Penarol vs San Lorenzo Prediction & Stats

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	82.1	74.8	156.9	+7.4	88%
Season at home (2)	78.5	66.5	145.0	+12.0	100%
Season away (6)	83.3	77.5	160.8	+5.8	83%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	75.7	156.9	+5.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	75.8	159.6	+8.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	71.5	81.0	152.5	-9.5	50%
vs Similar (19)	82.5	80.7	163.2	+1.8	47%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	82.0	76.6	158.6	+5.4	78%

This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

San Lorenzo Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormLorenzo

Date

Competition

Argentino

#19

70-80

-10

62avg 68

A15/04

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

70-76

-6

64avg 68

A18/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

89-73

+16

84avg 68

H09/10

Liga A

Penarol

85-92

-7

70avg 68

H17/10

Liga A

Obera TC

#10

73-78

-5

no box

H18/10

Liga A

Platense

#11

58-80

-22

47avg 68

H28/10

Liga A

Regatas

#15

70-65

no box

H07/11

Liga A

San Martin

#18

42-75

-33

no box

H08/11

Liga A

Atenas

55-81

-26

no box

A13/11

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

89-122

122

-33

no box

A15/11

Liga A

16-21

21-26

9-18

24-15

17-21

18-19

14-20

21-16

20-22

18-18

29-14

22-19

22-28

22-17

18-26

23-21

18-21

26-25

14-17

15-15

18-16

18-28

16-22

6-14

14-20

17-11

13-20

26-14

8-20

17-17

8-21

9-17

17-24

9-28

12-14

17-15

27-21

11-32

24-30

27-39

152.3Avg total

70.1Scored

82.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	70.1	83.2	153.4	-13.1	25%
Season at home (6)	69.5	77.2	146.7	-7.7	33%
Season away (2)	72.0	101.5	173.5	-29.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	70.1	82.2	152.3	-12.1	20%
Last 5 (5)	62.8	84.6	147.4	-21.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	75.7	82.4	158.0	-6.7	29%
vs Similar (8)	80.9	80.9	161.8	+0.0	50%
vs Weaker (1)	70.0	80.0	150.0	-10.0	0%

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolSan Lorenzo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.0	41.1	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.7	20.6	42.3	+1.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.4	39.1	+2.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	16.0	36.6	+4.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	21.3	19.9	41.2	+1.4	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.9	20.2	41.1	+0.7	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.5	38.8	-2.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	18.4	20.6	39.1	-2.2	28%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.2	20.2	38.5	-2.0	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	21.4	39.1	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	20.2	37.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.8	21.3	40.1	-2.5	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.5	18.1	35.6	-0.6	25%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	21.0	37.0	-5.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-2.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.8	19.6	37.3	-1.8	25%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.4	22.6	43.1	-2.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.8	40.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	23.5	45.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (19)	19.1	22.2	41.2	-3.1	26%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.2	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	22.3	41.4	-3.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.7	22.1	41.8	-2.3	28%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.2	22.8	40.9	-4.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	22.1	39.8	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	23.2	37.6	-8.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.4	22.2	40.6	-3.8	24%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	26.0	47.0	-5.0	0%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro

40-43

-3

H01/05

Liga A

Ferro

42-48

-6

H03/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

30-29

H30/09

Liga A

Lanus

#12

45-43

A14/10

Liga A

San Lorenzo

#17

45-44

A17/10

Liga A

San Martin

#18

48-32

+16

H28/10

Liga A

Quimsa

30-38

-8

A31/10

Liga A

Olimpico

43-35

A03/11

Liga A

Platense

#11

48-41

A11/11

Liga A

Ferro

#16

35-39

-4

A13/11

Liga A

79.8Avg total

40.6Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	41.4	81.9	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.2	38.6	76.8	-0.4	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	42.1	43.2	85.3	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	39.2	79.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	37.0	77.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	43.0	43.0	86.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	40.3	42.1	82.4	-1.7	37%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	40.4	39.6	80.0	+0.9	67%	-

