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Penn State vs Nebraska Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 76-65
29-23 47-42
Position#105
Record12-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game67.1
Penn State 🏆
USA
vs
Nebraska
USA
Position#213
Record10-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game66.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Penn State v Nebraska
08 Dec 2026
PENN v NEBR
upcoming
19 Feb 2025
PENN89
NEBR72
21 Jan 2023
PENN76
NEBR65
27 Feb 2022
PENN70
NEBR93
10 Mar 2021
PENN72
NEBR66
14 Feb 2021
PENN61
NEBR62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nebraska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#108
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H07/12
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A10/12
NCAA
Canisius
#310
W
97-67
97
67
+30
H18/12
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#124
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H22/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#359
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H29/12
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H01/01
NCAA
Michigan
#174
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A05/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
63-76
63
76
-13
H08/01
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H12/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-35
23-32
47-38
27-21
42-36
55-31
33-23
44-45
27-22
33-24
44-26
39-53
34-42
35-37
37-31
26-45
37-26
48-40
36-30
24-33
139.6Avg total
72.6Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.567.1141.6+7.467%
Season at home (12)76.465.8142.2+10.783%
Season away (6)70.769.8140.5+0.833%
Last 10 (10)72.667.0139.6+5.660%
Last 5 (5)72.072.6144.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.668.2132.8-3.640%
vs Similar (18)68.365.2133.5+3.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)78.365.4143.7+12.986%
This opponent (Nebraska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NebraskaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#76
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A08/12
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
62-65 OT
62
65
-3
H10/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
56-71
56
71
-15
A18/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#162
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H30/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
56-74
56
74
-18
A04/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
A07/01
NCAA
Illinois
#114
L
50-76
50
76
-26
H11/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A14/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-39
39-42
24-34
32-22
26-39
30-32
43-26
32-39
38-26
28-24
17-39
39-35
33-39
34-28
23-34
27-42
24-35
31-38
21-22
42-38
132.3Avg total
62.9Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)66.266.8133.0-0.653%
Season at home (11)70.163.2133.3+6.973%
Season away (8)60.971.8132.6-10.925%
Last 10 (10)62.969.4132.3-6.540%
Last 5 (5)61.072.4133.4-11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)67.673.8141.4-6.233%
vs Similar (6)72.265.8138.0+6.367%
vs Weaker (3)77.066.0143.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Penn State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: -5.8-5.82nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: -0.6-0.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: -5.8-5.82nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: -0.6-0.6
Penn StateNebraska
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#108
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H07/12
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A10/12
NCAA
Canisius
#310
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H18/12
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#124
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H22/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#359
W
27-22
27
22
+5
H29/12
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H01/01
NCAA
Michigan
#174
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A05/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H08/01
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H12/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A18/01
NCAA
68.1Avg total
37.2Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.530.564.1+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.629.463.9+5.267%-
Last 30 away (12)32.032.264.2-0.242%-
Last 10 (10)37.230.968.1+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)37.631.068.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.631.465.0+2.260%-
vs Similar (18)32.229.661.8+2.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)37.032.369.3+4.786%-
This opponent (Nebraska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NebraskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#76
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A08/12
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H10/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A18/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#162
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H21/12
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H30/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
17-39
17
39
-22
A04/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A07/01
NCAA
Illinois
#114
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H11/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A14/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
21-22
21
22
-1
H19/01
NCAA
60.8Avg total
27.5Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.833.866.6-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.632.666.2+1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)31.935.066.9-3.147%-
Last 10 (10)27.533.360.8-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)23.633.857.4-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)31.935.066.9-3.138%-
vs Similar (6)34.330.564.8+3.867%-
vs Weaker (3)35.732.067.7+3.767%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Penn State wins
2
Nebraska wins
DateGameScore
28/02/22Penn State v Nebraska70-93
11/03/21Penn State v Nebraska72-66
24/02/21Nebraska v Penn State83-86
14/02/21Penn State v Nebraska61-62
02/02/20Nebraska v Penn State64-76
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/23AWisconsin60-63
12/01/23HIndiana85-66
08/01/23HPurdue63-76
05/01/23AMichigan69-79
01/01/23HIowa83-79
29/12/22HDelaware State60-46
22/12/22HQuinnipiac77-68
18/12/22HCanisius97-67
10/12/22AIllinois74-59
07/12/22HMichigan State58-67
Nebraskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/23HOhio State63-60
14/01/23APurdue55-73
11/01/23HIllinois50-76
07/01/23AMinnesota81-79 OT
04/01/23AMichigan State56-74
30/12/22HIowa66-50
21/12/22HQueens Royals75-65
18/12/22AKansas State56-71
10/12/22HPurdue62-65 OT
08/12/22AIndiana65-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL67%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %67%83%33%
Points / game74.576.470.7
Allowed / game67.165.869.8
Point differential+7.4+10.7+0.8
Avg total141.6142.2140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%17%
Nebraska
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW53%
HomeLWWLW73%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %53%73%25%
Points / game66.270.160.9
Allowed / game66.863.271.8
Point differential-0.6+6.9-10.9
Avg total133.0133.3132.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%64%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %11%9%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1918195%74.460.1+14.3
2 UCLA2017385%75.359.8+15.6
3 Northwestern1712571%68.960.8+8.1
4 Wisconsin1712571%66.662.7+3.9
5 Rutgers1913668%70.257.6+12.6
6 Illinois1913668%76.264.5+11.7
7 USC1913668%70.966.2+4.7
8 Michigan State1913668%69.765.0+4.7
9 Indiana1812667%79.067.7+11.3
10 Penn State1812667%74.567.1+7.4
11 Maryland1812667%71.164.5+6.6
12 Iowa1912763%81.773.5+8.2
13 Washington2012860%70.368.8+1.6
14 Ohio State1911858%77.866.7+11.2
15 Oregon1911858%70.566.1+4.5
16 Michigan1810856%75.170.3+4.8
17 Nebraska1910953%66.266.8-0.6
18 Minnesota1771041%62.967.7-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State294776
Nebraska234265
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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