PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Buffalo vs Northern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 68-78
37-38 31-40
Position#362
Record4-26
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#307
Record10-20
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game77.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Buffalo v Northern Illinois
17 Feb 2026
BUFF70
NORT72
08 Mar 2024
BUFF68
NORT78
07 Jan 2023
BUFF80
NORT62
26 Feb 2022
BUFF70
NORT60
04 Jan 2020
BUFF72
NORT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#199
L
52-83
52
83
-31
H02/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A07/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
A10/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A14/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
62-73
62
73
-11
H17/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H21/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A24/02
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A28/02
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H02/03
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
22-51
30-32
26-34
47-53
45-33
27-39
34-31
34-41
32-26
30-47
33-31
45-38
32-47
40-44
27-39
37-37
33-37
46-48
33-40
33-38
149.1Avg total
69.6Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)68.079.8147.8-11.813%
Season at home (15)68.781.4150.1-12.713%
Season away (15)67.378.1145.5-10.813%
Last 10 (10)69.679.5149.1-9.920%
Last 5 (5)71.879.8151.6-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)67.379.7146.9-12.410%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H03/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A07/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A10/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H14/02
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
47-85
47
85
-38
A17/02
NCAA
Ball State
#226
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H21/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
59-80
59
80
-21
H24/02
NCAA
Toledo
#107
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A02/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-32
48-34
30-31
32-28
31-36
35-39
31-34
41-34
26-44
21-41
31-27
32-43
26-34
33-46
28-37
47-35
37-34
36-46
28-32
35-37
138.0Avg total
65.6Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.077.7150.7-4.733%
Season at home (14)73.273.4146.6-0.236%
Season away (16)72.981.4154.3-8.631%
Last 10 (10)65.672.4138.0-6.840%
Last 5 (5)66.674.2140.8-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)69.480.9150.3-11.525%
vs Similar (6)73.877.2151.0-3.317%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)80.573.5154.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.2-5.21st half: -4.5-4.52nd half2nd half: -4.8-4.82nd half: -2.3-2.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.2-5.21st half: -4.5-4.52nd half2nd half: -4.8-4.82nd half: -2.3-2.3
BuffaloNorthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#199
L
22-51
22
51
-29
H02/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A07/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A10/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H17/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H21/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A24/02
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A28/02
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H02/03
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H06/03
NCAA
68.6Avg total
31.7Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.837.768.6-6.923%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.739.571.3-7.827%-
Last 30 away (15)29.935.965.9-6.020%-
Last 10 (10)31.736.968.6-5.240%-
Last 5 (5)31.638.870.4-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)30.137.667.7-7.421%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H03/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A07/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A10/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H14/02
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A17/02
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H24/02
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A28/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A02/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H06/03
NCAA
63.7Avg total
29.6Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.135.671.6+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.033.768.7+1.329%-
Last 30 away (16)37.037.274.2-0.256%-
Last 10 (10)29.634.163.7-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)30.032.862.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)34.238.672.8-4.435%-
vs Similar (6)35.332.067.3+3.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)37.032.569.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Buffalo wins
2
Northern Illinois wins
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24HOhio66-78
02/03/24HToledo79-85
28/02/24AKent State64-76
24/02/24AWestern Michigan72-91
21/02/24HEastern Michigan78-69
17/02/24HAkron62-73
14/02/24ANorthern Illinois68-72
10/02/24AGeorgia Southern82-81 OT
07/02/24ABowling Green73-87
02/02/24HKent State52-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24HCentral Michigan63-69
02/03/24AAkron73-80
28/02/24AToledo75-72
24/02/24HOhio59-80
21/02/24HBall State63-70
17/02/24AKent State47-85
14/02/24HBuffalo72-68
10/02/24ASouth Alabama66-75
07/02/24AMiami (Ohio)62-59
03/02/24HEastern Michigan76-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buffalo
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL13%
HomeLLWLL13%
AwayLWLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %13%13%13%
Points / game68.068.767.3
Allowed / game79.881.478.1
Point differential-11.8-12.7-10.8
Avg total147.8150.1145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%0%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Northern Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeWWLLL36%
AwayWLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %33%36%31%
Points / game73.073.272.9
Allowed / game77.773.481.4
Point differential-4.7-0.2-8.6
Avg total150.7146.6154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron31211068%74.766.2+8.5
2 UMass30201067%78.170.7+7.4
3 Toledo30191163%80.576.6+3.9
4 Ohio30181260%77.871.0+6.8
5 Bowling Green30181260%74.071.3+2.8
6 Central Michigan30171357%66.970.5-3.6
7 Miami (Ohio)29151452%71.569.7+1.8
8 Kent State30151550%75.771.9+3.8
9 Ball State30151550%73.770.7+3.0
10 Eastern Michigan30131743%66.272.9-6.7
11 Western Michigan31121939%71.874.6-2.8
12 Northern Illinois30102033%73.077.7-4.7
13 Buffalo3042613%68.079.8-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Buffalo373168
Northern Illinois384078
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.