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Penn State vs Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-61
49-32 34-29
Position#105
Record13-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game66.9
vs
Position#174
Record11-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Penn State v Michigan
06 Jan 2026
PENN72
MICH74
13 Mar 2024
PENN66
MICH57
07 Jan 2024
PENN79
MICH73
29 Jan 2023
PENN83
MICH61
08 Feb 2022
PENN57
MICH58
09 Jan 2021
PENN v MICH
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canisius
#310
W
97-67
97
67
+30
H18/12
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#124
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H22/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#359
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H29/12
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H01/01
NCAA
Michigan
#174
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A05/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
63-76
63
76
-13
H08/01
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H12/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A18/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H21/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
45-65
45
65
-20
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-36
55-31
33-23
44-45
27-22
33-24
44-26
39-53
34-42
35-37
37-31
26-45
37-26
48-40
36-30
24-33
29-23
47-42
24-32
21-33
138.9Avg total
71.5Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)73.166.9140.0+6.265%
Season at home (13)76.465.7142.1+10.785%
Season away (7)67.069.1136.1-2.129%
Last 10 (10)71.567.4138.9+4.160%
Last 5 (5)65.867.0132.8-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.668.2132.8-3.640%
vs Similar ◀ (17)67.565.0132.5+2.553%
vs Weaker (8)78.065.4143.4+12.688%
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#117
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A22/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H30/12
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
81-46
81
46
+35
H01/01
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H05/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A07/01
NCAA
Iowa
#134
L
84-93 OT
84
93
-9
A13/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H15/01
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A20/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H22/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-41
42-39
28-27
33-36
44-13
37-33
42-34
37-35
18-27
35-32
43-40
36-39
37-39
48-39
32-34
26-30
23-23
37-33
35-41
35-34
139.0Avg total
70.7Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.069.8143.8+4.255%
Season at home (12)74.867.1141.9+7.875%
Season away (8)72.973.9146.8-1.025%
Last 10 (10)70.768.3139.0+2.440%
Last 5 (5)71.473.2144.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.470.2139.6-0.840%
vs Similar ◀ (20)74.271.0145.2+3.250%
vs Weaker (5)75.469.0144.4+6.480%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: +1.6+1.6
Penn StateMichigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canisius
#310
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H18/12
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#124
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H22/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#359
W
27-22
27
22
+5
H29/12
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H01/01
NCAA
Michigan
#174
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A05/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H08/01
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H12/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A18/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H21/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A24/01
NCAA
63.4Avg total
34.3Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.030.063.0+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.328.863.1+5.572%-
Last 30 away (12)31.031.962.9-0.942%-
Last 10 (10)34.329.163.4+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)32.628.461.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.631.465.0+2.260%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)31.429.160.5+2.247%-
vs Weaker (8)36.031.167.1+4.988%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#117
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A22/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H30/12
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
44-13
44
13
+31
H01/01
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H05/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
18-27
18
27
-9
A07/01
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A13/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H15/01
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A20/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H22/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H27/01
NCAA
65.5Avg total
33.6Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.534.169.6+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.633.170.7+4.665%-
Last 30 away (13)32.835.468.2-2.623%-
Last 10 (10)33.631.965.5+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.035.469.4-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.838.469.2-7.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)36.833.970.6+2.955%-
vs Weaker (5)35.430.666.0+4.860%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Penn State wins
3
Michigan wins
DateGameScore
05/01/23Michigan v Penn State79-69
09/02/22Penn State v Michigan57-58
13/12/20Michigan v Penn State62-58
23/01/20Michigan v Penn State63-72
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/23ARutgers45-65
21/01/23HNebraska76-65
18/01/23AWisconsin60-63
12/01/23HIndiana85-66
08/01/23HPurdue63-76
05/01/23AMichigan69-79
01/01/23HIowa83-79
29/12/22HDelaware State60-46
22/12/22HQuinnipiac77-68
18/12/22HCanisius97-67
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/23HPurdue70-75
22/01/23HMinnesota60-56
20/01/23AMaryland58-64
15/01/23HNorthwestern85-78
13/01/23AIowa84-93 OT
07/01/23AMichigan State53-59
05/01/23HPenn State79-69
01/01/23HMaryland81-46
30/12/22HCentral Michigan61-63
22/12/22ANorth Carolina76-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL65%
HomeWWLWW85%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %65%85%29%
Points / game73.176.467.0
Allowed / game66.965.769.1
Point differential+6.2+10.7-2.1
Avg total140.0142.1136.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%54%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%14%
Michigan
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL55%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %55%75%25%
Points / game74.074.872.9
Allowed / game69.867.173.9
Point differential+4.2+7.8-1.0
Avg total143.8141.9146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %10%8%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue2120195%73.660.3+13.3
2 UCLA2117481%74.860.6+14.2
3 Northwestern2015575%69.861.0+8.8
4 Illinois2115671%75.163.7+11.5
5 Indiana2115671%78.667.4+11.2
6 USC2115671%71.566.2+5.3
7 Rutgers2014670%70.057.0+12.9
8 Maryland2114767%71.063.7+7.3
9 Michigan State2114767%69.365.6+3.7
10 Penn State2013765%73.166.9+6.2
11 Iowa2012860%80.773.0+7.7
12 Wisconsin2012860%65.063.3+1.8
13 Oregon2213959%70.366.0+4.4
14 Washington23131057%69.970.5-0.6
15 Michigan2011955%74.069.8+4.2
16 Ohio State21111052%76.667.7+8.9
17 Nebraska22101245%65.968.4-2.5
18 Minnesota2071335%62.167.7-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State493483
Michigan322961
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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