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Penarol vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 74-64
15-12 15-22 23-10 21-20
Position#3
Record16-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game73.2
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#9
Record11-14
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game83.3
UruguayLiga UruguayaRound 27
Other2021-22
Meetings · Penarol v Nacional
24 Oct 2022
PENA88
NACI69
31 Mar 2022
PENA74
NACI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#8
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A10/03
Liga A
Defensor
#10
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Quimsa
#1
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A17/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#10
W
92-89
92
89
+3
A19/03
Liga A
Bigua
#1
W
93-91
93
91
+2
H20/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Gimnasia
#3
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H23/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H29/03
Liga A
Trouville
#7
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A29/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hispano Americano
#20
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A01/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
13-17
17-16
21-25
22-14
15-13
20-16
17-23
27-19
14-19
29-28
20-15
23-17
21-21
27-27
21-24
29-20
19-19
19-27
26-25
24-22
7-19
19-24
20-19
11-12
23-24
17-17
21-12
27-21
21-25
15-22
17-22
22-13
14-18
25-21
24-24
23-20
17-20
18-17
16-28
161.1Avg total
80.1Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.373.2149.6+3.164%
Season at home (12)78.872.8151.5+6.067%
Season away (13)74.173.7147.8+0.462%
Last 10 (10)80.181.0161.1-0.960%
Last 5 (5)76.280.0156.2-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.573.5144.0-3.050%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.878.4157.2+0.457%
vs Weaker (14)78.672.1150.7+6.679%
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#5
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H15/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#11
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#11
W
92-68
92
68
+24
H26/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#10
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A08/03
Liga Uruguaya
Quimsa
#10
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#1
L
81-101
81
101
-20
A13/03
Champions League Americas
Capitol
#14
W
93-67
93
67
+26
H18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#2
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#12
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A25/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#4
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H29/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
25-20
18-16
23-21
15-26
35-23
20-14
9-19
22-13
13-23
41-8
16-24
19-21
13-16
15-12
19-24
19-23
13-17
21-19
19-36
19-24
13-16
23-30
26-31
30-11
19-20
21-21
23-15
19-26
17-18
25-28
19-15
24-18
19-17
13-19
28-22
15-24
19-17
25-10
27-22
161.6Avg total
81.3Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.983.3167.2+0.644%
Season at home (13)84.580.3164.8+4.246%
Season away (12)83.386.6169.9-3.242%
Last 10 (10)81.380.3161.6+1.040%
Last 5 (5)84.880.8165.6+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.290.1169.3-10.910%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.982.0161.9-2.136%
vs Weaker (6)93.782.7176.3+11.083%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
PenarolNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#8
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A10/03
Liga A
Defensor
#10
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Quimsa
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A17/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A19/03
Liga A
Bigua
#1
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H20/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Gimnasia
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H23/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H29/03
Liga A
Trouville
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A29/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hispano Americano
#20
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A01/04
Liga A
77.0Avg total
39.2Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.135.073.0+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.334.874.1+4.573%-
Last 30 away (15)36.935.172.0+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)39.237.877.0+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.876.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.538.070.5-5.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.036.474.4+1.650%-
vs Weaker (14)38.933.172.1+5.879%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H15/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#11
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H26/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A08/03
Liga Uruguaya
Quimsa
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A13/03
Champions League Americas
Capitol
#14
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#12
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A25/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H29/03
Liga Uruguaya
77.9Avg total
38.2Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.879.4-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.940.780.6-0.844%-
Last 30 away (14)39.238.978.1+0.443%-
Last 10 (10)38.239.777.9-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.838.277.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.443.080.4-5.630%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.338.677.9+0.643%-
vs Weaker (6)44.037.381.3+6.767%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Penarol wins
1
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
21/01/22Nacional v Penarol75-76
19/03/21Nacional v Penarol85-67
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/22AHispano Americano74-85
29/03/22ATrouville85-76
29/03/22HInstituto de Cordoba80-90
23/03/22HGimnasia72-65
23/03/22AMalvin70-84
20/03/22HBigua93-91
19/03/22AOlimpico92-89
17/03/22AQuimsa90-81
12/03/22HDefensor74-66
10/03/22AObera TC71-83
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/22HUrupan86-73
25/03/22AHebraica y Macabi84-76
22/03/22AGoes80-87
18/03/22HCapitol93-67
13/03/22ASao Paulo81-101
12/03/22AQuimsa72-95
08/03/22ADefensor66-73
26/02/22HUrunday92-68
19/02/22AUrunday79-82
15/02/22HMalvin80-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %64%67%62%
Points / game76.378.874.1
Allowed / game73.272.873.7
Point differential+3.1+6.0+0.4
Avg total149.6151.5147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%25%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)50% (6)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW44%
HomeLLWWW46%
AwayWLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %44%46%42%
Points / game83.984.583.3
Allowed / game83.380.386.6
Point differential+0.6+4.2-3.2
Avg total167.2164.8169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)17% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Goes2521484%79.670.6+9.1
2 Bigua2521484%88.982.6+6.3
3 Aguada2516964%80.876.5+4.3
4 Urupan2516964%85.982.2+3.7
5 Penarol2516964%76.373.2+3.1
6 Malvin25141156%80.581.2-0.7
7 Olimpia Kings25121348%82.481.0+1.4
8 Trouville25121348%85.084.6+0.3
9 Nacional25111444%83.983.3+0.6
10 Defensor25101540%75.877.8-2.0
11 Hebraica y Macabi2591636%82.385.0-2.7
12 Olivol Mundial2581732%76.480.1-3.7
13 Urunday2571828%77.885.2-7.5
14 Capitol252238%77.689.9-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol1515232174
Nacional1222102064
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