This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

#19

37-47

-10

A15/04

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

35-40

-5

A18/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

38-40

-2

H09/10

Liga A

Penarol

44-45

-1

H17/10

Liga A

Obera TC

#10

44-46

-2

H18/10

Liga A

Platense

#11

36-44

-8

H28/10

Liga A

Regatas

#15

31-31

H07/11

Liga A

San Martin

#18

25-37

-12

H08/11

Liga A

Atenas

26-52

-26

A13/11

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

38-53

-15

A15/11

Liga A

78.9Avg total

35.4Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	42.8	80.3	-5.3	23%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	38.2	42.7	80.8	-4.5	22%	-
Last 30 away (12)	36.4	43.0	79.4	-6.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	43.5	78.9	-8.1	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.2	43.4	74.6	-12.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	37.2	43.5	80.7	-6.3	19%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.2	40.4	78.6	-2.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	37.0	47.0	84.0	-10.0	0%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.0	17.5	37.5	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.3	19.4	40.7	+1.9	72%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	17.5	33.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	21.1	19.2	40.2	+1.9	68%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.3	17.8	39.1	+3.6	78%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.4	38.7	-0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.9	18.8	38.8	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.8	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.7	20.2	35.9	-4.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	21.4	36.0	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.3	43%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.9	20.8	41.6	+0.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	9.0	18.0	27.0	-9.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.5	39.7	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.6	18.8	39.3	+1.8	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	17.3	37.9	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.4	41.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	12.5	20.5	33.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (19)	21.1	19.5	40.6	+1.6	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.5	39.1	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.5	18.1	37.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.8	21.7	41.4	-1.9	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.8	36.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.0	48%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.8	19.8	41.5	+2.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	15.0	39.0	+9.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	38.1	79.2	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	40.6	36.2	76.8	+4.3	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	41.4	39.3	80.7	+2.1	72%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	36.5	77.1	+4.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	38.8	81.8	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	28.5	38.0	66.5	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar (19)	42.2	38.6	80.8	+3.5	68%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	41.6	37.0	78.6	+4.6	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	38.9	77.8	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	39.4	36.9	76.3	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	38.2	41.8	80.0	-3.7	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.7	38.7	73.4	-4.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	41.2	72.8	-9.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	37.8	38.5	76.3	-0.7	48%	-
vs Similar (8)	42.6	40.5	83.1	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	33.0	33.0	66.0	+0.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 82.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	19.9	56.2%	54.4%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.4	32.3%	32.6%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	25.6	17.5	68.4%	72.7%	17.5

They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

San Lorenzotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Lorenzo: 77.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	19.0	55.1%	54.4%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	7.5	30.1%	32.6%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	22.7	17.0	74.9%	72.7%	17.0

They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.7	18.9	54.5%	54.4%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.7	9.4	31.6%	32.6%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	19.2	13.5	70.3%	72.7%	13.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.2	52.9%	54.4%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	8.9	35.0%	32.6%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	22.3	16.6	74.4%	72.7%	16.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.3	18.9	55.2%	54.4%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	9.1	34.1%	32.6%	27.2
🏀 Free throws	23.8	17.1	71.6%	72.7%	17.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	18.6	54.1%	54.4%	37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	8.4	31.4%	32.6%	25.3
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.1	70.8%	72.7%	15.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	19.2	54.1%	54.4%	38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	9.3	31.2%	32.6%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	19.9	13.8	69.4%	72.7%	13.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	19.1	53.4%	54.4%	38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.7	33.5%	32.6%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	23.7	17.2	72.7%	72.7%	17.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Penarol

