Pesaro vs Ferrara Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Dec 2009

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 75-70

20-11 20-18 18-18 17-23

Position#11

Record1-8

FormWLWWL

Points / game76.2

Allowed / game84.9

Pesaro 🏆

Ferrara

Position#15

Record2-7

FormLLWLL

Points / game72.1

Allowed / game82.2

Lega A

Domestic2009-10

Meetings · Pesaro v Ferrara

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ferrara winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Treviso

84-86

-2

A25/10

Lega A

Cantu

60-75

-15

H01/11

Lega A

Caserta

81-95

-14

A07/11

Lega A

Virtus Roma

73-84

-11

H15/11

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

57-73

-16

A22/11

Lega A

Amsterdam

#32

66-41

+25

H24/11

EuroChallenge

Olimpia Milano

86-89 OT

-3

A29/11

Lega A

Minsk

#27

80-49

+31

A01/12

EuroChallenge

Cremona

#12

101-94

101

H06/12

Lega A

Krasnye Krylya

58-70

-12

A08/12

EuroChallenge

16-14

27-23

23-25

18-24

19-21

17-14

15-24

9-16

25-21

24-21

16-25

16-28

22-14

20-21

17-23

14-26

11-27

21-9

18-21

7-16

20-12

18-8

14-12

14-9

23-18

13-18

33-23

11-21

19-14

24-12

25-9

12-14

30-29

23-18

24-25

24-22

18-23

9-20

20-12

11-15

150.2Avg total

74.6Scored

75.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	76.2	84.9	161.1	-8.7	11%
Season at home (4)	75.2	83.2	158.5	-8.0	25%
Season away (5)	77.0	86.2	163.2	-9.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	74.6	75.6	150.2	-1.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	68.6	146.8	+9.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	71.7	91.0	162.7	-19.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	78.4	81.3	159.7	-2.9	40%
vs Weaker (3)	78.7	53.3	132.0	+25.3	100%

This opponent (Ferrara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ferrara

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

79-73

H10/05

Lega A

Teramo

#13

90-83

H11/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

66-71

-5

A18/10

Lega A

Cremona

#12

82-91

-9

H25/10

Lega A

Virtus Roma

71-88

-17

H01/11

Lega A

Siena

49-89

-40

A08/11

Lega A

Avellino

78-88 OT

-10

A14/11

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

66-59

H22/11

Lega A

Varese

#10

74-81

-7

A29/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

73-90

-17

H06/12

Lega A

20-17

19-20

19-15

21-21

27-22

17-22

18-23

28-16

16-20

24-19

14-17

12-15

17-16

17-15

23-31

25-29

17-20

18-27

16-19

20-22

16-18

17-25

7-26

9-20

21-19

16-29

21-12

17-15

18-16

17-15

11-15

20-13

–

154.1Avg total

72.8Scored

81.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	72.1	82.2	154.3	-10.1	22%
Season at home (5)	76.4	82.2	158.6	-5.8	40%
Season away (4)	66.8	82.2	149.0	-15.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	72.8	81.3	154.1	-8.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	68.0	81.4	149.4	-13.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	72.3	93.3	165.7	-21.0	33%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	82.1	82.0	164.1	+0.0	43%
vs Weaker (4)	72.5	73.8	146.2	-1.2	50%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PesaroFerrara

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+2.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-2.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.3	39.6	+1.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.7	20.7	38.4	-3.0	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.6	20.5	41.1	+0.1	55%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	15.3	35.3	+4.7	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	39%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.8	19.8	42.6	+3.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	21.8	39.1	-4.5	14%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.8	35.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.3	24.7	43.0	-6.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.6	37.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	19.8	37.1	-2.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	16.4	36.0	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	15.2	32.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.7	23.4	41.1	-5.7	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	17.6	19.4	36.9	-1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.0	12.3	33.3	+8.7	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	18.9	37.4	-0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.1	21.5	39.6	-3.4	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.2	39.2	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.3	23.0	42.3	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.0	16.2	34.2	+1.8	75%	-

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Treviso

43-37

A25/10

Lega A

Cantu

36-35

H01/11

Lega A

Caserta

49-42

A07/11

Lega A

Virtus Roma

42-35

H15/11

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

32-36

-4

A22/11

Lega A

Amsterdam

#32

38-20

+18

H24/11

EuroChallenge

Olimpia Milano

36-36

A29/11

Lega A

Minsk

#27

43-26

+17

A01/12

EuroChallenge

Cremona

#12

53-47

H06/12

Lega A

Krasnye Krylya

27-43

-16

A08/12

EuroChallenge

75.6Avg total

39.9Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	39.6	77.4	-1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.5	39.1	79.6	+1.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.4	40.1	75.5	-4.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	35.7	75.6	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	34.4	73.8	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.4	44.1	79.6	-8.7	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	38.1	39.9	78.0	-1.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.0	27.7	68.7	+13.3	100%	-

This opponent (Ferrara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FerraraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

