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Penn State vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 103-54
43-28 60-26
Position#185
Record1-0
FormLWWLW
Points / game108.0
Allowed / game66.0
Penn State 🏆
USA
vs
UMBC Retrievers
USA
Position#280
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game66.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#154
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H14/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
49-68
49
68
-19
A17/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
90-89
90
89
+1
H21/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H24/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A28/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A02/03
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H10/03
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H14/03
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A15/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
W
108-66
108
66
+42
H05/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-45
41-35
22-28
27-40
41-48
49-41
40-33
43-41
39-47
42-43
42-30
28-45
36-32
49-37
33-22
33-35
27-32
32-29
54-23
54-43
149.2Avg total
76.3Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)108.066.0174.0+42.0100%
Season at home (1)108.066.0174.0+42.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.372.9149.2+3.450%
Last 5 (5)77.665.6143.2+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.084.8154.8-14.820%
vs Similar (21)75.874.9150.7+1.043%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)83.569.5153.0+14.075%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass Lowell
#55
L
80-93
80
93
-13
H09/02
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H10/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#209
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A15/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#306
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H17/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A22/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#230
W
86-68
86
68
+18
A24/02
NCAA
NJIT
#349
W
79-60
79
60
+19
A01/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#209
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H06/03
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
L
89-94 OT
89
94
-5
A09/03
NCAA
Penn State-York
#466
W
95-66
95
66
+29
H04/11
NCAA
1H
2H
24-41
56-52
35-27
35-45
46-35
43-43
39-36
41-39
20-16
36-46
48-24
38-44
32-25
47-35
40-37
31-35
31-32
45-44
55-25
40-41
153.5Avg total
79.5Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)95.066.0161.0+29.0100%
Season at home (1)95.066.0161.0+29.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.574.0153.5+5.550%
Last 5 (5)84.072.0156.0+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.788.6166.3-10.90%
vs Similar (15)79.178.0157.1+1.153%
vs Weaker (4)79.275.8155.0+3.550%
This opponent (Penn State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -1.2-1.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -1.2-1.2
Penn StateUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#154
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H14/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A17/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H24/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A28/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A02/03
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H10/03
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H14/03
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A15/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H05/11
NCAA
70.5Avg total
36.5Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.135.270.3-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.233.271.4+5.069%-
Last 30 away (14)31.637.669.1-6.021%-
Last 10 (10)36.534.070.5+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.427.866.2+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.245.676.8-14.40%-
vs Similar (21)35.533.769.2+1.857%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)37.830.268.0+7.550%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass Lowell
#55
L
24-41
24
41
-17
H09/02
NCAA
Vermont
#16
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H10/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#209
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A15/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#306
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
W
20-16
20
16
+4
A22/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#230
W
48-24
48
24
+24
A24/02
NCAA
NJIT
#349
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A01/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#209
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H06/03
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A09/03
NCAA
Penn State-York
#466
W
55-25
55
25
+30
H04/11
NCAA
66.8Avg total
37.0Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.436.272.6+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.934.372.2+3.671%-
Last 30 away (16)35.137.872.9-2.744%-
Last 10 (10)37.029.866.8+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.228.669.8+12.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.442.976.3-9.520%-
vs Similar (15)37.133.770.8+3.380%-
vs Weaker (4)37.031.268.2+5.850%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penn State wins
1
UMBC Retrievers wins
DateGameScore
30/12/19UMBC Retrievers v Penn State89-57
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/24HBinghamton108-66
15/03/24AIndiana59-61
14/03/24HMichigan66-57
10/03/24HMaryland85-69
02/03/24AMinnesota70-75
28/02/24AIowa81-90
24/02/24HIndiana83-74
21/02/24HIllinois90-89
17/02/24ANebraska49-68
14/02/24HMichigan State72-80
UMBC Retrieverslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/24HPenn State-York95-66
09/03/24AUMass Lowell89-94 OT
06/03/24HBinghamton71-72
01/03/24ANJIT79-60
24/02/24ANew Hampshire Wildcats86-68
22/02/24AMaine Black Bears56-62
17/02/24HAlbany Great Danes80-75
15/02/24ABinghamton89-78
10/02/24HVermont70-72
09/02/24HUMass Lowell80-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game108.0108.0-
Allowed / game66.066.0-
Point differential+42.0+42.0-
Avg total174.0174.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game95.095.0-
Allowed / game66.066.0-
Point differential+29.0+29.0-
Avg total161.0161.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan110100%101.053.0+48.0
2 Illinois110100%112.067.0+45.0
3 Northwestern110100%90.046.0+44.0
4 Penn State110100%108.066.0+42.0
5 UCLA110100%85.050.0+35.0
6 Maryland110100%79.049.0+30.0
7 Michigan State220100%88.558.5+30.0
8 Minnesota110100%80.057.0+23.0
9 Rutgers110100%75.052.0+23.0
10 Nebraska110100%87.067.0+20.0
11 Indiana110100%80.061.0+19.0
12 Iowa220100%89.070.5+18.5
13 Wisconsin220100%82.064.0+18.0
14 Purdue110100%90.073.0+17.0
15 USC220100%76.060.0+16.0
16 Oregon110100%91.076.0+15.0
17 Ohio State110100%80.072.0+8.0
18 Washington110100%79.073.0+6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell110100%115.059.0+56.0
2 Bryant University110100%105.063.0+42.0
3 UMBC Retrievers110100%95.066.0+29.0
4 Maine Black Bears21150%80.071.5+8.5
5 Binghamton21150%74.085.5-11.5
6 Vermont21150%55.078.0-23.0
7 NJIT1010%57.058.0-1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State4360103
UMBC Retrievers282654
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