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Penn State vs Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 65-73
26-40 39-33
Position#298
Record9-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game74.3
Penn State
USA
vs
Illinois 🏆
USA
Position#35
Record10-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game68.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Penn State v Illinois
03 Jan 2026
PENN65
ILLI73
21 Feb 2024
PENN90
ILLI89
14 Feb 2023
PENN93
ILLI81
23 Dec 2020
PENN81
ILLI98
18 Feb 2020
PENN56
ILLI62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Salle
#346
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Harvard
#133
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H19/11
NCAA
Providence
#246
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H22/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
96-87
96
87
+9
H26/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
90-59
90
59
+31
H29/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H02/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
72-113
72
113
-41
A10/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H13/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
46-80
46
80
-34
H21/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
90-67
90
67
+23
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-29
41-40
35-38
49-42
31-32
34-45
51-35
45-52
47-20
43-39
46-39
41-37
26-58
46-55
39-36
33-40
20-40
26-40
36-33
54-34
156.9Avg total
78.5Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.174.3153.4+4.869%
Season at home (11)79.073.6152.6+5.473%
Season away (2)79.578.0157.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)78.578.4156.9+0.160%
Last 5 (5)73.482.4155.8-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.276.0153.2+1.254%
vs Similar (12)74.677.4152.0-2.833%
vs Weaker (5)70.073.6143.6-3.640%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colgate
#168
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H15/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
86-90
86
90
-4
H20/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
98-58
98
58
+40
H22/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H25/11
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H28/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A07/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
88-80
88
80
+8
A10/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H13/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
91-48
91
48
+43
H23/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
90-55
90
55
+35
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
41-30
43-35
42-41
44-49
54-19
44-39
42-31
45-42
32-43
29-31
32-34
43-28
48-42
40-38
37-37
43-46
41-25
50-23
46-25
44-30
152.8Avg total
84.0Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.268.5156.7+19.877%
Season at home (11)89.568.0157.5+21.573%
Season away (2)81.571.0152.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)84.068.8152.8+15.270%
Last 5 (5)84.865.6150.4+19.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.396.3163.7-29.00%
vs Similar (10)79.279.8159.0-0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.370.5159.8+18.882%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +8.8+8.82nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +6.4+6.4
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +8.8+8.82nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +6.4+6.4
Penn StateIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Salle
#346
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H15/11
NCAA
Harvard
#133
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H19/11
NCAA
Providence
#246
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H22/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H26/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
47-20
47
20
+27
H29/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H02/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
26-58
26
58
-32
A10/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H13/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
20-40
20
40
-20
H21/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H29/12
NCAA
73.3Avg total
37.3Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.535.571.0-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.133.270.3+3.863%-
Last 30 away (11)32.839.572.4-6.727%-
Last 10 (10)37.336.073.3+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)33.441.274.6-7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.235.772.8+1.554%-
vs Similar (12)35.237.272.4-1.933%-
vs Weaker (5)31.831.263.0+0.680%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colgate
#168
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H15/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H20/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
54-19
54
19
+35
H22/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H25/11
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H28/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A07/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A10/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H23/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H29/12
NCAA
74.2Avg total
41.5Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.335.575.8+4.860%-
Last 30 at home (21)42.333.675.9+8.771%-
Last 30 away (9)35.739.975.6-4.233%-
Last 10 (10)41.532.774.2+8.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.832.673.4+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.349.784.0-15.30%-
vs Similar (10)36.137.573.6-1.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.831.875.6+12.082%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Penn State wins
5
Illinois wins
DateGameScore
09/01/25Illinois v Penn State91-52
21/02/24Penn State v Illinois90-89
09/03/23Illinois v Penn State76-79
15/02/23Penn State v Illinois93-81
10/12/22Illinois v Penn State59-74
04/03/22Illinois v Penn State60-55
20/01/21Illinois v Penn State79-65
23/12/20Penn State v Illinois81-98
18/02/20Penn State v Illinois56-62
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/25HN. Carolina Central90-67
21/12/25HPittsburgh46-80
13/12/25HMichigan State72-76
10/12/25AIndiana72-113
02/12/25HCampbell87-76
29/11/25HSacred Heart90-59
26/11/25HBoston University96-87
22/11/25HProvidence65-77
19/11/25HHarvard84-80
15/11/25HLa Salle83-69
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/25HSouthern Univ.90-55
23/12/25HMissouri91-48
13/12/25HNebraska80-83
10/12/25AOhio State88-80
07/12/25ATennessee75-62
28/11/25HUconn61-74
25/11/25HUTRGV87-73
22/11/25HLIU Sharks98-58
20/11/25HAlabama86-90
15/11/25HColgate84-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW69%
HomeWWLLW73%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13112
Win %69%73%50%
Points / game79.179.079.5
Allowed / game74.373.678.0
Point differential+4.8+5.4+1.5
Avg total153.4152.6157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%36%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW77%
HomeWLLWW73%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13112
Win %77%73%100%
Points / game88.289.581.5
Allowed / game68.568.071.0
Point differential+19.8+21.5+10.5
Avg total156.7157.5152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%64%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan13130100%96.766.5+30.2
2 Nebraska14140100%81.765.5+16.2
3 Purdue1312192%86.266.0+20.2
4 Iowa1412286%80.760.1+20.6
5 Michigan State1412286%79.065.4+13.6
6 USC1412286%87.776.8+10.9
7 Illinois1310377%88.268.5+19.8
8 Indiana1310377%84.766.1+18.6
9 Ohio State1310377%85.872.0+13.8
10 UCLA1410471%80.269.3+10.9
11 Washington139469%82.571.2+11.4
12 Wisconsin139469%83.573.2+10.3
13 Penn State139469%79.174.3+4.8
14 Minnesota149564%73.565.7+7.8
15 Northwestern148657%80.470.4+9.9
16 Oregon148657%77.172.3+4.9
17 Maryland147750%75.277.7-2.5
18 Rutgers147750%69.071.6-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State263965
Illinois403373
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