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Penarol vs Independiente de Oliva Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 May 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 99-74
26-20 28-15 23-16 22-23
Position#12
Record15-20
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game78.9
Penarol 🏆
Argentina
vs
Position#17
Record14-22
FormLWWLL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game87.7
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Islas Malvinas
Other2024-25
Meetings · Penarol v Independiente de Oliva
18 Mar 2027
PENA v INDE
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
PENA76
INDE87
07 May 2025
PENA99
INDE74
17 May 2024
PENA86
INDE77
10 Mar 2023
PENA93
INDE97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Independiente de Oliva winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#1
L
64-72
64
72
-8
53avg 66
H21/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 66
H29/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
86-88
86
88
-2
71avg 66
A02/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
93-85
93
85
+8
81avg 66
A03/04
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
L
63-76
63
76
-13
50avg 66
A05/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
89-71
89
71
+18
88avg 66
H10/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
75-79
75
79
-4
63avg 66
H25/04
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
73-75
73
75
-2
62avg 66
H27/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
L
79-85
79
85
-6
71avg 66
A03/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
L
71-86
71
86
-15
60avg 66
A04/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
19-11
22-20
9-20
17-13
15-23
17-18
14-27
21-17
17-28
28-20
20-23
23-16
17-20
25-19
28-30
16-22
17-11
21-20
9-23
27-16
29-19
17-16
16-20
20-18
21-16
10-27
24-18
12-20
26-20
16-24
19-11
25-17
15-24
18-15
21-29
18-29
20-17
21-17
12-23
155.4Avg total
75.6Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)79.678.9158.5+0.843%
Season at home (16)81.974.8156.8+7.156%
Season away (19)77.782.3159.9-4.632%
Last 10 (10)75.679.8155.4-4.220%
Last 5 (5)77.479.2156.6-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.580.0153.5-6.550%
vs Similar (15)77.678.1155.7-0.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)82.677.3159.9+5.346%
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliva
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#9
L
79-84
79
84
-5
72avg 77
H22/03
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
L
100-105
100
105
-5
92avg 77
H26/03
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
W
95-88
95
88
+7
90avg 77
A08/04
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
99-107
99
107
-8
94avg 77
A10/04
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
W
102-97
102
97
+5
92avg 77
A12/04
Liga A
Zarate
#19
L
95-106
95
106
-11
82avg 77
H16/04
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
93-80
93
80
+13
88avg 77
H19/04
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
82-80
82
80
+2
73avg 77
H23/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
69avg 77
A03/05
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
L
77-94
77
94
-17
64avg 77
A05/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
24-19
20-22
23-22
31-28
18-21
25-28
26-28
14-21
32-21
26-18
23-28
27-20
26-28
23-35
23-24
20-28
24-30
30-21
28-18
34-25
20-27
25-25
16-29
20-22
28-25
25-14
20-19
23-24
28-17
12-25
19-14
23-21
15-17
20-19
20-23
26-34
12-20
18-26
21-14
182.1Avg total
90.0Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)85.587.7173.2-2.139%
Season at home (18)88.388.4176.7-0.239%
Season away (18)82.886.9169.7-4.139%
Last 10 (10)90.092.1182.1-2.140%
Last 5 (5)85.088.0173.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)86.789.4176.1-2.629%
vs Similar (13)85.188.8173.8-3.738%
vs Weaker (3)85.081.0166.0+4.067%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
PenarolIndependiente de Oliva
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#1
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H21/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H29/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A02/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A03/04
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A05/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H10/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H25/04
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H27/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A03/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A04/05
Liga A
76.7Avg total
38.9Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.539.880.3+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.537.680.1+4.973%-
Last 30 away (15)38.442.180.5-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)38.937.876.7+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.281.8+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.040.072.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (15)39.739.579.1+0.253%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.740.282.9+2.562%-
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H22/03
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H26/03
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A08/04
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A10/04
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A12/04
Liga A
Zarate
#19
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H16/04
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H19/04
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H23/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A03/05
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A05/05
Liga A
92.6Avg total
45.7Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.045.189.1-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.945.090.9+0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)42.145.387.3-3.240%-
Last 10 (10)45.746.992.6-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.846.492.2-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)43.644.488.0-0.750%-
vs Similar (13)43.347.290.5-3.923%-
vs Weaker (3)48.339.788.0+8.7100%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Penarol wins
3
Independiente de Oliva wins
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25AObera TC71-86
03/05/25AUnion De Santa Fe79-85
27/04/25HFerro73-75
25/04/25HPlatense75-79
10/04/25HInstituto de Cordoba89-71
05/04/25ASan Lorenzo63-76
03/04/25AObras Sanitarias93-85
02/04/25AGimnasia86-88
29/03/25HQuimsa63-81
21/03/25HBoca Juniors64-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/25ASan Lorenzo77-94
03/05/25ABoca Juniors78-80
23/04/25HLa Union82-80
19/04/25HSan Martin93-80
16/04/25HZarate95-106
12/04/25AOlimpico102-97
10/04/25AQuimsa99-107
08/04/25ARiachuelo95-88
26/03/25HUnion De Santa Fe100-105
22/03/25HGimnasia79-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeLLWLL56%
AwayLWLLL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351619
Win %43%56%32%
Points / game79.681.977.7
Allowed / game78.974.882.3
Point differential+0.8+7.1-4.6
Avg total158.5156.8159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)20% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Independiente de Oliva
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL39%
HomeLLLWW39%
AwayWLWLL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %39%39%39%
Points / game85.588.382.8
Allowed / game87.788.486.9
Point differential-2.1-0.2-4.1
Avg total173.2176.7169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%22%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)20% (5)50% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boca Juniors3325876%81.276.0+5.1
2 Instituto de Cordoba32221069%81.272.6+8.6
3 Quimsa36241267%87.477.8+9.6
4 Obera TC34221265%81.777.4+4.4
5 Riachuelo33211264%81.977.1+4.8
6 Obras Sanitarias35221363%82.980.0+2.9
7 Gimnasia34201459%83.678.2+5.4
8 Regatas36191753%79.479.8-0.4
9 Atenas36181850%78.880.5-1.7
10 San Martin37181949%74.573.4+1.1
11 Union De Santa Fe37181949%81.985.3-3.4
12 Ferro35171849%81.583.0-1.5
13 San Lorenzo35161946%77.479.8-2.5
14 Olimpico36162044%80.382.8-2.5
15 Penarol35152043%79.678.9+0.8
16 Independiente de Oliva36142239%85.587.7-2.1
17 Platense36142239%79.181.9-2.9
18 La Union35132237%84.085.7-1.7
19 Zarate35102529%73.182.8-9.7
20 Argentino3462818%72.285.2-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol2628232299
Independiente de Oliva2015162374
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