Pieno Zvaigzdes vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2017

Tip-off: 15:20

Final 51-75

13-24 13-15 13-21 12-15

Position#6

Record5-7

FormLLLLW

Points / game81.5

Allowed / game87.6

Pieno Zvaigzdes

Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆

Position#1

Record11-1

FormWLWWL

Points / game83.8

Allowed / game66.3

LKL

Domestic2017-18

Meetings · Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pieno Zvaigzdes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pieno Zvaigzdes Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alytaus Dzukija

95-73

+22

H04/10

LKL

Siauliai

81-79

H08/10

LKL

Skycop

#10

80-74

H14/10

LKL

Lietkabelis

75-85

-10

H21/10

LKL

Juventus

81-75

A23/10

LKL

Neptunas

91-97

-6

A28/10

LKL

Rytas

73-87

-14

H04/11

LKL

Skycop

#10

80-101

101

-21

A11/11

LKL

Siauliai

95-104

104

-9

A19/11

LKL

Nevezis

73-68

A29/11

LKL

23-20

29-11

20-14

23-28

27-19

18-16

20-16

16-28

19-22

14-19

18-15

29-18

18-23

21-32

19-9

17-21

25-12

14-19

17-21

25-23

19-23

29-26

17-28

26-20

24-21

17-30

13-19

19-17

12-23

23-30

25-25

20-23

17-31

20-23

28-27

30-23

13-17

24-13

16-23

20-15

166.7Avg total

82.4Scored

84.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	81.5	87.6	169.1	-6.1	42%
Season at home (5)	80.8	79.6	160.4	+1.2	60%
Season away (7)	82.0	93.3	175.3	-11.3	29%
Last 10 (10)	82.4	84.3	166.7	-1.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	91.4	173.8	-9.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	77.5	94.3	171.8	-16.8	12%
vs Similar (10)	83.8	81.9	165.7	+1.9	70%
vs Weaker (4)	87.0	78.8	165.8	+8.2	75%

This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Zalgiris Kaunas Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lietkabelis

92-90

H29/10

LKL

CSKA Moscow

91-94

-3

A03/11

Euroleague

Neptunas

88-62

+26

H05/11

LKL

Olimpia Milano

#15

94-62

+32

A09/11

Euroleague

Siauliai

80-51

+29

A12/11

LKL

Unicaja

85-83 OT

A14/11

Euroleague

Baskonia

77-97

-20

H16/11

Euroleague

Lietkabelis

70-66

A19/11

LKL

Anadolu Efes

#16

91-83

H23/11

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#10

74-81

-7

A30/11

Euroleague

31-21

21-22

28-18

12-29

19-22

17-29

26-18

29-25

26-15

24-17

19-19

19-11

25-20

25-11

20-10

24-21

22-6

25-17

13-13

20-15

21-17

20-17

18-14

13-24

15-21

17-33

25-16

20-27

14-16

18-13

19-20

19-17

22-26

25-18

19-17

25-22

14-15

15-24

22-26

23-16

161.1Avg total

84.2Scored

76.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	83.8	66.3	150.2	+17.5	92%
Season at home (6)	92.7	67.2	159.8	+25.5	100%
Season away (6)	75.0	65.5	140.5	+9.5	83%
Last 10 (10)	84.2	76.9	161.1	+7.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	82.0	161.4	-2.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	78.5	90.5	169.0	-12.0	0%
vs Similar (3)	78.3	85.7	164.0	-7.3	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	81.9	68.2	150.1	+13.7	84%

This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Pieno ZvaigzdesZalgiris Kaunas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.5	40.5	-2.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	20.2	40.6	+0.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.9	22.6	40.5	-4.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.1	40.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	23.0	40.0	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.1	23.5	42.6	-4.4	38%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.7	18.7	37.4	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.5	20.8	40.2	-1.2	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	18.3	39.8	+3.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	17.9	38.8	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	20.0	37.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	20.5	17.9	38.4	+2.6	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.7	43.3	+0.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	19.8	40.4	+0.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.5	23.1	45.6	-0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	24.4	47.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.6	23.2	43.8	-2.7	44%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	25.8	19.5	45.2	+6.2	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.0	38.7	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	18.4	40.6	+3.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	17.6	37.1	+1.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	25.5	41.5	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.7	25.3	45.0	-5.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.2	16.5	37.7	+4.7	76%	-

Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alytaus Dzukija

52-31

+21

H04/10

LKL

Siauliai

45-35

+10

H08/10

LKL

Skycop

#10

33-41

-8

H14/10

LKL

Lietkabelis

39-55

-16

H21/10

LKL

Juventus

39-31

A23/10

LKL

Neptunas

48-49

-1

A28/10

LKL

Rytas

41-51

-10

H04/11

LKL

Skycop

#10

35-53

-18

A11/11

LKL

Siauliai

37-54

-17

A19/11

LKL

Nevezis

37-30

A29/11

LKL

83.6Avg total

40.6Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	43.2	83.9	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.0	40.0	81.0	+1.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.4	45.6	86.1	-5.2	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	43.0	83.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	47.4	87.0	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	39.6	46.8	86.4	-7.1	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.5	38.7	79.2	+1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	45.2	40.2	85.5	+5.0	50%	-

