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Cedevita vs Petrol Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 102-87
31-23 28-16 12-27 31-21
Position#3
Record7-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#10
Record3-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game84.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 12
Domestic2016
Meetings · Cedevita v Petrol Olimpija
07 Dec 2018
CED95
POL82
04 Nov 2017
CED84
POL60
03 Dec 2016
CED102
POL87
15 Nov 2015
CED82
POL58
27 Dec 2014
CED66
POL60
02 Mar 2014
CED75
POL60
19 Jan 2013
CED73
POL67
11 Jan 2012
CED93
POL75
20 Nov 2010
CED95
POL57
17 Nov 2009
CED70
POL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cedevita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#16
W
92-77
92
77
+15
H09/11
Eurocup
Partizan
#2
W
97-87
97
87
+10
A12/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#14
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A14/11
Premijer liga
Gran Canaria
#3
W
97-90
97
90
+7
H16/11
Eurocup
Zagreb
#8
W
95-73
95
73
+22
H19/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#7
W
100-80
100
80
+20
H20/11
ABA League
Lietkabelis
#14
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A23/11
Eurocup
Karpos
#11
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A26/11
ABA League
Jolly Sibenik
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A28/11
Premijer liga
MZT Skopje
#20
W
95-61
95
61
+34
H30/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-33
19-19
17-14
33-11
22-23
27-28
24-15
24-21
24-16
24-25
19-19
18-18
24-19
22-29
21-26
30-16
25-15
20-29
18-15
32-14
32-18
23-22
26-18
19-22
17-16
22-16
14-16
16-20
12-25
22-20
20-21
27-23
9-29
19-17
29-21
21-17
26-17
18-21
27-9
24-14
167.6Avg total
88.9Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)87.677.6165.3+10.064%
Season at home (6)92.273.2165.3+19.067%
Season away (5)82.283.0165.2-0.860%
Last 10 (10)88.978.7167.6+10.280%
Last 5 (5)84.676.4161.0+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.093.0172.0-14.033%
vs Similar (2)83.583.5167.0+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)87.874.4162.1+13.480%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#9
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A11/11
Liga Nova KBM
FMP Beograd
#9
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
H13/11
ABA League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#9
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A16/11
Eurocup
Tajfun Sentjur
#7
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Buducnost
#4
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A20/11
ABA League
Ulm
#17
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H23/11
Eurocup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#10
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H25/11
Liga Nova KBM
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
67-85
67
85
-18
H28/11
ABA League
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#4
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A30/11
Eurocup
LTH Castings
#11
W
97-67
97
67
+30
A02/12
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
14-13
13-13
20-15
22-27
15-22
22-16
20-14
18-23
13-16
17-18
16-20
17-11
19-26
23-15
29-19
11-19
21-26
22-22
20-17
25-22
17-21
20-14
14-15
20-14
14-19
22-19
26-16
24-28
17-15
15-25
11-17
17-21
19-28
14-21
19-11
25-16
22-20
30-15
20-16
151.7Avg total
77.0Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.884.0164.8-3.230%
Season at home (4)77.282.8160.0-5.550%
Season away (6)83.284.8168.0-1.717%
Last 10 (10)77.074.7151.7+2.360%
Last 5 (5)78.274.6152.8+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.280.8153.0-8.515%
vs Similar (10)82.482.8165.2-0.440%
vs Weaker (7)82.369.9152.1+12.4100%
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +6.8+6.8Q4: +3.5+3.5
CedevitaPetrol Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#16
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H09/11
Eurocup
Partizan
#2
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A12/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#14
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A14/11
Premijer liga
Gran Canaria
#3
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H16/11
Eurocup
Zagreb
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H19/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#7
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H20/11
ABA League
Lietkabelis
#14
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A23/11
Eurocup
Karpos
#11
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A26/11
ABA League
Jolly Sibenik
#5
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A28/11
Premijer liga
MZT Skopje
#20
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H30/11
Eurocup
86.7Avg total
