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Phoenix Suns vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 28 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#29
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game110.3
Allowed / game119.0
vs
Position#14
Record5-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game114.8
USANBA· Mortgage Matchup Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v New Orleans Pelicans
27 Feb 2027
PHX v NOP
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
PHX118
NOP116
10 Nov 2025
PHX121
NOP98
28 Feb 2025
PHX125
NOP108
27 Feb 2025
PHX116
NOP124
07 Apr 2024
PHX105
NOP113
17 Dec 2022
PHX118
NOP114
28 Oct 2022
PHX124
NOP111
26 Apr 2022
PHX112
NOP97
19 Apr 2022
PHX114
NOP125
17 Apr 2022
PHX110
NOP99
25 Feb 2022
PHX102
NOP117
02 Nov 2021
PHX112
NOP100
29 Dec 2020
PHX111
NOP86
21 Nov 2019
PHX121
NOP124
05 Apr 2019
PHX133
NOP126
01 Mar 2019
PHX116
NOP130
06 Apr 2018
PHX103
NOP122
24 Nov 2017
PHX91
NOP115
13 Feb 2017
PHX108
NOP110
11 Dec 2016
PHX119
NOP120
18 Dec 2015
PHX104
NOP88
25 Nov 2015
PHX114
NOP120
19 Jul 2015
PHX93
NOP87
19 Mar 2015
PHX74
NOP72
28 Feb 2014
PHX116
NOP104
10 Nov 2013
PHX101
NOP94
07 Apr 2013
PHX92
NOP95
23 Nov 2012
PHX111
NOP108
01 Apr 2012
PHX92
NOP75
26 Dec 2011
PHX84
NOP85
25 Mar 2011
PHX100
NOP106
30 Jan 2011
PHX104
NOP102
14 Mar 2010
PHX120
NOP106
11 Nov 2009
PHX124
NOP104
30 Oct 2008
PHX95
NOP108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
New Orleans Pelicans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
122-131
122
131
-9
110avg 102
H28/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#4
L
107-109
107
109
-2
96avg 102
A05/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
117-124
117
124
-7
106avg 102
A08/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
102-98
102
98
+4
91avg 102
H11/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
103-123
103
123
-20
81avg 102
A15/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
116-119
116
119
-3
95avg 102
H17/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
83-124
83
124
-41
61avg 102
A22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#7
W
131-122
131
122
+9
133avg 102
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
114-125
114
125
-11
102avg 102
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
L
120-127
120
127
-7
117avg 102
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-37
34-38
31-31
24-25
35-21
33-29
16-34
23-25
40-29
24-33
26-31
27-31
35-25
23-26
27-22
17-25
23-22
26-38
26-32
28-31
30-31
35-28
30-31
21-29
12-43
27-29
27-35
17-17
22-25
35-29
45-38
29-30
27-33
26-34
32-32
29-26
37-32
30-39
26-32
27-24
231.7Avg total
111.5Scored
120.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)110.3119.0229.3-8.722%
Season at home (4)117.2116.5233.8+0.850%
Season away (5)104.8121.0225.8-16.20%
Last 10 (10)111.5120.2231.7-8.720%
Last 5 (5)112.8123.4236.2-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)109.2117.4226.6-8.121%
vs Similar (11)108.8114.0222.8-5.218%
vs Weaker (5)120.4107.8228.2+12.680%
This opponent (New Orleans Pelicans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Orleans PelicansUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelicans
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
116-110
116
110
+6
102avg 106
A07/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
L
118-128
118
128
-10
102avg 106
A08/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
101-97
101
97
+4
81avg 106
A15/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
107-106
107
106
+1
97avg 106
H17/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
120-123
120
123
-3
112avg 106
H22/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
119-120
119
120
-1
105avg 106
A24/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
L
135-141 OT
135
141
-6
131avg 106
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
L
91-104
91
104
-13
79avg 106
H29/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
132-120
132
120
+12
131avg 106
H30/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
121-99
121
99
+22
57avg 106
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-34
24-33
38-26
26-17
36-33
28-40
32-20
22-35
24-18
32-27
19-18
26-34
23-17
33-34
25-19
26-36
31-38
35-18
26-30
28-37
28-31
24-31
38-24
29-34
38-24
35-33
35-32
18-37
18-37
27-20
28-22
18-25
24-30
39-31
39-27
30-32
33-18
30-30
29-26
29-25
230.8Avg total
116.0Scored
114.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)116.0114.8230.8+1.250%
Season at home (5)114.2110.4224.6+3.860%
Season away (5)117.8119.2237.0-1.440%
Last 10 (10)116.0114.8230.8+1.250%
Last 5 (5)119.6116.8236.4+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)111.6118.3229.9-6.621%
vs Similar (10)118.4116.4234.8+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)125.2118.0243.2+7.267%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -6.0-6.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -6.0-6.0
Phoenix SunsNew Orleans Pelicans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H28/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#4
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A05/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A08/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H11/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A15/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H17/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
39-72
39
72
-33
A22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#7
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H31/10
NBA
120.8Avg total
58.7Scored
