Perth vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Feb 2015

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 80-61

15-11 23-18 18-15 24-17

Position#4

Record13-10

FormLLWLL

Points / game80.6

Allowed / game78.0

Perth 🏆

Sydney

Position#7

Record9-13

FormLWLWL

Points / game84.1

Allowed / game85.4

NBLRound 17

Other2014-15

Meetings · Perth v Sydney

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sydney winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

97-76

+21

H14/12

NBL

Sydney

74-78

-4

A18/12

NBL

Melbourne United

81-80 OT

A28/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

86-77

A31/12

NBL

Cairns

76-91

-15

A09/01

NBL

Adelaide

102-106

102

106

-4

H16/01

NBL

Melbourne United

78-86

-8

H21/01

NBL

Townsville

93-85 OT

A23/01

NBL

Cairns

66-92

-26

A24/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

79-90

-11

A29/01

NBL

22-21

27-14

17-24

31-17

14-18

14-25

23-22

23-13

21-22

14-11

18-14

18-24

25-26

18-18

24-18

19-15

18-24

18-20

24-14

16-33

27-28

31-29

23-23

21-26

19-21

15-20

14-23

30-22

26-28

19-24

17-10

20-20

19-13

24-28

17-20

6-31

26-32

15-22

21-18

17-18

169.3Avg total

83.2Scored

86.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	80.6	78.0	158.6	+2.5	57%
Season at home (10)	82.4	72.8	155.2	+9.6	70%
Season away (13)	79.2	82.1	161.2	-2.9	46%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	86.1	169.3	-2.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	91.8	175.4	-8.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	80.8	83.3	164.1	-2.5	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	83.2	71.6	154.8	+11.6	79%

This opponent (Sydney) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

78-74

H18/12

NBL

Melbourne United

101-105 OT

101

105

-4

A21/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

85-97

-12

H26/12

NBL

Townsville

92-93

-1

A31/12

NBL

Melbourne United

68-82

-14

H02/01

NBL

Townsville

89-98

-9

H09/01

NBL

Townsville

89-81

A16/01

NBL

Cairns

76-80

-4

A17/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

101-81

101

+20

A23/01

NBL

Adelaide

86-105

105

-19

H25/01

NBL

18-14

25-14

22-23

13-23

23-24

24-25

19-21

26-22

17-32

25-25

26-19

17-21

25-26

22-25

25-22

20-20

15-23

18-22

24-17

11-20

11-23

33-27

17-26

28-22

28-27

29-13

19-21

13-20

15-18

18-22

19-21

24-19

24-25

30-15

24-21

23-20

24-31

22-27

10-26

30-21

176.1Avg total

86.5Scored

89.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	84.1	85.4	169.5	-1.3	41%
Season at home (11)	83.7	86.8	170.5	-3.1	45%
Season away (11)	84.5	83.9	168.4	+0.5	36%
Last 10 (10)	86.5	89.6	176.1	-3.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	89.0	177.2	-0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	81.9	83.5	165.4	-1.6	42%
vs Similar (15)	86.5	91.5	177.9	-5.0	27%
vs Weaker (3)	81.7	72.7	154.3	+9.0	67%

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PerthSydney

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	21.7	43.7	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	20.4	43.1	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	22.8	44.3	-1.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	23.3	45.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	24.4	47.8	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	22.1	21.4	43.5	+0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.1	21.9	44.0	+0.1	36%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	22.3	42.7	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	23.8	43.4	-4.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	20.9	42.1	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	24.3	44.3	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	24.8	45.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.2	22.9	42.1	-3.8	42%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.9	23.1	45.1	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.3	15.3	33.7	+3.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	17.3	38.9	+4.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	20.1	39.4	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.1	40.6	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	24.6	45.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.7	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.3	17.1	38.4	+4.1	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	21.4	44.5	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.1	21.6	45.8	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	21.2	43.3	+0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	21.5	46.1	+3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	20.8	47.2	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	23.8	20.5	44.3	+3.3	42%	-
vs Similar (15)	22.9	22.7	45.7	+0.2	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.3	18.7	39.0	+1.7	67%	-

PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

49-35

+14

H14/12

NBL

Sydney

28-43

-15

A18/12

NBL

Melbourne United

35-33

A28/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

43-44

-1

A31/12

NBL

Cairns

36-44

-8

A09/01

NBL

Adelaide

58-57

H16/01

NBL

Melbourne United

34-41

-7

H21/01

NBL

Townsville

45-52

-7

A23/01

NBL

Cairns

43-41

A24/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

41-54

-13

A29/01

NBL

85.6Avg total

41.2Scored

44.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	40.5	82.9	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.3	37.7	82.0	+6.6	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.8	42.9	83.7	-2.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	44.4	85.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	49.0	93.2	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	41.6	41.7	83.3	-0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	43.4	39.1	82.4	+4.3	71%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

