Perth vs Townsville Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Dec 2010

Tip-off: 08:00

Final 90-64

23-15 22-9 19-19 26-21

Position#4

Record5-4

FormWLWWL

Points / game86.9

Allowed / game80.2

Perth 🏆

Townsville

Position#2

Record5-4

FormLWWWL

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game78.3

NBLRound 8

Other2010-11

Meetings · Perth v Townsville

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Townsville winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Wolves

96-72

+24

H12/03

NBL

Adelaide

69-74

-5

A17/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

94-96

-2

A20/10

NBL

Melbourne United

91-66

+25

A24/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

87-84

H29/10

NBL

Townsville

101-86

101

+15

A05/11

NBL

Cairns

69-86

-17

A06/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

114-74

114

+40

H14/11

NBL

Melbourne United

93-84

A19/11

NBL

Cairns

64-72

-8

H28/11

NBL

25-31

22-17

31-15

18-9

13-19

12-16

18-15

26-24

33-23

22-26

23-21

16-26

24-17

22-22

23-15

22-12

30-30

17-10

19-27

21-17

20-20

30-24

18-18

33-24

11-16

22-17

17-21

19-32

33-24

25-21

24-19

32-10

32-24

20-20

17-25

24-15

15-18

11-17

16-11

22-26

167.2Avg total

87.8Scored

79.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	86.9	80.2	167.1	+6.7	56%
Season at home (3)	88.3	76.7	165.0	+11.7	67%
Season away (6)	86.2	82.0	168.2	+4.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	87.8	79.4	167.2	+8.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	80.4	168.6	+7.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	88.6	81.9	170.5	+6.7	70%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	82.3	77.6	159.9	+4.8	60%

This opponent (Townsville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Wolves

76-88

-12

A27/02

NBL

Cairns

79-70

H16/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

70-71

-1

A22/10

NBL

Gold Coast

90-94 OT

-4

A24/10

NBL

Sydney

80-79

H30/10

NBL

Perth

86-101

101

-15

H05/11

NBL

Sydney

64-59

A13/11

NBL

Adelaide

77-73

H21/11

NBL

Melbourne United

94-66

+28

H26/11

NBL

Adelaide

79-92

-13

A03/12

NBL

17-29

27-23

18-21

14-15

16-15

22-19

23-20

18-16

26-26

20-9

10-18

14-18

17-12

28-18

24-27

11-23

26-27

18-18

22-13

14-21

20-20

24-30

18-18

24-33

16-19

16-15

16-9

16-16

22-22

29-16

13-19

13-16

28-16

21-16

29-19

16-15

17-20

21-29

18-21

23-22

158.8Avg total

79.5Scored

79.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	79.9	78.3	158.2	+1.6	56%
Season at home (5)	83.2	77.8	161.0	+5.4	80%
Season away (4)	75.8	79.0	154.8	-3.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	79.5	79.3	158.8	+0.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	78.2	158.2	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	86.0	101.0	187.0	-15.0	0%
vs Similar (16)	81.9	82.4	164.3	-0.6	38%
vs Weaker (13)	85.7	79.1	164.8	+6.6	85%

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PerthTownsville

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	20.6	42.7	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.8	20.0	42.8	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.5	21.1	42.6	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	22.2	45.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.4	42.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	24.0	20.6	44.6	+3.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.1	20.6	41.7	+0.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	22.9	42.9	-2.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.6	41.1	-0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.2	20.7	42.8	+1.5	54%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.0	40.3	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.7	17.6	37.3	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.8	21.8	42.5	-1.0	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	22.2	21.7	43.9	+0.5	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.5	42.2	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	20.2	42.1	+1.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.3	41.9	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	24.0	30.0	54.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.7	21.6	42.2	-0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.6	18.5	41.2	+4.1	77%	-

PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Wolves

47-48

-1

H12/03

NBL

Adelaide

25-35

-10

A17/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

55-49

A20/10

NBL

Melbourne United

46-39

A24/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

47-40

H29/10

NBL

Townsville

50-44

A05/11

NBL

Cairns

33-33

A06/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

58-45

+13

H14/11

NBL

Melbourne United

52-44

A19/11

NBL

Cairns

26-35

-9

H28/11

NBL

85.1Avg total

43.9Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	40.6	82.9	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.5	37.6	80.1	+4.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.3	42.8	85.1	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	41.2	85.1	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	40.2	84.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	46.2	42.3	88.5	+3.9	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	40.5	39.7	80.2	+0.8	55%	-

This opponent (Townsville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Wolves