62.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.859.7118.5-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.457.6117.9+2.857%-
Last 30 away (16)57.461.5118.9-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)58.762.1120.8-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)56.264.6120.8-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)57.361.5118.8-4.236%-
vs Similar (11)58.959.7118.6-0.845%-
vs Weaker (5)62.854.4117.2+8.480%-
This opponent (New Orleans Pelicans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Orleans PelicansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A07/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A08/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A15/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H17/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H22/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A24/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
W
73-57
73
57
+16
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H29/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H30/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H31/10
NBA
116.7Avg total
59.0Scored
57.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.160.0118.1-1.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.057.4116.4+1.671%-
Last 30 away (16)57.362.2119.6-4.931%-
Last 10 (10)59.057.7116.7+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)59.257.0116.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)54.361.2115.5-6.929%-
vs Similar (10)61.657.0118.6+4.670%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)61.262.2123.3-1.067%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 112.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.928.3
56.7%
54.0%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.913.0
34.3%
34.9%39.0
🏀 Free throws23.217.2
74.1%
76.4%17.2
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Orleans Pelicanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Orleans Pelicans: 121.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws24.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.833.1
53.6%
54.0%66.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.3
32.2%
34.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws31.124.5
78.8%
76.4%24.5
They take 93.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LLWLLLWLLL
New Orleans Pelicans
WWLLLLWWLW
#29
League position
#14
-5.8
Net rating
-1.9
102.1
Offensive rating
105.0
107.9
Defensive rating
106.9
54.4%
Effective FG%
51.8%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
16.4%
Turnover %
13.7%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
38.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.3%
3-point %
32.2%
59.1%
Assist %
55.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 105.0Defence107.9 · 106.9Shooting54.4% · 51.8%3-point %34.3% · 32.2%Ball care16.4% · 13.7%Off. rebounds31.7% · 38.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ New Orleans Pelicans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HDenver Nuggets120-127
27/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder114-125
25/10/26HGolden State Warriors131-122
22/10/26APortland Trail Blazers83-124
17/10/26HUtah Jazz116-119
15/10/26ASan Antonio Spurs103-123
11/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs102-98
08/10/26AChicago Bulls117-124
05/10/26ADetroit Pistons107-109
28/04/26HOklahoma City Thunder122-131
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HAtlanta Hawks121-99
30/10/26HSacramento Kings132-120
29/10/26HDenver Nuggets91-104
25/10/26ADenver Nuggets135-141 OT
24/10/26AUtah Jazz119-120
22/10/26HIndiana Pacers120-123
17/10/26HWashington Wizards107-106
15/10/26ADallas Mavericks101-97
08/10/26AMiami Heat118-128
07/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder116-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%50%0%
Points / game110.3117.2104.8
Allowed / game119.0116.5121.0
Point differential-8.7+0.8-16.2
Avg total229.3233.8225.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Orleans Pelicans
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game116.0114.2117.8
Allowed / game114.8110.4119.2
Point differential+1.2+3.8-1.4
Avg total230.8224.6237.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics109190%121.9108.7+13.2
2 Memphis Grizzlies109190%119.7107.9+11.8
3 Houston Rockets108280%121.1109.6+11.5
4 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers86275%119.2111.2+8.0
6 Philadelphia 76ers117464%110.5110.4+0.1
7 Golden State Warriors138562%115.9110.9+5.0
8 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
9 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.9116.2+2.8
10 Los Angeles Lakers127558%114.7113.7+1.0
11 Cleveland Cavaliers95456%119.3117.4+1.9
12 San Antonio Spurs116555%116.0109.5+6.5
13 Minnesota Timberwolves137654%118.2113.1+5.2
14 New Orleans Pelicans105550%116.0114.8+1.2
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
17 Orlando Magic105550%114.1116.8-2.7
18 Toronto Raptors115645%120.1113.3+6.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 Oklahoma City Thunder115645%108.0111.5-3.5
21 Brooklyn Nets104640%114.6116.0-1.4
22 Utah Jazz104640%110.5115.2-4.7
23 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
24 Charlotte Hornets114736%97.6108.1-10.5
25 Los Angeles Clippers93633%107.9112.0-4.1
26 Indiana Pacers113827%115.4117.3-1.9
27 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
28 Milwaukee Bucks113827%111.4123.3-11.9
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings110110%106.4123.5-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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