Avellino vs Ferrara Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2009

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 88-78 (OT)

19-21 29-16 12-21 15-17 13-3

Position#8

Record5-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game84.2

Allowed / game72.6

Avellino 🏆

Ferrara

Position#15

Record1-4

FormWLLLL

Points / game71.6

Allowed / game84.4

Lega A

Domestic2009-10

Meetings · Avellino v Ferrara

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ferrara winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Teramo

85-87

-2

H18/04

Lega A

Siena

68-84

-16

A22/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

67-89

-22

A25/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

84-95 OT

-11

H07/05

Lega A

Caserta

#14

74-65

A10/05

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

88-77

+11

H11/10

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

82-58

+24

A18/10

Lega A

Virtus Roma

78-74

A25/10

Lega A

Treviso

82-80 OT

H01/11

Lega A

Varese

#10

91-74

+17

A08/11

Lega A

12-28

21-19

27-17

25-23

4-17

21-20

18-30

25-17

17-13

13-26

18-22

19-28

19-23

16-23

24-17

21-17

19-22

20-20

17-15

18-8

24-19

25-12

23-22

16-24

25-14

21-16

21-10

15-18

27-20

19-18

7-17

25-19

18-17

12-16

17-18

22-18

21-23

27-10

23-19

20-22

158.2Avg total

79.9Scored

78.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	84.2	72.6	156.8	+11.6	100%
Season at home (2)	85.0	78.5	163.5	+6.5	100%
Season away (3)	83.7	68.7	152.3	+15.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	79.9	78.3	158.2	+1.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	72.6	156.8	+11.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	76.4	86.0	162.4	-9.6	0%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	78.3	79.5	157.8	-1.3	47%
vs Weaker (10)	81.7	69.8	151.5	+11.9	80%

This opponent (Ferrara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ferrara

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

79-76

A11/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

93-84

H19/04

Lega A

Biella

104-108 OT

104

108

-4

H26/04

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

76-75

A07/05

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

79-73

H10/05

Lega A

Teramo

#13

90-83

H11/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

66-71

-5

A18/10

Lega A

Cremona

#12

82-91

-9

H25/10

Lega A

Virtus Roma

71-88

-17

H01/11

Lega A

Siena

49-89

-40

A08/11

Lega A

13-22

24-12

15-22

27-20

26-16

26-22

15-26

26-20

27-27

23-22

19-19

19-20

11-19

14-23

27-13

24-20

20-17

19-20

19-15

21-21

27-22

17-22

18-23

28-16

16-20

24-19

14-17

12-15

17-16

17-15

23-31

25-29

17-20

18-27

16-19

20-22

16-18

17-25

7-26

9-20

162.7Avg total

78.9Scored

83.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	71.6	84.4	156.0	-12.8	20%
Season at home (3)	81.0	87.3	168.3	-6.3	33%
Season away (2)	57.5	80.0	137.5	-22.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	78.9	83.8	162.7	-4.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	71.6	84.4	156.0	-12.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	72.5	86.8	159.2	-14.2	50%
vs Similar ◀ (22)	81.3	79.9	161.2	+1.4	50%
vs Weaker (4)	73.5	80.5	154.0	-7.0	25%

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AvellinoFerrara

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.6	18.6	36.3	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.6	41.6	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.4	20.4	37.8	-3.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.6	20.3	39.9	-0.7	53%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.5	17.6	37.1	+1.9	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.7	40.0	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	20.1	42.3	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.3	21.4	37.7	-5.1	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.0	22.5	40.5	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	17.7	36.6	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	17.1	36.1	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	18.2	37.1	+0.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.0	37.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	14.4	35.2	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.7	17.5	35.1	+0.2	47%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.3	16.8	38.1	+4.5	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.7	37.8	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	19.7	40.3	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	17.6	35.3	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.6	40.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.2	20.2	39.5	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	19.2	18.3	37.5	+0.9	55%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	50%	-

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Teramo

33-47

-14

H18/04

Lega A

Siena

25-37

-12

A22/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

30-39

-9

A25/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

35-46

-11

H07/05

Lega A

Caserta

#14

39-42

-3

A10/05

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

49-31

+18

H11/10

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

46-30

+16

A18/10

Lega A

Virtus Roma

46-38

A25/10

Lega A

Treviso

30-33

-3

H01/11

Lega A

Varese

#10

48-33

+15

A08/11

Lega A

75.7Avg total

38.1Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	37.1	75.3	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.6	35.7	72.4	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.5	38.3	77.8	+1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	37.6	75.7	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	33.0	76.8	+10.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.6	40.4	76.0	-4.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	37.3	37.8	75.1	-0.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	40.8	34.4	75.2	+6.4	70%	-

This opponent (Ferrara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FerraraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