39-37

H10/05

Lega A

Teramo

#13

44-44

H11/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

40-39

A18/10

Lega A

Cremona

#12

34-31

H25/10

Lega A

Virtus Roma

35-47

-12

H01/11

Lega A

Siena

33-43

-10

A08/11

Lega A

Avellino

37-48

-11

A14/11

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

35-31

H22/11

Lega A

77.1Avg total

37.1Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	39.5	40.0	79.5	-0.5	46%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.3	39.3	82.6	+4.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.8	40.7	76.5	-4.9	21%	-
Last 10 (8)	37.1	40.0	77.1	-2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	40.0	74.8	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.7	47.7	85.3	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	40.2	39.8	80.0	+0.4	52%	-
vs Weaker (4)	37.2	35.2	72.5	+2.0	50%	-

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.8	39.2	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	17.8	35.6	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-1.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	16.2	39.4	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.7	23.1	39.9	-6.4	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.3	12.0	33.3	+9.3	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.4	20.5	38.8	-2.1	25%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	20.3	37.6	-2.9	21%	-
Last 10 (8)	16.1	19.8	35.9	-3.6	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	20.6	36.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	24.3	41.3	-7.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	18.9	19.3	38.2	-0.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.5	23.8	40.2	-7.2	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.7	40.0	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	20.1	39.6	-0.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	21.3	40.2	-2.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.6	19.1	32.7	-5.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	16.2	30.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.6	23.7	43.3	-4.1	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.6	20.8	40.3	-1.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.3	13.7	30.0	+2.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.3	19.9	41.2	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	21.5	44.9	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	57%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.7	21.3	39.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	22.3	20.6	43.0	+1.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.8	14.8	33.5	+4.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	40.6	79.1	-2.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.4	37.9	75.3	-0.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.6	42.9	82.5	-3.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.1	39.0	73.1	-4.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	32.4	70.0	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.3	46.9	83.1	-10.6	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	39.5	40.6	80.1	-1.1	55%	-
vs Weaker (3)	37.7	25.7	63.3	+12.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	39.7	40.3	80.0	-0.6	46%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.8	42.1	84.9	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.6	38.5	75.1	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (8)	35.1	38.6	73.8	-3.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	40.4	74.2	-6.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.7	45.7	80.3	-11.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	41.2	39.9	81.1	+1.3	48%	-
vs Weaker (4)	35.2	38.5	73.8	-3.2	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pesaro wins

Ferrara wins

Date	Game	Score
01/02/09	Pesaro v Ferrara	91-86
19/10/08	Ferrara v Pesaro	67-76

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/12/09	A	Krasnye Krylya	58-70
06/12/09	H	Cremona	101-94
01/12/09	A	Minsk	80-49
29/11/09	A	Olimpia Milano	86-89 OT
24/11/09	H	Amsterdam	66-41
22/11/09	A	Sutor Montegranaro	57-73
15/11/09	H	Virtus Roma	73-84
07/11/09	A	Caserta	81-95
01/11/09	H	Cantu	60-75
25/10/09	A	Treviso	84-86

Ferraralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/12/09	H	Virtus Bologna	73-90
29/11/09	A	Varese	74-81
22/11/09	H	NSB Napoli	66-59
14/11/09	A	Avellino	78-88 OT
08/11/09	A	Siena	49-89
01/11/09	H	Virtus Roma	71-88
25/10/09	H	Cremona	82-91
18/10/09	A	Olimpia Milano	66-71
11/10/09	H	Teramo	90-83
10/05/09	H	Sutor Montegranaro	79-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	11%
Home	LLLW	25%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	11%	25%	0%
Points / game	76.2	75.2	77.0
Allowed / game	84.9	83.2	86.2
Point differential	-8.7	-8.0	-9.2
Avg total	161.1	158.5	163.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	-	0% (2)
Overtime %	11%	0%	20%

Ferrara

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	22%
Home	WLLWL	40%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	22%	40%	0%
Points / game	72.1	76.4	66.8
Allowed / game	82.2	82.2	82.2
Point differential	-10.1	-5.8	-15.5
Avg total	154.3	158.6	149.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	11%	0%	25%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	10	10	0	100%	86.4	63.9	+22.5
2	Caserta	10	8	2	80%	86.9	75.9	+11.0
3	Olimpia Milano	9	6	3	67%	82.3	77.9	+4.4
4	Biella	9	6	3	67%	81.2	80.0	+1.2
5	Avellino	9	6	3	67%	77.7	77.6	+0.1
6	Cantu	10	6	4	60%	75.9	76.0	-0.1
7	Virtus Bologna	11	6	5	55%	74.6	72.8	+1.8
8	Treviso	10	5	5	50%	83.3	81.0	+2.3
9	Teramo	9	4	5	44%	81.3	79.1	+2.2
10	Cremona	9	4	5	44%	87.7	86.1	+1.6
11	Sutor Montegranaro	9	4	5	44%	78.0	79.3	-1.3
12	Varese	9	4	5	44%	76.1	80.7	-4.6
13	Virtus Roma	9	3	6	33%	79.9	81.4	-1.6
14	Ferrara	9	2	7	22%	72.1	82.2	-10.1
15	Pesaro	9	1	8	11%	76.2	84.9	-8.7
16	NSB Napoli	9	0	9	0%	57.9	83.1	-25.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pesaro	20	20	18	17	75
Ferrara	11	18	18	23	70

← all games of the day

Pesaro vs Ferrara Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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