This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lietkabelis

52-43

H29/10

LKL

CSKA Moscow

36-51

-15

A03/11

Euroleague

Neptunas

50-32

+18

H05/11

LKL

Olimpia Milano

#15

50-31

+19

A09/11

Euroleague

Siauliai

47-23

+24

A12/11

LKL

Unicaja

41-34

A14/11

Euroleague

Baskonia

32-54

-22

H16/11

Euroleague

Lietkabelis

32-29

A19/11

LKL

Anadolu Efes

#16

47-44

H23/11

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#10

29-39

-10

A30/11

Euroleague

79.6Avg total

41.6Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	36.4	77.1	+4.4	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.6	36.7	80.4	+6.9	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.2	36.1	74.2	+2.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	38.0	79.6	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	40.0	76.2	-3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	33.5	45.5	79.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	37.7	46.3	84.0	-8.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	41.7	34.4	76.1	+7.2	84%	-

This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	22.5	41.4	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.4	19.3	38.7	+0.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.5	24.9	43.4	-6.5	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.7	39.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	24.4	44.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.8	24.1	42.9	-5.4	44%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.6	21.3	39.9	-2.7	30%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	16.9	37.0	+3.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	16.7	38.2	+4.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	17.1	38.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	20.5	43.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.7	16.0	35.7	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	20.0	16.7	36.7	+3.4	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	22.1	42.9	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	20.6	40.5	-0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.5	23.2	44.8	-1.7	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	21.6	44.1	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.6	42.6	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.1	23.4	42.6	-4.3	31%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.1	21.0	44.1	+2.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	19.5	41.2	+2.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	17.9	38.1	+2.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	17.8	37.6	+2.1	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	24.5	47.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.0	23.3	44.3	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	19.7	16.6	36.3	+3.0	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	44.6	84.3	-4.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.2	39.9	79.2	-0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.0	48.2	88.2	-8.2	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	41.3	83.1	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	44.0	86.8	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	37.9	47.6	85.4	-9.7	19%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.7	42.3	84.0	-0.6	30%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.8	38.5	80.2	+3.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	34.7	74.9	+5.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	34.6	76.3	+7.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.9	34.8	73.6	+4.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	37.8	79.1	+3.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	39.8	80.4	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	45.0	45.0	90.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	40.7	39.3	80.0	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	39.7	33.3	73.0	+6.4	68%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Pieno Zvaigzdestheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 80.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.1 points a game

50%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	20.7	51.1%	55.4%	41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.3	7.8	40.4%	35.5%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	19.4	15.5	79.9%	73.8%	15.5

They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	17.1	49.6%	55.4%	34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	10.4	38.5%	35.5%	31.2
🏀 Free throws	21.2	15.9	75.0%	73.8%	15.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	19.8	51.3%	55.4%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.8	8.0	40.2%	35.5%	23.9
🏀 Free throws	17.7	14.1	79.8%	73.8%	14.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.2	17.4	51.0%	55.4%	34.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	9.4	37.5%	35.5%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.7	76.3%	73.8%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pieno Zvaigzdes wins

Zalgiris Kaunas wins

Date	Game	Score
25/09/17	Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	106-64
02/04/17	Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	94-70
16/01/17	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas	56-63
21/11/16	Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	98-84
05/10/16	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas	82-86
02/05/16	Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	95-81
29/04/16	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas	71-84
26/04/16	Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	102-66
10/04/16	Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	93-88
28/02/16	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas	101-109 OT

Pieno Zvaigzdeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/11/17	A	Nevezis	73-68
19/11/17	A	Siauliai	95-104
11/11/17	A	Skycop	80-101
04/11/17	H	Rytas	73-87
28/10/17	A	Neptunas	91-97
23/10/17	A	Juventus	81-75
21/10/17	H	Lietkabelis	75-85
14/10/17	H	Skycop	80-74
08/10/17	H	Siauliai	81-79
04/10/17	H	Alytaus Dzukija	95-73

Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/11/17	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	74-81
23/11/17	H	Anadolu Efes	91-83
19/11/17	A	Lietkabelis	70-66
16/11/17	H	Baskonia	77-97
14/11/17	A	Unicaja	85-83 OT
12/11/17	A	Siauliai	80-51
09/11/17	A	Olimpia Milano	94-62
05/11/17	H	Neptunas	88-62
03/11/17	A	CSKA Moscow	91-94
29/10/17	H	Lietkabelis	92-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pieno Zvaigzdes

LKL 2017-18

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	42%
Home	WWWLL	60%
Away	WLLLW	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	5	7
Win %	42%	60%	29%
Points / game	81.5	80.8	82.0
Allowed / game	87.6	79.6	93.3
Point differential	-6.1	+1.2	-11.3
Avg total	169.1	160.4	175.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Zalgiris Kaunas

LKL 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	92%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWWWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	92%	100%	83%
Points / game	83.8	92.7	75.0
Allowed / game	66.3	67.2	65.5
Point differential	+17.5	+25.5	+9.5
Avg total	150.2	159.8	140.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	83%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	12	11	1	92%	83.8	66.3	+17.5
2	Lietkabelis	13	10	3	77%	83.4	75.4	+8.0
3	Neptunas	13	10	3	77%	83.8	77.3	+6.5
4	Rytas	13	9	4	69%	84.2	75.0	+9.2
5	Pieno Zvaigzdes	12	5	7	42%	81.5	87.6	-6.1
6	Alytaus Dzukija	12	5	7	42%	75.5	85.3	-9.8
7	Juventus	13	4	9	31%	78.5	80.4	-1.9
8	Nevezis	12	3	9	25%	75.7	80.9	-5.2
9	Siauliai	13	3	10	23%	71.8	83.9	-12.1
10	Skycop	11	2	9	18%	75.4	82.8	-7.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pieno Zvaigzdes	13	13	13	12	51
Zalgiris Kaunas	24	15	21	15	75

← all games of the day

Pieno Zvaigzdes vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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