43-28

+15

H18/12

NBL

Melbourne United

47-49

-2

A21/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

42-57

-15

H26/12

NBL

Townsville

47-51

-4

A31/12

NBL

Melbourne United

33-45

-12

H02/01

NBL

Townsville

44-50

-6

H09/01

NBL

Townsville

57-40

+17

A16/01

NBL

Cairns

33-40

-7

A17/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

54-40

+14

A23/01

NBL

Adelaide

46-58

-12

H25/01

NBL

90.4Avg total

44.6Scored

45.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	43.7	87.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.8	45.4	89.2	-1.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.2	42.2	85.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	45.8	90.4	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	45.6	92.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	43.0	43.4	86.4	-0.4	42%	-
vs Similar (15)	44.9	45.9	90.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.7	34.0	72.7	+4.7	67%	-

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	17.8	37.7	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	17.4	36.9	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.1	15.9	36.0	+4.1	79%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.1	39.7	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	19.6	38.5	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.7	42.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	23.0	40.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.8	19.7	39.5	+0.2	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.2	21.1	40.3	-1.9	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.3	16.7	37.0	+3.7	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.2	38.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	17.5	38.4	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	20.6	37.8	-3.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.9	42.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.4	42.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	18.1	21.4	39.6	-3.3	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.8	16.6	36.4	+3.2	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	20.9	41.1	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	23.2	44.6	-1.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.8	41.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	20.4	44.0	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.3	42%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.8	23.6	45.4	-1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.7	22.0	44.7	+0.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	37.0	75.8	+1.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.4	34.9	75.3	+5.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	38.8	76.2	-1.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	40.5	80.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	42.2	79.4	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	37.9	40.9	78.8	-3.0	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	39.9	32.5	72.4	+7.4	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	42.3	82.6	-1.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.6	41.6	82.1	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.2	42.9	83.1	-2.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	42.5	83.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	43.4	84.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	38.9	40.1	79.0	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	41.0	44.7	85.7	-3.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.0	38.7	81.7	+4.3	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Perth wins

Sydney wins

Date	Game	Score
18/12/14	Sydney v Perth	78-74
16/11/14	Sydney v Perth	66-85
24/10/14	Perth v Sydney	84-63
02/03/14	Sydney v Perth	81-85
24/11/13	Perth v Sydney	98-55
27/10/13	Sydney v Perth	72-82
18/10/13	Perth v Sydney	81-69
08/03/13	Perth v Sydney	83-56
24/02/13	Sydney v Perth	71-97
30/12/12	Sydney v Perth	61-95

Perthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/01/15	A	New Zealand Breakers	79-90
24/01/15	A	Cairns	66-92
23/01/15	A	Townsville	93-85 OT
21/01/15	H	Melbourne United	78-86
16/01/15	H	Adelaide	102-106
09/01/15	A	Cairns	76-91
31/12/14	A	Illawarra Hawks	86-77
28/12/14	A	Melbourne United	81-80 OT
18/12/14	A	Sydney	74-78
14/12/14	H	Adelaide	97-76

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/01/15	H	Adelaide	86-105
23/01/15	A	New Zealand Breakers	101-81
17/01/15	A	Cairns	76-80
16/01/15	A	Townsville	89-81
09/01/15	H	Townsville	89-98
02/01/15	H	Melbourne United	68-82
31/12/14	A	Townsville	92-93
26/12/14	H	New Zealand Breakers	85-97
21/12/14	A	Melbourne United	101-105 OT
18/12/14	H	Perth	78-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	57%
Home	WWWLL	70%
Away	WLWLL	46%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	10	13
Win %	57%	70%	46%
Points / game	80.6	82.4	79.2
Allowed / game	78.0	72.8	82.1
Point differential	+2.5	+9.6	-2.9
Avg total	158.6	155.2	161.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	60%	23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	9%	0%	15%

Sydney

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	41%
Home	WLLLL	45%
Away	LLWLW	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	41%	45%	36%
Points / game	84.1	83.7	84.5
Allowed / game	85.4	86.8	83.9
Point differential	-1.3	-3.1	+0.5
Avg total	169.5	170.5	168.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	18%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	67% (3)	0% (4)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	24	18	6	75%	84.1	80.6	+3.5
2	Cairns	23	17	6	74%	82.7	77.2	+5.5
3	Perth	23	13	10	57%	80.6	78.0	+2.5
4	Adelaide	24	13	11	54%	87.7	88.9	-1.2
5	Melbourne United	23	11	12	48%	84.4	83.8	+0.6
6	Sydney	22	9	13	41%	84.1	85.4	-1.3
7	Townsville	24	8	16	33%	83.6	85.6	-2.0
8	Illawarra Hawks	23	4	19	17%	77.7	85.3	-7.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Perth	15	23	18	24	80
Sydney	11	18	15	17	61

← all games of the day

Perth vs Sydney Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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