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Penn State vs Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 90-89
41-48 49-41
Position#216
Record12-14
FormWWLLL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game73.3
Penn State 🏆
USA
vs
Illinois
USA
Position#27
Record19-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Penn State v Illinois
03 Jan 2026
PENN65
ILLI73
21 Feb 2024
PENN90
ILLI89
14 Feb 2023
PENN93
ILLI81
23 Dec 2020
PENN81
ILLI98
18 Feb 2020
PENN56
ILLI62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#8
L
78-95
78
95
-17
A13/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H17/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A20/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
74-83
74
83
-9
H27/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A01/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
85-71
85
71
+14
A03/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H09/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A11/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H14/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
49-68
49
68
-19
A17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-56
42-39
39-35
48-48
19-33
48-46
45-31
29-52
26-24
35-22
37-41
48-30
42-34
47-45
27-29
36-39
31-45
41-35
22-28
27-40
147.7Avg total
72.5Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)74.873.3148.1+1.446%
Season at home (15)78.469.6148.0+8.867%
Season away (11)69.878.5148.3-8.618%
Last 10 (10)72.575.2147.7-2.740%
Last 5 (5)71.673.2144.8-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)66.474.9141.3-8.414%
vs Similar (20)76.072.2148.2+3.855%
vs Weaker (3)81.069.3150.3+11.767%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#215
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H14/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A19/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H21/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
91-96 OT
91
96
-5
A25/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H27/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A31/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
H04/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A10/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H14/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
85-80
85
80
+5
A17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-37
28-39
37-36
51-37
40-28
46-35
32-34
44-42
38-34
32-28
41-34
46-41
34-36
39-37
41-44
39-44
47-29
50-39
43-38
42-42
160.3Avg total
83.8Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.170.7153.8+12.476%
Season at home (17)83.266.4149.6+16.888%
Season away (8)83.079.9162.9+3.150%
Last 10 (10)83.876.5160.3+7.370%
Last 5 (5)87.279.0166.2+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)76.377.9154.2-1.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.167.2152.3+17.988%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +3.3+3.3
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +3.3+3.3
Penn StateIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#8
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A13/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H17/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A20/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H27/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A01/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A03/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H09/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A11/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H14/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A17/02
NCAA
68.0Avg total
32.4Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.133.567.6+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.831.569.3+6.367%-
Last 30 away (15)30.435.465.8-5.027%-
Last 10 (10)32.435.668.0-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)31.835.467.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)28.938.967.7-10.014%-
vs Similar (20)35.531.967.4+3.660%-
vs Weaker (3)36.731.368.0+5.333%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#215
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A19/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H21/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A31/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H04/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H14/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A17/02
NCAA
74.2Avg total
39.2Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.634.071.6+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.131.270.3+7.974%-
Last 30 away (11)34.938.873.7-3.945%-
Last 10 (10)39.235.074.2+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.277.4+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)33.737.471.1-3.731%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.531.471.9+9.188%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Penn State wins
4
Illinois wins
DateGameScore
09/03/23Illinois v Penn State76-79
15/02/23Penn State v Illinois93-81
10/12/22Illinois v Penn State59-74
04/03/22Illinois v Penn State60-55
20/01/21Illinois v Penn State79-65
23/12/20Penn State v Illinois81-98
18/02/20Penn State v Illinois56-62
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24ANebraska49-68
14/02/24HMichigan State72-80
11/02/24ANorthwestern63-68
09/02/24HIowa89-79
03/02/24AIndiana85-71
01/02/24ARutgers61-46
27/01/24HMinnesota74-83
20/01/24AOhio State67-79
17/01/24HWisconsin87-83
13/01/24APurdue78-95
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24AMaryland85-80
14/02/24HMichigan97-68
10/02/24AMichigan State80-88
04/02/24HNebraska87-84 OT
31/01/24AOhio State87-75
27/01/24HIndiana70-62
25/01/24ANorthwestern91-96 OT
21/01/24HRutgers86-63
19/01/24AMichigan88-73
14/01/24HMaryland67-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL46%
HomeLWLWL67%
AwayLWWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %46%67%18%
Points / game74.878.469.8
Allowed / game73.369.678.5
Point differential+1.4+8.8-8.6
Avg total148.1148.0148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %8%7%9%
Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW76%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25178
Win %76%88%50%
Points / game83.183.283.0
Allowed / game70.766.479.9
Point differential+12.4+16.8+3.1
Avg total153.8149.6162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%65%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %8%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue2623388%84.469.9+14.5
2 Illinois2519676%83.170.7+12.4
3 Nebraska2618869%77.070.0+7.0
4 Northwestern2618869%74.469.6+4.8
5 Oregon2517868%76.371.9+4.4
6 Wisconsin2718967%74.368.7+5.6
7 Minnesota2516964%76.369.3+7.0
8 Michigan State27171063%75.066.2+8.8
9 Iowa27161159%83.478.1+5.3
10 Ohio State26151158%74.469.7+4.7
11 Rutgers25141156%66.965.4+1.5
12 Indiana25141156%72.974.5-1.6
13 Washington26141254%80.976.5+4.4
14 UCLA26141254%66.264.1+2.1
15 Maryland27141352%69.965.0+4.9
16 Penn State26121446%74.873.3+1.4
17 USC26101638%74.775.5-0.8
18 Michigan2681831%75.278.9-3.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State414990
Illinois484189
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