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Maryland vs Penn State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 74-68
31-28 43-40
Position#97
Record16-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game62.5
vs
Position#105
Record14-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game67.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Maryland v Penn State
18 Jan 2026
MARY96
PENN73
06 Dec 2023
MARY81
PENN75
11 Feb 2023
MARY74
PENN68
21 Feb 2022
MARY67
PENN61
07 Mar 2021
MARY61
PENN66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maryland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarylandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#132
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A05/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H08/01
NCAA
Iowa
#134
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A15/01
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H20/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A22/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H26/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
82-63
82
63
+19
H28/01
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H01/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
81-46
81
46
+35
A05/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
17-24
33-40
34-39
46-34
33-43
34-38
34-32
30-26
21-35
34-23
32-28
41-27
40-30
42-33
37-29
29-26
41-21
40-25
22-31
36-32
129.2Avg total
67.6Scored
61.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)70.662.5133.2+8.167%
Season at home (15)76.562.3138.7+14.293%
Season away (9)60.963.0123.9-2.122%
Last 10 (10)67.661.6129.2+6.060%
Last 5 (5)72.056.4128.4+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.069.2132.2-6.225%
vs Similar ◀ (16)68.867.1135.9+1.756%
vs Weaker (10)77.157.1134.2+20.090%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#174
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A05/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
63-76
63
76
-13
H08/01
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H12/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A18/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H21/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
45-65
45
65
-20
A24/01
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H29/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
60-80
60
80
-20
A01/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A05/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
74-79 OT
74
79
-5
H09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-42
35-37
37-31
26-45
37-26
48-40
36-30
24-33
29-23
47-42
24-32
21-33
49-32
34-29
29-35
31-45
28-37
35-35
29-35
39-33
138.4Avg total
67.8Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.667.9140.5+4.758%
Season at home (15)76.766.3142.9+10.480%
Season away (9)65.870.7136.4-4.922%
Last 10 (10)67.870.6138.4-2.830%
Last 5 (5)65.071.4136.4-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)63.870.2134.0-6.333%
vs Similar ◀ (15)69.867.6137.4+2.247%
vs Weaker (9)76.366.1142.4+10.278%
This opponent (Maryland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: -3.2-3.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: -3.2-3.2
MarylandPenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarylandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#132
L
17-24
17
24
-7
A05/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H08/01
NCAA
Iowa
#134
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A15/01
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H20/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A22/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H26/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H28/01
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A05/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A08/02
NCAA
62.3Avg total
31.1Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.631.864.4+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.830.367.1+6.583%-
Last 30 away (12)26.434.060.4-7.617%-
Last 10 (10)31.131.262.3-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.427.862.2+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)24.035.259.2-11.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)31.933.865.8-1.944%-
vs Weaker (10)37.227.164.3+10.190%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#174
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A05/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H08/01
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H12/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A18/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H21/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H29/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A01/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A05/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H09/02
NCAA
65.5Avg total
33.2Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.131.465.5+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.630.266.8+6.476%-
Last 30 away (13)30.832.863.7-2.038%-
Last 10 (10)33.232.365.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)31.834.266.0-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.832.064.8+0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.030.964.9+3.153%-
vs Weaker (9)35.131.866.9+3.378%-
This opponent (Maryland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Maryland wins
3
Penn State wins
DateGameScore
22/02/22Maryland v Penn State67-61
08/03/21Maryland v Penn State61-66
06/02/21Penn State v Maryland55-50
11/12/19Penn State v Maryland76-69
Marylandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/23AMichigan State58-63
05/02/23AMinnesota81-46
01/02/23HIndiana66-55
28/01/23HNebraska82-63
26/01/23HWisconsin73-55
22/01/23APurdue55-58
20/01/23HMichigan64-58
15/01/23AIowa67-81
08/01/23HOhio State80-73
05/01/23ARutgers50-64
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/23HWisconsin74-79 OT
05/02/23ANebraska63-72
01/02/23APurdue60-80
29/01/23HMichigan83-61
24/01/23ARutgers45-65
21/01/23HNebraska76-65
18/01/23AWisconsin60-63
12/01/23HIndiana85-66
08/01/23HPurdue63-76
05/01/23AMichigan69-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maryland
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %67%93%22%
Points / game70.676.560.9
Allowed / game62.562.363.0
Point differential+8.1+14.2-2.1
Avg total133.2138.7123.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%73%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)100% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penn State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL58%
HomeLWWWL80%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %58%80%22%
Points / game72.676.765.8
Allowed / game67.966.370.7
Point differential+4.7+10.4-4.9
Avg total140.5142.9136.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%53%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %8%7%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue2523292%74.661.6+13.0
2 UCLA2420483%74.159.7+14.4
3 Indiana2417771%77.167.3+9.8
4 Northwestern2417771%68.462.1+6.3
5 USC2417771%71.867.2+4.5
6 Illinois2316770%75.264.1+11.1
7 Rutgers2416867%70.558.7+11.8
8 Maryland2416867%70.662.5+8.1
9 Iowa2415962%81.174.1+7.0
10 Michigan State2415962%68.165.6+2.5
11 Wisconsin2314961%65.163.2+1.9
12 Oregon25151060%71.066.9+4.2
13 Penn State24141058%72.667.9+4.7
14 Michigan24141058%74.269.6+4.5
15 Washington25131252%69.770.9-1.2
16 Ohio State24111346%75.068.0+7.0
17 Nebraska25111444%66.069.3-3.4
18 Minnesota2271532%61.169.3-8.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Maryland314374
Penn State284068
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