Perth vs Townsville Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Feb 2015

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 81-71

20-14 15-19 21-20 25-18

Position#4

Record15-12

FormLWWLL

Points / game80.7

Allowed / game77.8

Perth 🏆

Townsville

Position#6

Record11-16

FormWLWWW

Points / game84.1

Allowed / game83.7

NBLRound 20

Other2014-15

Meetings · Perth v Townsville

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Townsville winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

76-91

-15

A09/01

NBL

Adelaide

102-106

102

106

-4

H16/01

NBL

Melbourne United

78-86

-8

H21/01

NBL

Townsville

93-85 OT

A23/01

NBL

Cairns

66-92

-26

A24/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

79-90

-11

A29/01

NBL

Sydney

80-61

+19

H01/02

NBL

Cairns

65-54

+11

H06/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

87-89 OT

-2

H15/02

NBL

Adelaide

94-101

101

-7

A20/02

NBL

18-24

18-20

24-14

16-33

27-28

31-29

23-23

21-26

19-21

15-20

14-23

30-22

26-28

19-24

17-10

20-20

19-13

24-28

17-20

6-31

26-32

15-22

21-18

17-18

15-11

23-18

18-15

24-17

15-11

17-15

19-17

14-11

16-18

16-17

23-13

13-20

20-19

31-29

16-22

27-31

167.5Avg total

82.0Scored

85.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	80.7	77.8	158.5	+2.9	56%
Season at home (13)	81.2	71.7	152.9	+9.5	69%
Season away (14)	80.2	83.4	163.6	-3.2	43%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	85.5	167.5	-3.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	79.0	160.0	+2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	81.0	83.0	164.0	-2.0	42%
vs Weaker (11)	82.6	68.7	151.4	+13.9	82%

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

75-79

-4

H03/01

NBL

Sydney

98-89

A09/01

NBL

Cairns

73-78

-5

H11/01

NBL

Sydney

81-89

-8

H16/01

NBL

Perth

85-93 OT

-8

H23/01

NBL

Melbourne United

81-69

+12

A25/01

NBL

Adelaide

77-84

-7

A01/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

79-71

H07/02

NBL

Melbourne United

105-68

105

+37

H14/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

82-66

+16

H20/02

NBL

23-14

13-18

18-21

21-26

23-11

27-33

26-17

22-28

17-16

19-18

18-21

19-23

27-28

13-29

21-19

20-13

28-26

24-19

10-17

20-20

20-15

17-25

22-16

22-13

19-20

20-26

20-21

18-17

18-22

24-14

19-16

18-19

28-17

25-16

31-14

21-21

20-15

14-16

21-16

27-19

162.2Avg total

83.6Scored

78.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	84.1	83.7	167.9	+0.4	41%
Season at home (14)	88.1	81.4	169.5	+6.6	57%
Season away (13)	79.9	86.2	166.1	-6.2	23%
Last 10 (10)	83.6	78.6	162.2	+5.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	71.6	156.4	+13.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	72.2	85.4	157.6	-13.2	0%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	86.0	85.0	171.0	+1.0	48%
vs Weaker (4)	87.0	80.8	167.8	+6.2	50%

This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PerthTownsville

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	18.5	39.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	22.7	44.8	-0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.5	40.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.2	36.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	21.3	20.6	41.8	+0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.1	20.6	42.7	+1.5	45%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.6	43.5	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	21.4	44.9	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	21.9	42.1	-1.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	18.4	40.7	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	22.2	22.2	44.4	-0.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	17.5	38.5	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	22.2	43.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.8	20.3	40.1	-0.4	42%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.3	16.9	38.2	+4.4	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.5	41.9	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	19.2	40.3	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	23.9	43.4	-4.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.2	22.2	38.4	-6.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	21.4	21.8	43.1	-0.4	52%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	19.5	39.5	+0.5	25%	-

PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

36-44

-8

A09/01

NBL

Adelaide

58-57

H16/01

NBL

Melbourne United

34-41

-7

H21/01

NBL

Townsville

45-52

-7

A23/01

NBL

Cairns

43-41

A24/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

41-54

-13

A29/01

NBL

Sydney

38-29

H01/02

NBL

Cairns

32-26

H06/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

32-35

-3

H15/02

NBL

Adelaide

51-48

A20/02

NBL

83.7Avg total

41.0Scored

42.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	39.6	81.6	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.0	36.0	78.0	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.9	43.3	85.1	-1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	42.7	83.7	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	38.4	77.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	41.1	40.8	81.9	+0.3	58%	-
vs Weaker (11)	43.4	37.5	80.9	+5.8	73%	-

