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Penn State vs Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 56-62
26-30 30-32
Position#113
Record16-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game69.4
vs
Position#79
Record12-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game64.5
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Penn State v Illinois
03 Jan 2026
PENN65
ILLI73
21 Feb 2024
PENN90
ILLI89
14 Feb 2023
PENN93
ILLI81
23 Dec 2020
PENN81
ILLI98
18 Feb 2020
PENN56
ILLI62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#71
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H11/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#179
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A16/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#94
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H18/01
NCAA
Michigan
#131
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A23/01
NCAA
Indiana
#149
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H30/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#341
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A02/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#49
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A05/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#179
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H08/02
NCAA
Purdue
#181
W
88-76
88
76
+12
A11/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#323
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
22-31
27-27
46-44
23-31
42-27
48-49
37-28
35-35
28-28
36-21
38-33
38-31
43-37
32-33
36-22
47-55
42-30
46-46
42-28
35-33
141.2Avg total
74.3Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)74.669.4144.0+5.273%
Season at home (13)75.765.2140.9+10.585%
Season away (9)73.075.4148.4-2.456%
Last 10 (10)74.366.9141.2+7.480%
Last 5 (5)79.869.6149.4+10.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)74.277.0151.2-2.875%
vs Similar (13)72.567.7140.2+4.869%
vs Weaker (10)76.866.2143.0+10.680%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#71
W
71-70
71
70
+1
A09/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#104
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H11/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#323
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H18/01
NCAA
Purdue
#181
W
79-62
79
62
+17
A22/01
NCAA
Michigan
#131
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A25/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#179
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Iowa
#90
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A02/02
NCAA
Maryland
#37
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H08/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#49
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H12/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#104
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-34
43-36
18-21
36-30
38-34
37-37
29-30
50-32
34-30
30-32
24-20
35-31
31-30
34-42
42-40
24-35
20-37
49-33
32-34
25-38
131.5Avg total
65.9Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)72.264.5136.6+7.760%
Season at home (12)78.162.8140.8+15.375%
Season away (8)63.267.0130.2-3.838%
Last 10 (10)65.965.6131.5+0.360%
Last 5 (5)63.268.0131.2-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)65.162.2127.3+2.953%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)80.666.2146.9+14.462%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +1.7+1.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +1.7+1.7
Penn StateIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#71
L
22-31
22
31
-9
H11/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#179
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A16/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#94
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H18/01
NCAA
Michigan
#131
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A23/01
NCAA
Indiana
#149
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H30/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#341
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A02/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#49
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A05/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#179
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Purdue
#181
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A11/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#323
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H15/02
NCAA
68.4Avg total
37.6Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.130.967.0+5.172%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.428.965.3+7.669%-
Last 30 away (13)35.633.569.1+2.277%-
Last 10 (10)37.630.868.4+6.880%-
Last 5 (5)40.230.070.2+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.235.270.5+0.050%-
vs Similar (13)34.731.265.8+3.569%-
vs Weaker (10)39.729.769.4+10.090%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#71
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A09/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#104
L
18-21
18
21
-3
H11/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#323
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H18/01
NCAA
Purdue
#181
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A22/01
NCAA
Michigan
#131
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A25/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#179
W
24-20
24
20
+4
H31/01
NCAA
Iowa
#90
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A02/02
NCAA
Maryland
#37
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H08/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#49
L
20-37
20
37
-17
H12/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#104
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A15/02
NCAA
60.6Avg total
29.6Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)33.031.264.2+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.631.568.1+5.167%-
Last 30 away (11)28.030.958.9-2.927%-
Last 10 (10)29.631.060.6-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)29.832.262.0-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)30.529.760.3+0.853%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.032.971.9+6.150%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penn State wins
0
Illinois wins
No previous meetings.
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/20HNorthwestern77-61
11/02/20APurdue88-76
08/02/20HMinnesota83-77
05/02/20AMichigan State75-70
02/02/20ANebraska76-64
30/01/20HIndiana64-49
23/01/20AMichigan72-63
18/01/20HOhio State90-76
16/01/20AMinnesota69-75
11/01/20HWisconsin49-58
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/20ARutgers57-72
12/02/20HMichigan State69-70
08/02/20HMaryland66-75
02/02/20AIowa65-72
31/01/20HMinnesota59-51
25/01/20AMichigan64-62
22/01/20APurdue79-62
18/01/20HNorthwestern75-71
11/01/20HRutgers54-51
09/01/20AWisconsin71-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeLWWWW85%
AwayLWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %73%85%56%
Points / game74.675.773.0
Allowed / game69.465.275.4
Point differential+5.2+10.5-2.4
Avg total144.0140.9148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%46%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL60%
HomeWWWLL75%
AwayWWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %60%75%38%
Points / game72.278.163.2
Allowed / game64.562.867.0
Point differential+7.7+15.3-3.8
Avg total136.6140.8130.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%42%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maryland2117481%69.863.0+6.8
2 Oregon2216673%74.667.7+6.9
3 Penn State2216673%74.669.4+5.2
4 Iowa2316770%77.571.2+6.3
5 Rutgers2114767%69.961.9+8.0
6 USC2114767%69.667.0+2.6
7 Michigan State2214864%73.665.0+8.6
8 Ohio State2113862%70.762.9+7.9
9 Illinois2012860%72.264.5+7.7
10 Michigan2213959%76.368.7+7.5
11 Wisconsin2112957%65.362.0+3.2
12 Minnesota2011955%70.266.2+4.0
13 Indiana2011955%68.269.2-0.9
14 Purdue22121055%67.862.4+5.4
15 UCLA22111150%69.369.4-0.1
16 Washington2291341%70.466.5+3.9
17 Nebraska2361726%70.576.3-5.8
18 Northwestern2151624%65.169.3-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State263056
Illinois303262
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