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Penarol vs Independiente de Oliva Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 76-87
18-30 18-25 22-16 18-16
Position#11
Record9-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#8
Record8-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game81.4
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Islas Malvinas
Other2025-26
Meetings · Penarol v Independiente de Oliva
18 Mar 2027
PENA v INDE
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
PENA76
INDE87
07 May 2025
PENA99
INDE74
17 May 2024
PENA86
INDE77
10 Mar 2023
PENA93
INDE97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Independiente de Oliva winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
W
76-74
76
74
+2
72avg 72
H19/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
W
89-78
89
78
+11
76avg 72
H07/11
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
75-72
75
72
+3
61avg 72
H13/11
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
89-88
89
88
+1
83avg 72
A18/11
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
82-63
82
63
+19
82avg 72
A20/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
71-87
71
87
-16
60avg 72
H23/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
67-93
67
93
-26
48avg 72
A06/12
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
69avg 72
A07/12
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
82-76
82
76
+6
70avg 72
H11/12
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
87-67
87
67
+20
88avg 72
H13/12
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
17-30
20-12
19-12
19-17
22-20
14-25
34-16
21-13
21-21
18-19
15-19
25-28
29-27
18-17
17-16
20-13
17-12
20-27
25-11
18-27
17-15
14-17
22-28
24-31
22-20
10-20
11-22
35-20
15-27
24-19
12-29
24-18
17-26
16-14
25-18
18-23
17-12
29-19
23-13
159.7Avg total
80.4Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.081.6162.6-0.660%
Season at home (9)81.478.4159.9+3.078%
Season away (6)80.386.3166.7-6.033%
Last 10 (10)80.479.3159.7+1.170%
Last 5 (5)78.683.6162.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.786.3159.0-13.733%
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.980.6161.5+0.453%
vs Weaker (8)86.874.1160.9+12.662%
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliva
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#13
W
79-73
79
73
+6
70avg 78
A28/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
83-86
83
86
-3
67avg 78
A30/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
83-84
83
84
-1
69avg 78
H01/11
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
91-87
91
87
+4
84avg 78
H05/11
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
76avg 78
H14/11
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
89-92
89
92
-3
no box
H22/11
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
78-48
78
48
+30
69avg 78
A04/12
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
84-86
84
86
-2
83avg 78
A07/12
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
85-100
85
100
-15
72avg 78
A10/12
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
88-86
88
86
+2
80avg 78
H18/12
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
16-14
19-23
21-19
27-20
23-25
16-21
17-20
19-28
25-21
16-20
23-15
19-8
17-26
31-28
24-25
18-14
28-18
20-14
21-29
28-24
17-21
16-23
28-24
21-14
23-9
10-9
24-16
20-23
33-19
21-27
10-17
25-26
20-20
24-28
16-26
27-16
18-26
32-23
11-21
166.4Avg total
84.7Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.381.4167.6+4.957%
Season at home (9)88.882.9171.7+5.967%
Season away (5)81.878.6160.4+3.240%
Last 10 (10)84.781.7166.4+3.050%
Last 5 (5)84.882.4167.2+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)87.390.3177.7-3.033%
vs Similar ◀ (15)86.785.5172.2+1.360%
vs Weaker (6)89.282.8172.0+6.350%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.7-1.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.7-1.7
PenarolIndependiente de Oliva
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H19/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H07/11
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H13/11
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A18/11
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A20/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H23/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A06/12
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A07/12
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H11/12
Liga A
Atenas
#18
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H13/12
Liga A
83.8Avg total
41.8Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.681.8+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.338.180.4+4.256%-
Last 30 away (12)42.141.883.9+0.242%-
Last 10 (10)41.842.083.8-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.885.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.745.385.0-5.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)42.139.981.9+2.253%-
vs Weaker (8)43.536.880.2+6.862%-
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#13
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A28/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A30/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H01/11
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H05/11
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H14/11
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H22/11
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
44-23
44
23
+21
A04/12
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A07/12
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A10/12
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H18/12
Liga A
83.6Avg total
44.7Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.643.288.8+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.842.688.4+3.356%-
Last 30 away (12)45.244.289.4+0.958%-
Last 10 (10)44.738.983.6+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)46.439.686.0+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)46.045.691.6+0.467%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.943.587.3+0.440%-
vs Weaker (6)49.239.288.3+10.083%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Penarol wins
3
Independiente de Oliva wins
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25HAtenas87-67
11/12/25HOlimpico82-76
07/12/25AObras Sanitarias86-95
06/12/25AGimnasia67-93
23/11/25HObera TC71-87
20/11/25AUnion De Santa Fe82-63
18/11/25APlatense89-88
13/11/25HSan Martin75-72
07/11/25HBoca Juniors89-78
19/10/25HLa Union76-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25HRacing de Chivilcoy88-86
10/12/25AUnion De Santa Fe85-100
07/12/25APlatense84-86
04/12/25AAtenas78-48
22/11/25HObras Sanitarias89-92
14/11/25HFerro87-75
05/11/25HLa Union91-87
01/11/25HObera TC83-84
30/10/25AQuimsa83-86
28/10/25AOlimpico79-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW60%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %60%78%33%
Points / game81.081.480.3
Allowed / game81.678.486.3
Point differential-0.6+3.0-6.0
Avg total162.6159.9166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%22%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)80% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Independiente de Oliva
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW57%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %57%67%40%
Points / game86.388.881.8
Allowed / game81.482.978.6
Point differential+4.9+5.9+3.2
Avg total167.6171.7160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%22%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ferro1411379%86.680.3+6.3
2 La Union1611569%82.676.4+6.2
3 Obera TC149564%79.774.1+5.6
4 Obras Sanitarias149564%80.976.6+4.2
5 Regatas138562%78.076.1+1.9
6 Penarol159660%81.081.6-0.6
7 Boca Juniors1710759%82.978.7+4.2
8 San Martin127558%74.970.8+4.2
9 Independiente de Oliva148657%86.381.4+4.9
10 Gimnasia158753%78.673.1+5.5
11 Instituto de Cordoba179853%75.577.8-2.3
12 Platense147750%83.483.6-0.2
13 Quimsa136746%80.277.8+2.3
14 Olimpico145936%79.580.0-0.5
15 Union De Santa Fe145936%78.683.6-4.9
16 San Lorenzo145936%77.683.8-6.1
17 Racing de Chivilcoy134931%78.880.7-1.8
18 Atenas1751229%72.280.3-8.1
19 Argentino141137%71.291.0-19.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol1818221876
Independiente de Oliva3025161687
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