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Penn State vs Ohio State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 62-94
21-45 41-49
Position#298
Record12-17
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game79.1
Penn State
USA
vs
Ohio State 🏆
USA
Position#104
Record18-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Penn State v Ohio State
04 Mar 2026
PENN62
OHIO94
30 Jan 2025
PENN64
OHIO83
09 Dec 2023
PENN83
OHIO80
05 Dec 2021
PENN64
OHIO76
18 Feb 2021
PENN82
OHIO92
18 Jan 2020
PENN90
OHIO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ohio State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#104
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A27/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
73-94
73
94
-21
A30/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
69-110
69
110
-41
A05/02
NCAA
USC
#153
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H08/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A14/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H18/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-50
46-34
40-45
33-49
41-31
36-44
24-56
45-54
40-36
35-41
35-32
28-28
32-38
40-45
20-39
52-46
20-38
44-49
34-38
37-31
153.8Avg total
71.4Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.879.1153.9-4.441%
Season at home (19)75.475.4150.7+0.053%
Season away (10)73.686.3159.9-12.720%
Last 10 (10)71.482.4153.8-11.030%
Last 5 (5)68.476.8145.2-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)74.179.0153.0-4.942%
vs Similar (6)79.379.2158.5+0.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ohio State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#298
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A31/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
82-62
82
62
+20
A06/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
61-82
61
82
-21
H08/02
NCAA
USC
#153
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H11/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H15/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H18/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A22/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A26/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
50-32
34-46
43-49
39-43
42-30
40-32
34-44
27-38
40-43
49-39
37-37
29-33
38-26
48-43
26-23
34-43
23-37
34-37
36-31
46-43
149.8Avg total
74.9Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.673.2152.8+6.462%
Season at home (19)83.673.1156.7+10.574%
Season away (10)72.173.3145.4-1.240%
Last 10 (10)74.974.9149.8+0.050%
Last 5 (5)70.270.6140.8-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.878.0148.8-7.220%
vs Similar (11)74.174.1148.2+0.036%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.471.0157.4+15.493%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -8.5-8.51st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: -1.7-1.7
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -8.5-8.51st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: -1.7-1.7
Penn StateOhio State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#104
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A27/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A30/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H01/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
24-56
24
56
-32
A05/02
NCAA
USC
#153
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H08/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A14/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H18/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
20-38
20
38
-18
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H28/02
NCAA
72.1Avg total
31.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.838.472.2-4.637%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.735.570.2-0.847%-
Last 30 away (11)32.343.575.8-11.318%-
Last 10 (10)31.840.372.1-8.530%-
Last 5 (5)28.237.065.2-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)34.338.272.5-4.038%-
vs Similar (6)31.839.271.0-7.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ohio State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#298
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H27/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A31/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A06/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H08/02
NCAA
USC
#153
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H11/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H15/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H18/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
26-23
26
23
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A26/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H01/03
NCAA
72.1Avg total
36.9Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.534.772.2+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (20)39.434.273.6+5.255%-
Last 30 away (10)33.735.669.3-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)36.935.272.1+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)32.030.862.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.638.873.4-4.220%-
vs Similar (11)33.834.368.1-0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.433.574.9+7.964%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Penn State wins
7
Ohio State wins
DateGameScore
27/01/26Ohio State v Penn State84-78
30/01/25Penn State v Ohio State64-83
20/01/24Ohio State v Penn State79-67
09/12/23Penn State v Ohio State83-80
23/02/23Ohio State v Penn State71-75
11/03/22Ohio State v Penn State68-71
16/01/22Ohio State v Penn State61-56
06/12/21Penn State v Ohio State64-76
19/02/21Penn State v Ohio State82-92
28/01/21Ohio State v Penn State83-79
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HIowa71-69
21/02/26ANebraska64-87
18/02/26HRutgers72-85
14/02/26AOregon72-83
12/02/26AWashington63-60
08/02/26HUSC75-77
05/02/26AMichigan69-110
01/02/26HMinnesota77-75
30/01/26ANorthwestern73-94
27/01/26AOhio State78-84
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HPurdue82-74
26/02/26AIowa57-74
22/02/26AMichigan State60-66
18/02/26HWisconsin86-69
15/02/26HVirginia66-70
11/02/26HUSC89-82
08/02/26HMichigan61-82
06/02/26AMaryland82-62
31/01/26AWisconsin82-92
27/01/26HPenn State84-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW41%
HomeLWLLW53%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291910
Win %41%53%20%
Points / game74.875.473.6
Allowed / game79.175.486.3
Point differential-4.4+0.0-12.7
Avg total153.9150.7159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%21%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ohio State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW62%
HomeLWLWW74%
AwayLLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291910
Win %62%74%40%
Points / game79.683.672.1
Allowed / game73.273.173.3
Point differential+6.4+10.5-1.2
Avg total152.8156.7145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%42%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %7%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2927293%89.068.7+20.2
2 Nebraska3025583%77.765.7+12.0
3 Michigan State2924583%78.366.3+12.0
4 Illinois3023777%84.569.0+15.4
5 Purdue2922776%82.369.9+12.4
6 Iowa2920969%75.765.0+10.7
7 Wisconsin2920969%83.076.0+6.9
8 UCLA30201067%77.671.0+6.6
9 Ohio State29181162%79.673.2+6.4
10 USC29181162%79.276.9+2.2
11 Indiana30181260%78.771.5+7.3
12 Washington29141548%76.272.7+3.5
13 Minnesota30141647%70.268.5+1.7
14 Northwestern29131645%73.772.5+1.2
15 Penn State29121741%74.879.1-4.4
16 Rutgers29121741%70.275.4-5.2
17 Maryland29111838%70.777.1-6.4
18 Oregon30111937%70.773.9-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State214162
Ohio State454994
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