37-34

A11/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

52-38

+14

H19/04

Lega A

Biella

50-49

H26/04

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

25-42

-17

A07/05

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

39-37

H10/05

Lega A

Teramo

#13

44-44

H11/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

40-39

A18/10

Lega A

Cremona

#12

34-31

H25/10

Lega A

Virtus Roma

35-47

-12

H01/11

Lega A

Siena

33-43

-10

A08/11

Lega A

79.3Avg total

38.9Scored

40.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	39.4	77.9	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	39.8	82.7	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.1	39.0	73.1	-4.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	40.4	79.3	-1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	40.8	78.0	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.2	42.8	80.0	-5.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	38.9	38.7	77.5	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	37.5	40.0	77.5	-2.5	25%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.5	37.6	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	17.9	37.6	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	19.1	37.6	-0.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.7	38.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.2	35.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.3	18.9	37.1	-0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.1	17.2	37.3	+2.9	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.5	38.9	-2.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	20.3	39.7	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	20.6	38.1	-3.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	21.1	38.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	23.2	38.8	-7.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.8	21.5	38.2	-4.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.6	27%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.2	24.5	41.8	-7.2	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	20.7	42.7	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.6	20.9	42.5	+0.7	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.6	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.1	41.4	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	22.1	45.4	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	18.0	37.3	+1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.5	22.5	41.0	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	22.3	20.4	42.6	+1.9	59%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.8	16.0	34.8	+2.8	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	38.4	78.4	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.8	38.6	80.4	+3.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.4	38.3	76.7	+0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	38.1	78.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	37.4	75.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.4	40.4	78.8	-2.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	39.9	39.8	79.7	+0.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (10)	40.9	35.4	76.3	+5.5	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	40.5	80.3	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.6	42.5	85.1	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	38.6	75.5	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	41.4	79.8	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	43.6	78.0	-9.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.2	44.0	79.2	-8.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	41.2	39.9	81.1	+1.3	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	36.0	40.5	76.5	-4.5	25%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino wins

Ferrara wins

Date	Game	Score
08/03/09	Ferrara v Avellino	94-77
16/11/08	Avellino v Ferrara	66-70

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/09	A	Varese	91-74
01/11/09	H	Treviso	82-80 OT
25/10/09	A	Virtus Roma	78-74
18/10/09	A	NSB Napoli	82-58
11/10/09	H	Pesaro	88-77
10/05/09	A	Caserta	74-65
07/05/09	H	Virtus Roma	84-95 OT
25/04/09	A	Pesaro	67-89
22/04/09	A	Siena	68-84
18/04/09	H	Teramo	85-87

Ferraralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/09	A	Siena	49-89
01/11/09	H	Virtus Roma	71-88
25/10/09	H	Cremona	82-91
18/10/09	A	Olimpia Milano	66-71
11/10/09	H	Teramo	90-83
10/05/09	H	Sutor Montegranaro	79-73
07/05/09	A	NSB Napoli	76-75
26/04/09	H	Biella	104-108 OT
19/04/09	H	Virtus Bologna	93-84
11/04/09	A	Cantu	79-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	84.2	85.0	83.7
Allowed / game	72.6	78.5	68.7
Point differential	+11.6	+6.5	+15.0
Avg total	156.8	163.5	152.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	50%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	20%	50%	0%

Ferrara

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	20%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	20%	33%	0%
Points / game	71.6	81.0	57.5
Allowed / game	84.4	87.3	80.0
Point differential	-12.8	-6.3	-22.5
Avg total	156.0	168.3	137.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	6	6	0	100%	88.0	63.0	+25.0
2	Avellino	5	5	0	100%	84.2	72.6	+11.6
3	Caserta	5	4	1	80%	89.8	76.8	+13.0
4	Treviso	5	4	1	80%	85.0	79.2	+5.8
5	Cantu	5	4	1	80%	80.0	75.8	+4.2
6	Biella	5	4	1	80%	79.2	76.4	+2.8
7	Virtus Bologna	6	3	3	50%	74.2	74.8	-0.7
8	Virtus Roma	5	2	3	40%	82.0	78.6	+3.4
9	Olimpia Milano	5	2	3	40%	80.6	83.4	-2.8
10	Varese	5	2	3	40%	73.6	80.2	-6.6
11	Cremona	4	1	3	25%	88.8	92.2	-3.5
12	Teramo	5	1	4	20%	74.4	77.0	-2.6
13	Sutor Montegranaro	5	1	4	20%	75.8	83.8	-8.0
14	Ferrara	5	1	4	20%	71.6	84.4	-12.8
15	Pesaro	5	0	5	0%	73.8	84.8	-11.0
16	NSB Napoli	4	0	4	0%	54.2	83.5	-29.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Avellino	19	29	12	15	13	88
Ferrara	21	16	21	17	3	78

← all games of the day

Avellino vs Ferrara Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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