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

36-32

H03/01

NBL

Sydney

50-44

A09/01

NBL

Cairns

36-34

H11/01

NBL

Sydney

40-57

-17

H16/01

NBL

Perth

52-45

H23/01

NBL

Melbourne United

37-40

-3

A25/01

NBL

Adelaide

39-46

-7

A01/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

42-36

H07/02

NBL

Melbourne United

53-33

+20

H14/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

34-31

H20/02

NBL

81.7Avg total

41.9Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	43.2	85.3	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.6	40.6	85.2	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	45.7	85.5	-6.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	39.8	81.7	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	37.2	78.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.4	42.0	78.4	-5.6	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	43.6	44.0	87.6	-0.4	48%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.0	40.2	82.2	+1.8	50%	-

This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	17.9	37.1	+1.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	17.1	36.3	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	18.6	37.9	+0.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.5	36.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.0	36.4	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.7	19.1	38.8	+0.6	53%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.5	15.7	34.3	+2.8	82%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	19.5	41.3	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	17.8	38.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	16.6	39.2	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.0	24.2	41.2	-7.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	21.3	19.8	41.1	+1.5	52%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.0	17.2	40.2	+5.8	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.2	38.2	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	17.2	37.5	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	21.1	39.0	-3.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	22.9	41.7	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.1	21.3	39.4	-3.2	32%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.7	15.5	36.2	+5.3	82%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.8	41.5	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	21.4	42.7	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.9	40.7	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.8	39.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	21.0	20.7	41.7	+0.3	48%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.0	23.2	45.2	-1.2	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	37.0	75.4	+1.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	34.3	73.8	+5.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.2	39.7	76.9	-2.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	40.4	78.4	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	36.4	74.8	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	37.8	40.4	78.2	-2.6	47%	-
vs Weaker (11)	39.3	31.2	70.5	+8.1	91%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	41.0	82.5	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	40.9	84.0	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.1	41.0	81.1	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	37.7	79.1	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	34.4	78.2	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.8	43.4	79.2	-7.6	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	42.3	40.5	82.8	+1.8	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	45.0	40.5	85.5	+4.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Perth wins

Townsville wins

Date	Game	Score
23/01/15	Townsville v Perth	85-93 OT
14/11/14	Perth v Townsville	93-78
02/11/14	Townsville v Perth	102-80
07/03/14	Perth v Townsville	81-69
07/02/14	Townsville v Perth	88-75
12/01/14	Townsville v Perth	97-103
10/01/14	Perth v Townsville	102-87
15/02/13	Perth v Townsville	80-52
25/01/13	Perth v Townsville	62-59
24/11/12	Townsville v Perth	63-68

Perthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/02/15	A	Adelaide	94-101
15/02/15	H	New Zealand Breakers	87-89 OT
06/02/15	H	Cairns	65-54
01/02/15	H	Sydney	80-61
29/01/15	A	New Zealand Breakers	79-90
24/01/15	A	Cairns	66-92
23/01/15	A	Townsville	93-85 OT
21/01/15	H	Melbourne United	78-86
16/01/15	H	Adelaide	102-106
09/01/15	A	Cairns	76-91

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/02/15	H	Illawarra Hawks	82-66
14/02/15	H	Melbourne United	105-68
07/02/15	H	New Zealand Breakers	79-71
01/02/15	A	Adelaide	77-84
25/01/15	A	Melbourne United	81-69
23/01/15	H	Perth	85-93 OT
16/01/15	H	Sydney	81-89
11/01/15	H	Cairns	73-78
09/01/15	A	Sydney	98-89
03/01/15	H	Cairns	75-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	56%
Home	LLWWL	69%
Away	LWLLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	56%	69%	43%
Points / game	80.7	81.2	80.2
Allowed / game	77.8	71.7	83.4
Point differential	+2.9	+9.5	-3.2
Avg total	158.5	152.9	163.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	62%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	11%	8%	14%

Townsville

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	41%
Home	LLWWW	57%
Away	LLWWL	23%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	41%	57%	23%
Points / game	84.1	88.1	79.9
Allowed / game	83.7	81.4	86.2
Point differential	+0.4	+6.6	-6.2
Avg total	167.9	169.5	166.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	43%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	33% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Cairns	28	21	7	75%	81.2	75.6	+5.6
2	New Zealand Breakers	28	19	9	68%	83.7	81.2	+2.4
3	Adelaide	27	16	11	59%	88.7	88.6	+0.1
4	Perth	27	15	12	56%	80.7	77.8	+2.9
5	Melbourne United	28	13	15	46%	83.3	85.0	-1.6
6	Townsville	27	11	16	41%	84.1	83.7	+0.4
7	Sydney	28	9	19	32%	82.9	86.0	-3.1
8	Illawarra Hawks	27	6	21	22%	76.6	83.5	-6.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Perth	20	15	21	25	81
Townsville	14	19	20	18	71

← all games of the day

Perth vs Townsville Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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