44-52

-8

A27/02

NBL

Cairns

38-34

H16/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

46-35

+11

A22/10

NBL

Gold Coast

45-30

+15

A24/10

NBL

Sydney

44-45

-1

H30/10

NBL

Perth

44-50

-6

H05/11

NBL

Sydney

32-34

-2

A13/11

NBL

Adelaide

51-38

+13

H21/11

NBL

Melbourne United

49-32

+17

H26/11

NBL

Adelaide

38-49

-11

A03/12

NBL

83.0Avg total

43.1Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	41.2	83.9	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.9	38.9	82.8	+4.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.4	43.9	85.2	-2.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	39.9	83.0	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	40.6	83.4	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	44.0	50.0	94.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	40.9	42.3	83.2	-1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (13)	44.8	39.2	84.0	+5.5	69%	-

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	18.5	39.7	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.9	19.8	38.6	-0.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.7	39.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	20.5	19.2	39.7	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.3	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.1	39.4	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.5	37.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.2	36.0	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.1	20.6	39.7	-1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.8	19.5	39.4	+0.3	46%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.5	16.6	39.2	+5.9	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	19.5	42.8	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	21.4	47.4	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	21.9	20.4	42.3	+1.5	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.7	18.3	40.0	+3.4	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	18.9	39.9	+2.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	19.9	41.1	+1.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	19.5	35.8	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	24.0	33.0	57.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.2	18.6	39.9	+2.6	62%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.2	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	38.2	79.9	+3.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.7	35.2	78.8	+8.5	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.1	40.6	80.6	-0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	38.2	82.1	+5.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	40.2	84.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	42.4	39.6	82.0	+2.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	41.2	37.5	78.8	+3.7	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	39.5	79.9	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.5	38.2	79.7	+3.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	40.9	80.1	-1.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	38.0	73.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	37.6	74.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	42.0	51.0	93.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	40.3	39.2	79.6	+1.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (13)	40.4	38.8	79.2	+1.5	54%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Perth wins

Townsville wins

Date	Game	Score
05/11/10	Townsville v Perth	86-101
14/02/10	Perth v Townsville	92-73
31/12/09	Townsville v Perth	83-74
05/12/09	Perth v Townsville	94-89
02/10/09	Townsville v Perth	89-91

Perthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/11/10	H	Cairns	64-72
19/11/10	A	Melbourne United	93-84
14/11/10	H	New Zealand Breakers	114-74
06/11/10	A	Cairns	69-86
05/11/10	A	Townsville	101-86
29/10/10	H	Illawarra Hawks	87-84
24/10/10	A	Melbourne United	91-66
20/10/10	A	New Zealand Breakers	94-96
17/10/10	A	Adelaide	69-74
12/03/10	H	Wolves	96-72

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/12/10	A	Adelaide	79-92
26/11/10	H	Melbourne United	94-66
21/11/10	H	Adelaide	77-73
13/11/10	A	Sydney	64-59
05/11/10	H	Perth	86-101
30/10/10	H	Sydney	80-79
24/10/10	A	Gold Coast	90-94 OT
22/10/10	A	Illawarra Hawks	70-71
16/10/10	H	Cairns	79-70
27/02/10	A	Wolves	76-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth

NBL 2010-11

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	56%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	LWWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	3	6
Win %	56%	67%	50%
Points / game	86.9	88.3	86.2
Allowed / game	80.2	76.7	82.0
Point differential	+6.7	+11.7	+4.2
Avg total	167.1	165.0	168.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	33%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	100% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Townsville

NBL 2010-11

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	56%
Home	WWLWW	80%
Away	LLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	56%	80%	25%
Points / game	79.9	83.2	75.8
Allowed / game	78.3	77.8	79.0
Point differential	+1.6	+5.4	-3.2
Avg total	158.2	161.0	154.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	11%	0%	25%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Illawarra Hawks	9	7	2	78%	81.9	76.6	+5.3
2	New Zealand Breakers	9	7	2	78%	85.1	83.1	+2.0
3	Cairns	8	6	2	75%	82.1	73.4	+8.8
4	Perth	9	5	4	56%	86.9	80.2	+6.7
5	Townsville	9	5	4	56%	79.9	78.3	+1.6
6	Adelaide	8	3	5	38%	78.9	81.2	-2.4
7	Gold Coast	9	3	6	33%	82.7	86.8	-4.1
8	Melbourne United	9	2	7	22%	77.1	87.2	-10.1
9	Sydney	8	1	7	12%	73.4	81.2	-7.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Perth	23	22	19	26	90
Townsville	15	9	19	21	64

← all games of the day

Perth vs Townsville Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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