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Olimpia Milano vs Ferrara Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Oct 2009
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 71-66
20-16 19-24 17-14 15-12
Position#3
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#15
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game83.0
ItalyLega A
Domestic2009-10
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Ferrara
18 Oct 2009
MIL71
FER66
01 Mar 2009
MIL76
FER74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ferrara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Teramo
#3
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H24/05
Lega A
Biella
#7
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H29/05
Lega A
Biella
#7
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
A31/05
Lega A
Biella
#7
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H02/06
Lega A
Biella
#7
W
89-68
89
68
+21
A04/06
Lega A
Siena
#1
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A10/06
Lega A
Siena
#1
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A12/06
Lega A
Siena
#1
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H14/06
Lega A
Siena
#1
L
47-82
47
82
-35
H16/06
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A11/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-8
26-20
12-25
16-16
18-19
13-17
20-14
21-20
18-19
14-14
23-23
11-10
27-28
15-14
12-13
21-15
20-16
18-16
26-16
25-20
15-16
9-19
14-25
19-20
15-21
15-23
15-17
21-18
20-26
25-13
12-19
15-15
9-32
11-18
15-18
12-14
23-25
11-12
21-23
11-13
144.1Avg total
69.5Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)66.073.0139.0-7.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)66.073.0139.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)69.574.6144.1-5.140%
Last 5 (5)61.677.4139.0-15.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.986.1156.0-16.20%
vs Similar ◀ (16)79.477.1156.5+2.269%
vs Weaker (6)76.770.3147.0+6.367%
This opponent (Ferrara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerraraItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caserta
#14
L
66-84
66
84
-18
A15/03
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H21/03
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#2
W
93-88
93
88
+5
A29/03
Lega A
Udine
#16
W
93-75
93
75
+18
H05/04
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A11/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#6
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H19/04
Lega A
Biella
#7
L
104-108 OT
104
108
-4
H26/04
Lega A
NSB Napoli
#13
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A07/05
Lega A
Sutor Montegranaro
#12
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H10/05
Lega A
Teramo
#13
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H11/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
16-17
20-32
15-12
22-18
15-12
24-10
25-33
16-25
23-19
24-20
30-24
27-17
22-17
20-24
24-17
13-22
24-12
15-22
27-20
26-16
26-22
15-26
26-20
27-27
23-22
19-19
19-20
11-19
14-23
27-13
24-20
20-17
19-20
19-15
21-21
27-22
17-22
18-23
28-16
167.8Avg total
85.9Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)90.083.0173.0+7.0100%
Season at home (1)90.083.0173.0+7.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.981.9167.8+4.080%
Last 5 (5)88.484.6173.0+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.286.8162.0-11.550%
vs Similar ◀ (22)81.278.2159.4+3.055%
vs Weaker (4)73.580.5154.0-7.025%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +3.6+3.6
Olimpia MilanoFerrara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Teramo
#3
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H24/05
Lega A
Biella
#7
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H29/05
Lega A
Biella
#7
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A31/05
Lega A
Biella
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H02/06
Lega A
Biella
#7
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A04/06
Lega A
Siena
#1
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A10/06
Lega A
Siena
#1
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A12/06
Lega A
Siena
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H14/06
Lega A
Siena
#1
L
20-50
20
50
-30
H16/06
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A11/10
Lega A
71.4Avg total
33.8Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.639.676.2-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.440.478.7-2.057%-
Last 30 away (16)35.138.974.1-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)33.837.671.4-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)30.641.071.6-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.244.579.8-9.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.439.277.7-0.850%-
vs Weaker (6)33.734.067.7-0.350%-
This opponent (Ferrara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerraraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caserta
#14
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A15/03
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H21/03
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A29/03
Lega A
Udine
#16
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H05/04
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A11/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#6
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H19/04
Lega A
Biella
#7
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H26/04
Lega A
NSB Napoli
#13
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A07/05
Lega A
Sutor Montegranaro
#12
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H10/05
Lega A
Teramo
#13
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H11/10
Lega A
79.5Avg total
40.3Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.577.6-1.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.540.182.6+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)33.038.971.9-5.914%-
Last 10 (10)40.339.279.5+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.042.084.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.042.277.2-7.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)38.739.077.7-0.241%-
vs Weaker (4)37.540.077.5-2.525%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Olimpia Milano wins
0
Ferrara wins
DateGameScore
01/03/09Olimpia Milano v Ferrara76-74
09/11/08Ferrara v Olimpia Milano61-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/09AVarese66-73
16/06/09HSiena47-82
14/06/09HSiena72-73
12/06/09ASiena66-79
10/06/09ASiena57-80
04/06/09ABiella89-68
02/06/09HBiella75-70
31/05/09ABiella81-82 OT
29/05/09HBiella72-70
24/05/09HTeramo70-69
Ferraralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/09HTeramo90-83
10/05/09HSutor Montegranaro79-73
07/05/09ANSB Napoli76-75
26/04/09HBiella104-108 OT
19/04/09HVirtus Bologna93-84
11/04/09ACantu79-76
05/04/09HUdine93-75
29/03/09AVirtus Roma93-88
21/03/09HFortitudo Bologna86-73
15/03/09ACaserta66-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2009-10
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game66.0-66.0
Allowed / game73.0-73.0
Point differential-7.0--7.0
Avg total139.0-139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Ferrara
Lega A 2009-10
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game90.090.0-
Allowed / game83.083.0-
Point differential+7.0+7.0-
Avg total173.0173.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena220100%87.056.5+30.5
2 Avellino110100%88.077.0+11.0
3 Caserta110100%77.068.0+9.0
4 Ferrara110100%90.083.0+7.0
5 Treviso220100%82.076.5+5.5
6 Teramo21150%83.574.0+9.5
7 Virtus Roma21150%89.585.5+4.0
8 Biella21150%73.576.5-3.0
9 Varese21150%65.575.0-9.5
10 Virtus Bologna31233%72.378.0-5.7
11 Cantu1010%68.072.0-4.0
12 Olimpia Milano1010%66.073.0-7.0
13 Sutor Montegranaro1010%68.076.0-8.0
14 Pesaro1010%77.088.0-11.0
15 Cremona1010%79.094.0-15.0
16 NSB Napoli1010%48.087.0-39.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2019171571
Ferrara1624141266
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