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Buffalo vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-85
33-37 46-48
Position#362
Record4-24
FormLLWLL
Points / game67.7
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Toledo 🏆
USA
Position#107
Record17-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game77.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Buffalo v Toledo
23 Jan 2027
BUFF v TOLE
upcoming
01 Mar 2025
BUFF87
TOLE74
02 Mar 2024
BUFF79
TOLE85
20 Jan 2023
BUFF77
TOLE86
01 Mar 2022
BUFF76
TOLE92
19 Feb 2021
BUFF70
TOLE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A27/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
70-91
70
91
-21
A31/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
52-83
52
83
-31
H02/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A07/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
A10/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A14/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
62-73
62
73
-11
H17/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H21/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A24/02
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-35
32-40
26-41
44-50
22-51
30-32
26-34
47-53
45-33
27-39
34-31
34-41
32-26
30-47
33-31
45-38
32-47
40-44
27-39
37-37
148.4Avg total
68.6Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)67.779.6147.3-12.014%
Season at home (13)68.181.4149.5-13.315%
Season away (15)67.378.1145.5-10.813%
Last 10 (10)68.679.8148.4-11.220%
Last 5 (5)68.876.2145.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)67.280.3147.5-13.011%
vs Similar (1)68.063.0131.0+5.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#307
W
89-73
89
73
+16
A24/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H27/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
88-63
88
63
+25
H31/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A03/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A07/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
104-109 OT
104
109
-5
A10/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H17/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A24/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-38
51-35
31-31
57-41
48-27
40-36
36-47
34-30
42-37
49-50
47-46
43-44
39-44
46-39
32-22
40-42
38-39
30-37
37-28
35-47
160.6Avg total
82.7Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.877.0156.8+2.861%
Season at home (16)79.775.2154.9+4.469%
Season away (12)79.879.3159.2+0.550%
Last 10 (10)82.777.9160.6+4.860%
Last 5 (5)80.281.4161.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.688.0166.6-9.40%
vs Similar (15)78.476.1154.5+2.373%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.474.1156.6+8.367%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.8-5.81st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: -5.5-5.52nd half: +2.4+2.4
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.8-5.81st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: -5.5-5.52nd half: +2.4+2.4
BuffaloToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A27/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A31/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
22-51
22
51
-29
H02/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A07/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A10/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H17/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H21/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A24/02
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A28/02
NCAA
67.8Avg total
31.0Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.637.968.6-7.323%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.439.670.9-8.229%-
Last 30 away (16)30.036.566.5-6.519%-
Last 10 (10)31.036.867.8-5.840%-
Last 5 (5)31.634.866.4-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)30.037.867.8-7.821%-
vs Similar (1)29.038.067.0-9.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#307
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H27/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H31/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A03/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A07/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A10/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H17/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H21/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H28/02
NCAA
74.7Avg total
38.8Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.937.174.1-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.636.272.9+0.435%-
Last 30 away (13)37.338.375.6-1.046%-
Last 10 (10)38.835.974.7+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.874.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.041.876.8-6.820%-
vs Similar (15)35.936.972.7-1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.234.773.9+4.656%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Buffalo wins
6
Toledo wins
DateGameScore
17/01/24Toledo v Buffalo77-66
25/02/23Toledo v Buffalo101-71
21/01/23Buffalo v Toledo77-86
02/03/22Buffalo v Toledo76-92
26/01/22Toledo v Buffalo86-75
20/02/21Buffalo v Toledo70-80
14/02/20Toledo v Buffalo67-83
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/24AKent State64-76
24/02/24AWestern Michigan72-91
21/02/24HEastern Michigan78-69
17/02/24HAkron62-73
14/02/24ANorthern Illinois68-72
10/02/24AGeorgia Southern82-81 OT
07/02/24ABowling Green73-87
02/02/24HKent State52-83
31/01/24AOhio70-91
27/01/24AEastern Michigan65-75
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/24HNorthern Illinois72-75
24/02/24ABowling Green68-76
21/02/24HAkron72-64
17/02/24HOhio85-83
10/02/24AAppalachian State104-109 OT
07/02/24AEastern Michigan91-87
03/02/24AAkron70-77
31/01/24HWestern Michigan88-63
27/01/24HBowling Green88-72
24/01/24ANorthern Illinois89-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buffalo
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLLLLW15%
AwayLWLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %14%15%13%
Points / game67.768.167.3
Allowed / game79.681.478.1
Point differential-12.0-13.3-10.8
Avg total147.3149.5145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Toledo
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL61%
HomeWWWWL69%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %61%69%50%
Points / game79.879.779.8
Allowed / game77.075.279.3
Point differential+2.8+4.4+0.5
Avg total156.8154.9159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)71% (7)60% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2820871%74.765.3+9.4
2 UMass28181064%78.871.0+7.8
3 Toledo28171161%79.877.0+2.8
4 Ohio29171259%77.871.2+6.7
5 Bowling Green29171259%74.171.5+2.6
6 Central Michigan28161257%66.670.4-3.9
7 Miami (Ohio)28151354%71.868.8+3.0
8 Kent State28141450%75.971.7+4.1
9 Ball State28141450%73.570.5+3.0
10 Eastern Michigan29121741%66.373.3-7.0
11 Western Michigan28101836%71.274.3-3.1
12 Northern Illinois28101836%73.477.9-4.5
13 Buffalo2842414%67.779.6-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Buffalo334679
Toledo374885
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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