43.0Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.240.283.4+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.639.883.4+3.856%-
Last 30 away (14)42.740.683.4+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.786.7-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.280.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.346.784.0-9.30%-
vs Similar (2)40.542.583.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)44.139.283.4+4.964%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#9
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A11/11
Liga Nova KBM
FMP Beograd
#9
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H13/11
ABA League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#9
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A16/11
Eurocup
Tajfun Sentjur
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Buducnost
#4
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A20/11
ABA League
Ulm
#17
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H23/11
Eurocup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H25/11
Liga Nova KBM
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H28/11
ABA League
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A30/11
Eurocup
LTH Castings
#11
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A02/12
Liga Nova KBM
77.0Avg total
36.7Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.878.7-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.341.479.6-3.129%-
Last 30 away (16)37.640.277.9-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)36.740.377.0-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.880.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.240.675.8-5.415%-
vs Similar (10)39.742.782.4-3.040%-
vs Weaker (7)40.438.378.7+2.157%-
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.423.3
55.0%
51.9%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.58.1
39.5%
34.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.217.7
76.3%
73.3%17.7
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.015.4
51.4%
51.9%30.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.4
36.5%
34.3%28.3
🏀 Free throws23.117.9
77.2%
73.3%17.9
They take 55.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cedevita
WLLWWWWWWW
Petrol Olimpija
WLLWWLWLWW
#3
League position
#10
+15.3
Net rating
-7.8
113.3
Offensive rating
102.2
98.0
Defensive rating
109.9
56.4%
Effective FG%
52.9%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
18.6%
Turnover %
21.8%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.41
39.5%
3-point %
36.5%
68.8%
Assist %
62.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 102.2Defence98.0 · 109.9Shooting56.4% · 52.9%3-point %39.5% · 36.5%Ball care18.6% · 21.8%Off. rebounds31.5% · 25.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Cedevita   ■ Petrol Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Cedevita wins
2
Petrol Olimpija wins
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/16HMZT Skopje95-61
28/11/16AJolly Sibenik78-84
26/11/16AKarpos81-89
23/11/16ALietkabelis69-68
20/11/16HCibona100-80
19/11/16HZagreb95-73
16/11/16HGran Canaria97-90
14/11/16AKvarner85-78
12/11/16APartizan97-87
09/11/16HNizhny Novgorod92-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/16ALTH Castings97-67
30/11/16AHapoel M. Jerusalem69-81
28/11/16HCrvena zvezda67-85
25/11/16HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek82-68
23/11/16HUlm76-72
20/11/16ABuducnost74-84
18/11/16HTajfun Sentjur88-71
16/11/16ALokomotiv Kuban64-77
13/11/16HFMP Beograd89-85 OT
11/11/16ASencur64-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cedevita
ABA League 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL64%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game87.692.282.2
Allowed / game77.673.283.0
Point differential+10.0+19.0-0.8
Avg total165.3165.3165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL30%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%50%17%
Points / game80.877.283.2
Allowed / game84.082.884.8
Point differential-3.2-5.5-1.7
Avg total164.8160.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %30%25%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda11110100%84.966.8+18.1
2 Buducnost1110191%84.574.7+9.8
3 Partizan129375%78.173.3+4.8
4 Cedevita117464%87.677.6+10.0
5 Cibona117464%83.781.8+1.9
6 Igokea127558%76.875.5+1.2
7 KK Krka Novo mesto115645%75.581.0-5.5
8 Zadar125742%80.288.4-8.2
9 Mega Bemax114736%83.385.8-2.5
10 Petrol Olimpija103730%80.884.0-3.2
11 FMP Beograd113827%72.677.7-5.1
12 MZT Skopje113827%75.784.0-8.3
13 Mornar Bar123925%77.480.0-2.6
14 Karpos1221017%73.783.2-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cedevita31281231102
Petrol Olimpija2316272187
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