
26-14
16-22
22-19
16-20
15-21
25-19
21-19
25-20
20-20
22-12
21-24
20-31
31-21
27-23
26-18
14-27
21-19
20-16
28-16
15-26
24-26
14-21
9-24
23-15
158.0Avg total
82.3Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)78.880.5159.3-1.846%
Season at home (18)80.778.3158.9+2.456%
Season away (19)77.082.7159.7-5.737%
Last 10 (10)82.375.7158.0+6.670%
Last 5 (5)84.283.6167.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.581.5155.1-8.027%
vs Similar ◀ (17)83.076.5159.5+6.565%
vs Weaker (2)86.075.0161.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliva
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#2
W
91-84
91
84
+7
76avg 68
H03/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
67-82
67
82
-15
56avg 68
A06/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
79-89
79
89
-10
66avg 68
A08/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
87-93
87
93
-6
77avg 68
H13/04
Liga A
Regatas
#10
L
70-78
70
78
-8
51avg 68
H15/04
Liga A
San Martin
#6
L
63-68
63
68
-5
50avg 68
A27/04
Liga A
La Union
#16
L
79-94
79
94
-15
64avg 68
A29/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#19
L
84-87
84
87
-3
70avg 68
H07/05
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
62avg 68
A14/05
Liga A
Ferro
#13
L
79-91
79
91
-12
72avg 68
A15/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-20
26-25
14-23
20-16
18-22
16-18
16-17
17-25
16-22
20-20
26-23
17-24
21-20
16-23
32-25
18-25
20-17
16-12
14-21
20-28
8-22
13-12
19-13
23-21
16-31
20-23
30-20
13-20
27-20
19-21
12-25
26-21
8-17
25-28
21-20
19-16
12-16
22-30
23-25
22-20
161.9Avg total
77.2Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)78.581.9160.4-3.533%
Season at home (18)82.280.6162.8+1.750%
Season away (18)74.783.3158.1-8.617%
Last 10 (10)77.284.7161.9-7.510%
Last 5 (5)75.684.2159.8-8.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.282.9160.1-5.817%
vs Similar ◀ (18)82.483.1165.6-0.744%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.1-2.1
PenarolIndependiente de Oliva
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#1
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A08/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#12
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H11/04
Liga A
San Martin
#6
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H14/04
Liga A
Platense
#8
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H20/04
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H23/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A27/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A30/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A02/05
Liga A
Argentino
#17
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H11/05
Liga A
Ferro
#13
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H13/05
Liga A
81.2Avg total
44.2Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.380.1+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.137.479.4+4.775%-
Last 30 away (14)41.439.480.9+2.043%-
Last 10 (10)44.237.081.2+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.683.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.937.477.3+2.564%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)43.238.982.1+4.259%-
vs Weaker (2)40.038.578.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#2
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H03/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A06/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A08/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H13/04
Liga A
Regatas
#10
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H15/04
Liga A
San Martin
#6
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A27/04
Liga A
La Union
#16
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A29/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#19
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H07/05
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A14/05
Liga A
Ferro
#13
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A15/05
Liga A
78.9Avg total
37.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.381.1-1.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.539.180.6+2.475%-
Last 30 away (14)37.943.781.6-5.821%-
Last 10 (10)37.041.978.9-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)34.044.078.0-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.242.778.9-6.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)42.240.382.6+1.967%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penarol wins
3
Independiente de Oliva wins
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/24HFerro70-86
11/05/24HArgentino84-77
02/05/24AObras Sanitarias98-89
30/04/24ABoca Juniors83-87
27/04/24AGimnasia86-79
23/04/24HSan Lorenzo80-75
20/04/24HPlatense99-56
14/04/24HSan Martin69-76
11/04/24HObera TC74-57
08/04/24AQuimsa80-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/24AFerro79-91
14/05/24ABoca Juniors73-81
07/05/24HUnion De Santa Fe84-87
29/04/24ALa Union79-94
27/04/24ASan Martin63-68
15/04/24HRegatas70-78
13/04/24HInstituto de Cordoba87-93
08/04/24AGimnasia79-89
06/04/24AObras Sanitarias67-82
03/04/24HOlimpico91-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL46%
HomeLWWWL56%
AwayLWWLW37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %46%56%37%
Points / game78.880.777.0
Allowed / game80.578.382.7
Point differential-1.8+2.4-5.7
Avg total159.3158.9159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%39%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Independiente de Oliva
Liga A 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %33%50%17%
Points / game78.582.274.7
Allowed / game81.980.683.3
Point differential-3.5+1.7-8.6
Avg total160.4162.8158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)17% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa3630683%85.378.4+6.9
2 Instituto de Cordoba37261170%80.775.7+5.1
3 Olimpico35231266%83.976.0+7.9
4 Boca Juniors36221461%81.775.7+6.0
5 San Martin36221461%76.372.4+3.8
6 Gimnasia36221461%83.079.7+3.3
7 Platense35211460%79.278.2+1.0
8 Obras Sanitarias35211460%85.385.4-0.1
9 San Lorenzo37211657%75.573.4+2.2
10 Obera TC37191851%80.080.7-0.7
11 Regatas37181949%77.176.6+0.6
12 Penarol37172046%78.880.5-1.8
13 Ferro36162044%77.680.5-2.9
14 Zarate37162143%71.976.3-4.5
15 Riachuelo38162242%81.382.2-0.9
16 La Union37132435%78.181.1-3.0
17 Independiente de Oliva36122433%78.581.9-3.5
18 Union De Santa Fe37102727%79.686.2-6.6
19 Argentino37102727%73.680.6-7.0
20 Comunicaciones Mercedes3692725%78.984.0-5.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol2423192086
Independiente de Oliva2221142077
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