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Penarol vs Zarate Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 110-81
21-14 37-29 25-24 27-14
Position#12
Record16-20
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game78.7
Penarol 🏆
Argentina
vs
Position#19
Record10-25
FormWWWLL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game82.8
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Islas Malvinas
Other2024-25
Meetings · Penarol v Zarate
09 May 2025
PENA110
ZARA81
10 Mar 2024
PENA64
ZARA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zarate winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#4
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 67
H29/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
86-88
86
88
-2
71avg 67
A02/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
93-85
93
85
+8
81avg 67
A03/04
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
L
63-76
63
76
-13
50avg 67
A05/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
89-71
89
71
+18
88avg 67
H10/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
75-79
75
79
-4
63avg 67
H25/04
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
73-75
73
75
-2
62avg 67
H27/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
L
79-85
79
85
-6
71avg 67
A03/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
L
71-86
71
86
-15
60avg 67
A04/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
99-74
99
74
+25
102avg 67
H08/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
15-23
17-18
14-27
21-17
17-28
28-20
20-23
23-16
17-20
25-19
28-30
16-22
17-11
21-20
9-23
27-16
29-19
17-16
16-20
20-18
21-16
10-27
24-18
12-20
26-20
16-24
19-11
25-17
15-24
18-15
21-29
18-29
20-17
21-17
12-23
26-20
28-15
23-16
22-23
159.1Avg total
79.1Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)80.278.7158.9+1.444%
Season at home (17)82.974.8157.7+8.259%
Season away (19)77.782.3159.9-4.632%
Last 10 (10)79.180.0159.1-0.930%
Last 5 (5)79.479.8159.2-0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.580.0153.5-6.550%
vs Similar (14)77.477.8155.1-0.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.877.1160.9+6.750%
This opponent (Zarate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZarateArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZarate
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#3
L
66-75
66
75
-9
57avg 65
A30/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
72-73
72
73
-1
61avg 65
H02/04
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
72-84
72
84
-12
65avg 65
H04/04
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
L
60-92
60
92
-32
51avg 65
H08/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
69-92
69
92
-23
53avg 65
A13/04
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
106-95
106
95
+11
102avg 65
A16/04
Liga A
Atenas
#13
W
96-94
96
94
+2
90avg 65
A18/04
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
82avg 65
H26/04
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
L
75-85
75
85
-10
62avg 65
H27/04
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
66-85
66
85
-19
56avg 65
H06/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
10-15
17-21
15-15
18-23
15-22
19-15
20-13
10-17
12-29
22-21
28-17
19-28
15-25
12-20
14-19
31-28
16-15
11-23
11-26
25-34
27-20
25-25
29-16
20-19
26-26
25-24
25-25
19-26
29-23
22-18
13-16
19-24
17-28
15-17
24-16
19-16
17-25
15-27
15-17
164.4Avg total
77.9Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)73.182.8156.0-9.729%
Season at home (18)71.878.6150.3-6.833%
Season away (17)74.687.4161.9-12.824%
Last 10 (10)77.986.5164.4-8.630%
Last 5 (5)88.089.8177.8-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)72.983.3156.2-10.529%
vs Similar (2)79.579.0158.5+0.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
PenarolZarate
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#4
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H29/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A02/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A03/04
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A05/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H10/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H25/04
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H27/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A03/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A04/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H08/05
Liga A
79.1Avg total
41.0Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.580.4+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.237.480.7+5.875%-
Last 30 away (14)38.241.980.1-3.736%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.179.1+2.940%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.281.4+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.040.072.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (14)39.639.178.7+0.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.539.983.4+3.664%-
This opponent (Zarate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZarateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#3
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A30/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H02/04
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
22-46
22
46
-24
H04/04
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H08/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A13/04
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A16/04
Liga A
Atenas
#13
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A18/04
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H26/04
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H27/04
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H06/05
Liga A
85.5Avg total
38.8Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.945.284.1-6.321%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.045.383.3-7.320%-
Last 30 away (14)39.945.184.9-5.221%-
Last 10 (10)38.846.785.5-7.920%-
Last 5 (5)43.648.291.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)38.745.984.6-7.315%-
vs Similar (2)42.035.077.0+7.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Penarol wins
2
Zarate wins
DateGameScore
24/10/24Zarate v Penarol87-82
10/03/24Penarol v Zarate64-78
17/01/24Zarate v Penarol77-84
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/25HIndependiente de Oliva99-74
04/05/25AObera TC71-86
03/05/25AUnion De Santa Fe79-85
27/04/25HFerro73-75
25/04/25HPlatense75-79
10/04/25HInstituto de Cordoba89-71
05/04/25ASan Lorenzo63-76
03/04/25AObras Sanitarias93-85
02/04/25AGimnasia86-88
29/03/25HQuimsa63-81
Zaratelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/25HRegatas66-85
27/04/25HSan Lorenzo75-85
26/04/25HQuimsa97-90 OT
18/04/25AAtenas96-94
16/04/25AIndependiente de Oliva106-95
13/04/25AInstituto de Cordoba69-92
08/04/25HOlimpico60-92
04/04/25HSan Martin72-84
02/04/25HBoca Juniors72-73
30/03/25AObera TC66-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeLWLLW59%
AwayLWLLL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361719
Win %44%59%32%
Points / game80.282.977.7
Allowed / game78.774.882.3
Point differential+1.4+8.2-4.6
Avg total158.9157.7159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%53%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)20% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Zarate
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL29%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLLLWW24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %29%33%24%
Points / game73.171.874.6
Allowed / game82.878.687.4
Point differential-9.7-6.8-12.8
Avg total156.0150.3161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%0%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)50% (6)100% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boca Juniors3425974%80.675.8+4.8
2 Instituto de Cordoba33231070%81.172.6+8.4
3 Quimsa37241365%87.177.7+9.3
4 Obera TC34221265%81.777.4+4.4
5 Riachuelo33211264%81.977.1+4.8
6 Obras Sanitarias35221363%82.980.0+2.9
7 Gimnasia35201557%83.378.2+5.1
8 Regatas36191753%79.479.8-0.4
9 Atenas37191851%78.880.4-1.5
10 San Martin38191950%74.373.1+1.2
11 Union De Santa Fe37181949%81.985.3-3.4
12 Ferro35171849%81.583.0-1.5
13 San Lorenzo35161946%77.479.8-2.5
14 Penarol36162044%80.278.7+1.4
15 Olimpico36162044%80.382.8-2.5
16 Platense36142239%79.181.9-2.9
17 Independiente de Oliva37142338%85.288.0-2.8
18 La Union35132237%84.085.7-1.7
19 Zarate35102529%73.182.8-9.7
20 Argentino3462818%72.285.2-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol21372527110
Zarate1429241481
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