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Penn State vs Maryland Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 85-69
36-32 49-37
Position#216
Record14-16
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game74.5
Penn State 🏆
USA
vs
Maryland
USA
Position#215
Record15-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game65.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Penn State v Maryland
30 Jan 2027
PENN v MARY
upcoming
01 Mar 2025
PENN64
MARY68
10 Mar 2024
PENN85
MARY69
05 Mar 2023
PENN65
MARY64
05 Feb 2021
PENN55
MARY50
10 Dec 2019
PENN76
MARY69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maryland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#241
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A01/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
85-71
85
71
+14
A03/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H09/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A11/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H14/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
49-68
49
68
-19
A17/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
90-89
90
89
+1
H21/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H24/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A28/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
26-24
35-22
37-41
48-30
42-34
47-45
27-29
36-39
31-45
41-35
22-28
27-40
41-48
49-41
40-33
43-41
39-47
42-43
42-30
28-45
148.3Avg total
74.3Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.674.5150.1+1.147%
Season at home (17)79.471.0150.4+8.471%
Season away (13)70.779.1149.8-8.415%
Last 10 (10)74.374.0148.3+0.350%
Last 5 (5)74.679.2153.8-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.779.2149.8-8.533%
vs Similar ◀ (21)76.273.9150.1+2.348%
vs Weaker (3)81.069.3150.3+11.767%
This opponent (Maryland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarylandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#62
W
73-51
73
51
+22
H27/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A03/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H06/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
A10/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H17/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A21/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A25/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H29/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
44-27
29-24
27-31
27-32
24-22
29-34
32-33
29-28
31-37
47-29
38-43
42-42
29-37
41-37
30-18
33-28
24-29
37-39
43-33
35-50
135.6Avg total
68.5Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)69.665.0134.6+4.650%
Season at home (18)73.665.0138.6+8.661%
Season away (12)63.665.1128.7-1.533%
Last 10 (10)68.567.1135.6+1.430%
Last 5 (5)70.471.2141.6-0.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.773.0142.7-3.333%
vs Similar ◀ (18)68.265.8134.0+2.444%
vs Weaker (9)72.360.9133.2+11.467%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +0.6+0.6
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +0.6+0.6
Penn StateMaryland
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#241
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A01/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A03/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H09/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A11/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H14/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A17/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H24/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A28/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A02/03
NCAA
70.6Avg total
34.7Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.434.970.4+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.132.670.7+5.565%-
Last 30 away (13)31.938.069.9-6.123%-
Last 10 (10)34.735.970.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.274.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.242.374.5-10.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)36.233.369.5+2.957%-
vs Weaker (3)36.731.368.0+5.333%-
This opponent (Maryland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarylandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#62
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H27/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A03/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
24-22
24
22
+2
H06/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A10/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H17/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A21/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
30-18
30
18
+12
A25/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H29/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H03/03
NCAA
63.2Avg total
32.2Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.630.563.1+2.147%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.629.864.4+4.756%-
Last 30 away (12)29.731.461.1-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)32.231.063.2+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)32.832.064.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.338.069.3-6.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)31.530.762.2+0.839%-
vs Weaker (9)35.227.462.7+7.878%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Penn State wins
3
Maryland wins
DateGameScore
07/12/23Maryland v Penn State81-75 OT
05/03/23Penn State v Maryland65-64
11/02/23Maryland v Penn State74-68
22/02/22Maryland v Penn State67-61
08/03/21Maryland v Penn State61-66
06/02/21Penn State v Maryland55-50
11/12/19Penn State v Maryland76-69
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AMinnesota70-75
28/02/24AIowa81-90
24/02/24HIndiana83-74
21/02/24HIllinois90-89
17/02/24ANebraska49-68
14/02/24HMichigan State72-80
11/02/24ANorthwestern63-68
09/02/24HIowa89-79
03/02/24AIndiana85-71
01/02/24ARutgers61-46
Marylandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HIndiana78-83
29/02/24HNorthwestern61-68
25/02/24ARutgers63-46
21/02/24AWisconsin70-74
17/02/24HIllinois80-85
15/02/24HIowa78-66
10/02/24AOhio State75-79 OT
06/02/24HRutgers53-56
03/02/24AMichigan State54-63
27/01/24HNebraska73-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL47%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayWLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %47%71%15%
Points / game75.679.470.7
Allowed / game74.571.079.1
Point differential+1.1+8.4-8.4
Avg total150.1150.4149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%35%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %7%6%8%
Maryland
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeLWLLL61%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %50%61%33%
Points / game69.673.663.6
Allowed / game65.065.065.1
Point differential+4.6+8.6-1.5
Avg total134.6138.6128.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%44%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won9% (11)0% (5)17% (6)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue3128390%84.270.2+14.0
2 Illinois3123874%83.972.9+11.0
3 Nebraska3122971%76.869.3+7.5
4 Northwestern31211068%74.169.0+5.1
5 Oregon31201165%75.872.6+3.3
6 Ohio State31191261%74.569.0+5.5
7 Wisconsin31191261%74.469.8+4.6
8 Michigan State31181358%73.465.9+7.5
9 Iowa31181358%83.178.7+4.4
10 Minnesota31181358%75.771.6+4.1
11 Indiana31181358%72.974.2-1.3
12 Washington31171455%80.877.0+3.8
13 Maryland30151550%69.665.0+4.6
14 UCLA31151648%65.965.6+0.3
15 Rutgers31151648%65.866.6-0.7
16 Penn State30141647%75.674.5+1.1
17 USC31141745%74.774.5+0.3
18 Michigan3182326%73.579.4-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State364985
Maryland323769
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