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Pepperdine vs St. Marys (CA) Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#185
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#105
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game76.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pepperdine v St. Marys (CA)
16 Jan 2027
PEPP v ST.
upcoming
30 Dec 2025
PEPP45
ST. 72
18 Jan 2025
PEPP50
ST. 74
29 Feb 2024
PEPP57
ST. 83
19 Jan 2023
PEPP44
ST. 73
13 Jan 2022
PEPP62
ST. 77
13 Feb 2021
PEPP60
ST. 58
18 Jan 2020
PEPP69
ST. 78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pepperdine win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
St. Marys (CA) win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PepperdineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
90-89
90
89
+1
H14/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
95-87
95
87
+8
A19/02
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A22/02
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H26/02
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H01/03
NCAA
Portland
#253
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A06/03
NCAA
Cornell
#221
L
85-86
85
86
-1
A02/11
NCAA
La Sierra
#455
W
106-66
106
66
+40
H06/11
NCAA
Bethesda
#346
W
116-43
116
43
+73
H08/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#225
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
54-56
36-33
45-43
50-44
42-36
31-47
27-39
53-48
36-28
52-51
38-44
30-33
40-46
45-40
53-29
53-37
48-18
68-25
35-41
42-44
166.0Avg total
87.8Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)96.070.0166.0+26.050%
Season at home (2)111.054.5165.5+56.5100%
Season away (2)81.085.5166.5-4.50%
Last 10 (10)87.878.2166.0+9.650%
Last 5 (5)90.471.4161.8+19.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)68.381.1149.4-12.815%
vs Similar (6)75.277.3152.5-2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)92.771.3164.0+21.333%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#108
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A19/02
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
83-67
83
67
+16
A22/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H26/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H01/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H10/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
50-63
50
63
-13
H19/03
NCAA
Illinois State
#300
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
H03/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#264
W
105-64
105
64
+41
H05/11
NCAA
Nevada
#210
L
95-96 OT
95
96
-1
A08/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#111
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-28
37-42
40-39
43-28
42-36
44-31
29-36
41-23
35-32
36-44
26-37
24-26
33-39
44-38
45-26
60-38
35-42
44-37
42-24
42-37
151.4Avg total
80.6Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.576.5170.0+17.075%
Season at home (3)93.070.0163.0+23.0100%
Season away (1)95.096.0191.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)80.670.8151.4+9.870%
Last 5 (5)84.873.8158.6+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)67.566.0133.5+1.550%
vs Similar (5)73.272.4145.6+0.840%
vs Weaker (23)79.766.5146.2+13.287%
This opponent (Pepperdine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: +7.1+7.1
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: +7.1+7.1
PepperdineSt. Marys (CA)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PepperdineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H14/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A19/02
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A22/02
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H26/02
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H01/03
NCAA
Portland
#253
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A06/03
NCAA
Cornell
#221
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A02/11
NCAA
La Sierra
#455
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H06/11
NCAA
Bethesda
#346
W
48-18
48
18
+30
H08/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#225
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A12/11
NCAA
79.8Avg total
41.8Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.237.472.6-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.134.068.1+0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)36.140.476.5-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)41.838.079.8+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.835.678.4+7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)33.138.571.7-5.430%-
vs Similar (6)36.236.272.3+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)41.035.076.0+6.033%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#108
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A19/02
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H26/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H01/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H10/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H19/03
NCAA
Illinois State
#300
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H03/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#264
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H05/11
NCAA
Nevada
#210
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A08/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#111
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H14/11
NCAA
70.1Avg total
36.2Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.332.068.3+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.130.868.9+7.376%-
Last 30 away (13)33.933.667.5+0.354%-
Last 10 (10)36.233.970.1+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.233.669.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)33.535.068.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (5)35.635.070.6+0.660%-
vs Weaker (23)36.731.167.8+5.670%-
This opponent (Pepperdine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pepperdine wins
10
St. Marys (CA) wins
Pepperdinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ASam Houston St.77-85
08/11/26HBethesda116-43
06/11/26HLa Sierra106-66
02/11/26ACornell85-86
06/03/26APortland68-77
01/03/26HWashington State88-79
26/02/26HSeattle80-87
22/02/26AOregon State73-83
19/02/26APortland95-87
14/02/26HLoyola Marymount90-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HIllinois (Chi.)84-61
08/11/26ANevada95-96 OT
05/11/26HNorth Dakota St105-64
03/11/26HIllinois State90-85 OT
19/03/26HTexas A&M50-63
10/03/26HSanta Clara71-76
01/03/26HGonzaga70-59
26/02/26HSanta Clara86-67
22/02/26AWashington State83-67
19/02/26ASeattle72-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pepperdine
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game96.0111.081.0
Allowed / game70.054.585.5
Point differential+26.0+56.5-4.5
Avg total166.0165.5166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game93.593.095.0
Allowed / game76.570.096.0
Point differential+17.0+23.0-1.0
Avg total170.0163.0191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %50%33%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon State440100%93.269.5+23.8
2 Santa Clara550100%86.675.0+11.6
3 St. Marys (CA)43175%93.576.5+17.0
4 San Diego Toreros43175%84.275.5+8.8
5 San Francisco43175%71.568.5+3.0
6 Pacific32167%74.753.7+21.0
7 Pepperdine42250%96.070.0+26.0
8 Portland52340%87.093.6-6.6
9 Gonzaga31233%87.075.7+11.3
10 Seattle31233%70.373.3-3.0
11 Loyola Marymount41325%84.574.8+9.8
12 Washington State41325%81.579.5+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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