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Penarol vs San Lorenzo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 80-77
21-18 22-23 21-16 16-20
Position#12
Record6-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game80.3
Penarol 🏆
Argentina
vs
Position#14
Record4-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game79.4
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Islas Malvinas
Other2024-25
Meetings · Penarol v San Lorenzo
07 Mar 2027
PENA v SAN
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
PENA71
SAN 79
09 Jan 2025
PENA80
SAN 77
22 Apr 2024
PENA80
SAN 75
20 Oct 2022
PENA79
SAN 70
26 Jan 2022
PENA82
SAN 72
12 Jan 2021
PENA57
SAN 99
27 Feb 2020
PENA73
SAN 74
18 Oct 2019
PENA89
SAN 90
24 Jan 2019
PENA55
SAN 104
13 May 2018
PENA90
SAN 107
11 May 2018
PENA85
SAN 83
12 Jan 2018
PENA81
SAN 87
26 Apr 2017
PENA53
SAN 82
20 Nov 2016
PENA82
SAN 80
09 Dec 2015
PENA93
SAN 78
24 Oct 2015
PENA88
SAN 86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Lorenzo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#3
L
78-97
78
97
-19
69avg 68
H15/10
Liga A
Argentino
#20
W
85-83
85
83
+2
75avg 68
A22/10
Liga A
Zarate
#19
L
82-87
82
87
-5
73avg 68
A24/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
81-83
81
83
-2
66avg 68
A26/10
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
82-71
82
71
+11
-38avg 68
H12/11
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
87-61
87
61
+26
82avg 68
H27/11
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
84-65
84
65
+19
81avg 68
H14/12
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
107-93
107
93
+14
103avg 68
A19/12
Liga A
Atenas
#13
L
71-82
71
82
-11
61avg 68
A21/12
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
64-86
64
86
-22
55avg 68
A23/12
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
15-24
15-25
23-25
20-22
14-23
22-18
29-20
23-21
20-25
17-17
22-24
15-24
26-20
20-20
20-19
22-19
16-16
19-26
25-10
21-9
21-17
17-15
28-20
32-18
19-19
12-11
21-17
27-21
20-24
29-21
31-27
27-19
15-31
14-16
15-16
26-22
11-23
9-17
18-24
162.9Avg total
82.1Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.580.3161.8+1.250%
Season at home (4)82.873.5156.2+9.275%
Season away (8)80.983.8164.6-2.938%
Last 10 (10)82.180.8162.9+1.350%
Last 5 (5)82.677.4160.0+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.774.7145.3-4.050%
vs Similar (13)82.777.5160.2+5.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)84.083.4167.4+0.660%
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San LorenzoArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLorenzo
Date
Competition
Riachuelo
#6
L
73-77
73
77
-4
65avg 68
H01/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
63-73
63
73
-10
56avg 68
H03/11
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
98-88
98
88
+10
101avg 68
A08/11
Liga A
Atenas
#13
L
61-84
61
84
-23
48avg 68
A10/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
65-94
65
94
-29
61avg 68
A11/11
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
W
83-78
83
78
+5
76avg 68
H18/11
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
62-78
62
78
-16
51avg 68
A27/11
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
74-79
74
79
-5
63avg 68
H11/12
Liga A
Zarate
#19
L
83-85
83
85
-2
72avg 68
H22/12
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
71-81
71
81
-10
65avg 68
A08/01
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
12-24
20-22
14-10
19-18
20-24
12-13
12-18
21-24
30-22
21-20
26-22
20-22
10-20
18-18
13-24
17-22
7-21
21-20
20-31
16-13
33-22
19-22
15-21
21-13
17-20
8-21
16-24
14-31
17-18
26-14
17-16
20-23
24-15
13-23
26-24
24-24
14-21
21-22
12-14
155.0Avg total
73.3Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.279.4152.5-6.231%
Season at home (6)75.777.7153.3-2.033%
Season away (7)71.080.9151.9-9.929%
Last 10 (10)73.381.7155.0-8.420%
Last 5 (5)74.680.2154.8-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)69.778.8148.5-9.127%
vs Similar (14)79.279.1158.4+0.157%
vs Weaker (5)78.477.6156.0+0.840%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -3.3-3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -3.3-3.3
PenarolSan Lorenzo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H15/10
Liga A
Argentino
#20
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A22/10
Liga A
Zarate
#19
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A24/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A26/10
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H12/11
