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Petrol Olimpija vs Cedevita Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 70-98
29-29 11-22 14-20 16-27
Position#13
Record6-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#2
Record14-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game81.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 21
Domestic2018
Meetings · Petrol Olimpija v Cedevita
10 Mar 2019
POL70
CED98
27 Jan 2018
POL65
CED64
05 Mar 2017
POL92
CED94
07 Feb 2016
POL84
CED91
07 Oct 2014
POL77
CED67
23 Nov 2013
POL69
CED71
22 Oct 2012
POL71
CED75
11 Oct 2011
POL84
CED81
19 Feb 2011
POL75
CED67
14 Feb 2010
POL82
CED68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#35
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A30/01
Champions League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
61-89
61
89
-28
A02/02
ABA League
Zlatorog Lasko
#4
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H04/02
Liga Nova KBM
Besiktas
#16
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H06/02
Champions League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H07/02
Liga Nova KBM
Igokea
#9
W
92-69
92
69
+23
H11/02
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#9
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A12/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Primorska
#1
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A16/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A27/02
Liga Nova KBM
FMP Beograd
#6
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A04/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
25-18
12-18
16-22
19-24
10-25
18-17
14-23
15-16
11-21
22-21
24-25
14-14
21-34
24-11
16-22
23-16
16-14
27-18
20-17
24-12
24-21
26-19
18-17
16-18
15-19
18-18
11-17
20-24
15-16
18-24
23-23
16-8
19-18
11-19
24-20
13-17
23-9
13-22
14-16
148.3Avg total
72.6Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.881.2158.9-3.430%
Season at home (10)79.576.1155.6+3.460%
Season away (10)76.186.2162.3-10.10%
Last 10 (10)72.675.7148.3-3.130%
Last 5 (5)72.271.4143.6+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)71.580.7152.3-9.20%
vs Similar (13)78.778.5157.2+0.246%
vs Weaker (6)71.073.5144.5-2.550%
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alkar
#11
W
96-79
96
79
+17
A02/02
Premijer liga
Igokea
#9
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A02/02
ABA League
Zenit Petersburg
#14
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H06/02
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H10/02
ABA League
Zabok
#12
W
98-73
98
73
+25
H13/02
Croatian Cup
Gorica
#5
W
93-63
93
63
+30
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#2
W
89-74
89
74
+15
A16/02
Croatian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A02/03
ABA League
Hermes
#10
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H03/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A08/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
22-13
24-23
29-21
21-15
19-13
19-26
19-21
23-19
16-13
16-23
20-24
19-26
24-23
27-22
17-14
28-17
20-20
23-17
27-19
25-11
26-20
23-14
19-18
28-17
15-23
22-15
24-19
24-15
12-26
19-23
16-18
24-15
22-16
17-23
20-25
24-18
18-19
18-19
12-18
160.5Avg total
84.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.681.0167.6+5.670%
Season at home (10)87.577.0164.5+10.580%
Season away (10)85.784.9170.6+0.860%
Last 10 (10)84.276.3160.5+7.970%
Last 5 (5)81.674.4156.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.388.7167.0-10.414%
vs Similar (7)79.381.1160.4-1.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.179.5167.6+8.780%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
Petrol OlimpijaCedevita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#35
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A30/01
Champions League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A02/02
ABA League
Zlatorog Lasko
#4
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H04/02
Liga Nova KBM
Besiktas
#16
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H06/02
Champions League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H07/02
Liga Nova KBM
Igokea
#9
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H11/02
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#9
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A12/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Primorska
#1
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A16/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A27/02
Liga Nova KBM
FMP Beograd
#6
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A04/03
ABA League
72.5Avg total
35.7Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.738.675.4-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.536.974.4+0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)36.040.376.3-4.333%-
Last 10 (10)35.736.872.5-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.469.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.341.978.2-5.636%-
vs Similar (13)37.537.274.7+0.438%-
vs Weaker (6)35.835.871.7+0.050%-
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alkar
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A02/02
Premijer liga
Igokea
#9
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A02/02
ABA League
Zenit Petersburg
#14
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H06/02
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H10/02
ABA League
Zabok
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H13/02
Croatian Cup
Gorica
#5
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A16/02
Croatian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A02/03
ABA League
Hermes
#10
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H03/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A08/03
Premijer liga
79.2Avg total
43.1Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.383.2+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.640.984.4+2.764%-
Last 30 away (16)42.239.982.1+2.362%-
Last 10 (10)43.136.179.2+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)43.636.079.6+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.345.086.3-3.729%-
vs Similar (7)39.039.378.3-0.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.938.983.7+6.080%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.5
50.3%
51.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.3
31.7%
33.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.614.5
74.0%
72.5%14.5
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.7
52.5%
51.6%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.2
36.3%
33.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.314.6
68.5%
72.5%14.6
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Petrol Olimpija
LWLLWWLLLL
Cedevita
LWLWWWWLWW
#13
League position
#2
-5.5
Net rating
-4.3
100.4
Offensive rating
103.5
105.8
Defensive rating
107.9
49.2%
Effective FG%
53.2%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
16.8%
Turnover %
18.7%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.7%
3-point %
36.3%
58.9%
Assist %
60.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 103.5Defence105.8 · 107.9Shooting49.2% · 53.2%3-point %31.7% · 36.3%Ball care16.8% · 18.7%Off. rebounds23.2% · 24.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Petrol Olimpija   ■ Cedevita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Petrol Olimpija wins
8
Cedevita wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/19AFMP Beograd63-64
27/02/19AKK Krka Novo mesto70-65
16/02/19AKK Primorska76-87
12/02/19AHelios Domzale60-72
11/02/19HIgokea92-69
07/02/19HPerspektiva Ilirija86-65
06/02/19HBesiktas75-81
04/02/19HZlatorog Lasko72-83
02/02/19ACrvena zvezda61-89
30/01/19ABayreuth71-82
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/19AZabok72-74
03/03/19HHermes83-79
02/03/19AKK Krka Novo mesto71-82
16/02/19ACibona89-74
14/02/19HGorica93-63
13/02/19HZabok98-73
10/02/19HFMP Beograd87-85
06/02/19HZenit Petersburg75-79
02/02/19AIgokea78-75
02/02/19AAlkar96-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL30%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %30%60%0%
Points / game77.879.576.1
Allowed / game81.276.186.2
Point differential-3.4+3.4-10.1
Avg total158.9155.6162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)50% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %15%10%20%
Cedevita
ABA League 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL70%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game86.687.585.7
Allowed / game81.077.084.9
Point differential+5.7+10.5+0.8
Avg total167.6164.5170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2120195%84.568.6+15.9
2 Buducnost2014670%80.874.2+6.5
3 Cedevita2014670%86.681.0+5.7
4 Partizan2114767%81.375.7+5.6
5 Mega Bemax20101050%82.885.2-2.4
6 FMP Beograd2091145%79.781.8-2.0
7 Cibona2191243%79.181.9-2.7
8 Mornar Bar2071335%81.087.2-6.2
9 Zadar2171433%82.085.7-3.8
10 Igokea2171433%80.985.1-4.2
11 Petrol Olimpija2061430%77.881.2-3.4
12 KK Krka Novo mesto2161529%72.681.8-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Petrol Olimpija2911141670
Cedevita2922202798
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