WWWLWWWWLW

San Lorenzo

LLLWLLLWLL

League position

#17

+4.1

Net rating

-6.0

113.4

Offensive rating

110.0

109.3

Defensive rating

116.0

52.9%

Effective FG%

50.9%

51.2%

Opp. effective FG%

52.8%

0.0%

Turnover %

0.0%

0.42

Free-throw rate

0.38

32.3%

3-point %

30.1%

48.4%

Assist %

50.9%

80%

Form (last 10/10)

20%

Profile

■ Penarol ■ San Lorenzo

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

San Lorenzo wins

Date	Game	Score
17/10/26	San Lorenzo v Penarol	85-92
15/03/26	Penarol v San Lorenzo	71-79
26/09/25	San Lorenzo v Penarol	82-74
05/04/25	San Lorenzo v Penarol	76-63
10/01/25	Penarol v San Lorenzo	80-77
23/04/24	Penarol v San Lorenzo	80-75
15/11/23	San Lorenzo v Penarol	88-65
18/01/23	San Lorenzo v Penarol	75-99
21/10/22	Penarol v San Lorenzo	79-70
14/02/22	San Lorenzo v Penarol	73-76

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/11/26	A	Ferro	85-76
11/11/26	A	Platense	79-75
03/11/26	A	Olimpico	87-74
31/10/26	A	Quimsa	73-78
28/10/26	H	San Martin	95-76
17/10/26	A	San Lorenzo	92-85
14/10/26	A	Lanus	84-77
30/09/26	H	Gimnasia	62-57
03/05/26	H	Ferro	68-84
01/05/26	H	Ferro	87-75

San Lorenzolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/11/26	A	Independiente de Oliva	89-122
13/11/26	A	Atenas	55-81
08/11/26	H	San Martin	42-75
07/11/26	H	Regatas	70-65
28/10/26	H	Platense	58-80
18/10/26	H	Obera TC	73-78
17/10/26	H	Penarol	85-92
09/10/26	H	Gimnasia	89-73
18/04/26	A	Obras Sanitarias	70-76
15/04/26	A	Argentino	70-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2026-27

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	88%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WLWWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	2	6
Win %	88%	100%	83%
Points / game	82.1	78.5	83.3
Allowed / game	74.8	66.5	77.5
Point differential	+7.4	+12.0	+5.8
Avg total	156.9	145.0	160.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	50%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

San Lorenzo

Liga A 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	25%
Home	LLLWL	33%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	6	2
Win %	25%	33%	0%
Points / game	70.1	69.5	72.0
Allowed / game	83.2	77.2	101.5
Point differential	-13.1	-7.7	-29.5
Avg total	153.4	146.7	173.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	17%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	8	7	1	88%	85.2	75.8	+9.5
2	Penarol	8	7	1	88%	82.1	74.8	+7.4
3	Gimnasia	12	9	3	75%	77.2	74.0	+3.2
4	Instituto de Cordoba	8	6	2	75%	77.9	76.5	+1.4
5	Atenas	7	5	2	71%	84.4	79.0	+5.4
6	Boca Juniors	8	5	3	62%	89.5	83.2	+6.2
7	Independiente de Oliva	4	2	2	50%	99.5	89.0	+10.5
8	Olimpico	8	4	4	50%	86.8	85.4	+1.4
9	Argentino	8	4	4	50%	77.9	79.5	-1.6
10	Obera TC	7	3	4	43%	80.0	83.1	-3.1
11	Platense	8	3	5	38%	76.9	78.6	-1.8
12	Lanus	11	4	7	36%	78.5	79.3	-0.7
13	Racing de Chivilcoy	9	3	6	33%	79.4	82.8	-3.3
14	La Union	6	2	4	33%	78.2	83.2	-5.0
15	Regatas	7	2	5	29%	73.3	75.7	-2.4
16	Ferro	8	2	6	25%	81.5	85.6	-4.1
17	San Lorenzo	8	2	6	25%	70.1	83.2	-13.1
18	San Martin	9	2	7	22%	81.6	87.4	-5.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

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Penarol vs San Lorenzo Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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