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H27/11
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H14/12
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A19/12
Liga A
Atenas
#13
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A21/12
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A23/12
Liga A
83.5Avg total
41.5Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.039.379.3+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.236.376.5+3.971%-
Last 30 away (16)39.941.981.8-2.038%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.083.5-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.684.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.237.473.7-1.242%-
vs Similar (13)43.739.583.2+4.269%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)39.643.282.8-3.640%-
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Riachuelo
#6
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H01/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H03/11
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A08/11
Liga A
Atenas
#13
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A10/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A11/11
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H18/11
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A27/11
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H11/12
Liga A
Zarate
#19
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H22/12
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A08/01
Liga A
80.1Avg total
38.3Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.777.8+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.435.675.0+3.862%-
Last 30 away (17)38.841.179.9-2.435%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.880.1-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.080.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.537.574.9+0.055%-
vs Similar (14)39.740.480.1-0.636%-
vs Weaker (5)40.637.077.6+3.660%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Penarol wins
4
San Lorenzo wins
DateGameScore
23/04/24Penarol v San Lorenzo80-75
15/11/23San Lorenzo v Penarol88-65
18/01/23San Lorenzo v Penarol75-99
21/10/22Penarol v San Lorenzo79-70
14/02/22San Lorenzo v Penarol73-76
27/01/22Penarol v San Lorenzo82-72
15/10/21San Lorenzo v Penarol88-73
17/01/21San Lorenzo v Penarol74-75
12/01/21Penarol v San Lorenzo57-99
28/02/20Penarol v San Lorenzo73-74
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/24AInstituto de Cordoba64-86
21/12/24AAtenas71-82
19/12/24AIndependiente de Oliva107-93
14/12/24HRegatas84-65
27/11/24HSan Martin87-61
12/11/24HObras Sanitarias82-71
26/10/24ABoca Juniors81-83
24/10/24AZarate82-87
22/10/24AArgentino85-83
15/10/24HObera TC78-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25APlatense71-81
22/12/24HZarate83-85
11/12/24HRegatas74-79
27/11/24AObras Sanitarias62-78
18/11/24HBoca Juniors83-78
11/11/24AInstituto de Cordoba65-94
10/11/24AAtenas61-84
08/11/24AIndependiente de Oliva98-88
03/11/24HQuimsa63-73
01/11/24HRiachuelo73-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %50%75%38%
Points / game81.582.880.9
Allowed / game80.373.583.8
Point differential+1.2+9.2-2.9
Avg total161.8156.2164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%75%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)-40% (5)
Overtime %8%0%12%
San Lorenzo
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL31%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%33%29%
Points / game73.275.771.0
Allowed / game79.477.780.9
Point differential-6.2-2.0-9.9
Avg total152.5153.3151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Instituto de Cordoba1411379%84.972.6+12.4
2 Riachuelo1511473%83.374.5+8.8
3 Boca Juniors1511473%80.174.5+5.6
4 Obera TC1410471%84.479.8+4.6
5 Quimsa1510567%85.175.7+9.4
6 Obras Sanitarias149564%84.579.6+4.9
7 Atenas1610662%80.477.9+2.4
8 Olimpico138562%81.281.3-0.1
9 Regatas137654%79.982.2-2.2
10 Gimnasia147750%80.676.1+4.4
11 Penarol126650%81.580.3+1.2
12 Union De Santa Fe157847%76.282.1-5.9
13 Ferro156940%80.184.9-4.9
14 La Union145936%83.087.1-4.1
15 Zarate145936%74.684.6-9.9
16 San Lorenzo134931%73.279.4-6.2
17 San Martin134931%70.877.2-6.4
18 Platense1441029%80.482.1-1.6
19 Independiente de Oliva1441029%86.088.8-2.8
20 Argentino131128%71.484.1-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol2122211680
San Lorenzo1823162077
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